Topic tracker · Mentions
All in with Chris Hayes
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new All in with Chris Hayes markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 24, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? | October 7, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? | October 5, 2026 | 0.2% vs 1.0% | Report → |
| What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? | September 28, 2026 | 0.1% vs 1.0% | Report → |
| What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? | September 4, 2026 | 0.3% vs 1.0% | Report → |
