Topic tracker · Sports

ATP Exact Match Score

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new ATP Exact Match Score markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated July 16, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys: Exact Match Score July 29, 2026 0.0% vs 1.0%
Alejandro Tabilo vs Stan Wawrinka: Exact Match Score May 30, 2026 5.9% vs 0.0%