Above 47400
Market Model 55.0% 58.3%
Above 47100
Market Model 52.0% 58.3%
Topic tracker · Financials
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Brightspring annual kpi markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 14, 2026