Topic tracker · Crypto
BTC one touch minimum
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new BTC one touch minimum markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 29, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| How low will BTC get in June? | July 1, 2026 | 18.7% vs 22.0% | Report → |
| How low will Bitcoin get in May? | June 1, 2026 | 39.0% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| How low will Bitcoin get in March? | April 1, 2026 | 100.0% vs 37.0% | Report → |
| How low will Bitcoin get in February? | March 1, 2026 | 30.0% vs 24.5% | Report → |
