Short Answer

Both the model and the market expect Bitcoin to get below $75,000.00 in May, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This prediction market has seen a volatile upward trend, indicating a growing belief that Bitcoin's May low will fall below $75,000. The market probability began at just 1.0% before experiencing a massive 69.0 percentage point spike on May 1st. This initial surge in pessimism was likely driven by Bitcoin's price having recently fallen below the key $75,000 level in late April, stoking fears of further declines. Following this peak, the market became highly reactive to news. The probability saw significant drops on May 4th and May 5th, which were attributed to trader speculation after a price dip and crypto-specific factors like futures selling. Conversely, the probability spiked again by 8.0 percentage points on May 7th after reports that Iran rejected a proposed deal, which briefly pushed Bitcoin's price down.
The chart suggests that the 70.0% level has served as a resistance point for bearish sentiment, with the probability failing to reclaim that high after the initial spike. Trading volume appears to be concentrated around the most volatile days, indicating that conviction is highest during major market-moving events. Market sentiment has shifted from extremely confident that Bitcoin would remain above $75,000 to a state of high uncertainty. The current probability of 44.0% reflects a divided market, with traders carefully weighing the impact of both macroeconomic news and internal market structure dynamics on Bitcoin's potential to establish a new monthly low.
  • Pending Fed Chair transition likely introduces bearish Bitcoin sentiment.
  • Early May ETF outflows indicate increased downward pressure on Bitcoin.
  • Technical analysts project Bitcoin support levels below the current price.
  • On-chain accumulation data and holder cost basis offer significant support.
  • Prediction markets indicate low probabilities for extreme Bitcoin dips.
  • Outlier forecast of a $42,000 crash is assessed with low credibility.

Current Context

Bitcoin is currently priced at approximately $80,700 as of May 10, 2026 [1][2]. The market consensus suggests a potential May low between $73,500 and $74,300 [3][4][5]. A more significant support level is identified at $70,000, with prediction markets assigning a 16% probability to Bitcoin reaching this level [3][6].
Recent ETF flows show mixed signals, alongside a bearish outlier. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $2.44 billion in inflows during April, followed by outflows in early May after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting [3][7]. While the general outlook anticipates a low in the mid-$70,000 range, one analyst presents a notable bearish outlier, forecasting a potential crash to $42,000 [8].
Federal Reserve leadership changes will introduce new economic dynamics. The Federal Reserve is also undergoing a leadership transition, with Chairman Powell's term concluding on May 15, and Warsh expected to assume a leadership role in June [9].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Bitcoin trades above $80k milestone amid legislative progress and banking shiftca.finance.yahoo.com
  2. 2Bitcoin price today, BTC to USD live price, marketcap and chart | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price Perspectives in May 2026bitcoinfoundation.org
  4. 4Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction May 2026: Price Analysiscoingabbar.com
  5. 5BTC Price Prediction May 2026: $92K Possible — Or Is "Sell in May" About to Hit?tapbit.com
  6. 6Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | Polyautomatepolyautomate.org
  7. 7Bitcoin ETF Flow Watch, May 1–2, 2026: Can April's $2.44B Inflow Month Carry Into May? | BTC.networkbtc.network
  8. 8Analyst Predicts Biggest Bitcoin Bull Trap Of The Cycle, Calls Out 50% Crash To $42,000finanzen.net
  9. 9Fed Holds Rates, Powell's Last FOMC | What Changes for BTC Under Warshphemex.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

📈 May 07, 2026: 8.0pp spike

Price increased from 44.0% to 52.0%

Outcome: Below $75,000.00

What happened: The 8.0 percentage point spike in the prediction market outcome "Below $75,000.00" on May 07, 2026, was primarily driven by the traditional news that Iran rejected a proposed deal [1][2]. This geopolitical development caused Bitcoin's price to drop below $80,000 to $79,500, triggering $91 million in long liquidations [1][2]. This significant price decline made the prospect of Bitcoin falling below $75,000 more probable, causing the prediction market to adjust. Social media was not a primary driver, nor was it identified as a significant contributing accelerant based on the available information.

📉 May 05, 2026: 9.0pp drop

Price decreased from 52.0% to 43.0%

Outcome: Below $75,000.00

What happened: The primary driver of the May 5th prediction market price movement was attributed to market structure factors, specifically futures selling, which triggered Bitcoin's price decline [3]. This was compounded by ETF outflows that ended a five-day inflow streak, with BTC stalling near $80,000 [4]. While Bitcoin's social sentiment had surged to a four-month high with bullish comments preceding the drop [5], this indicated a market vulnerable to a pullback rather than directly causing the May 5th decline [6]. Therefore, social media activity appears to have been a contributing accelerant by signaling over-exuberance, but not the primary driver of the price movement.

📉 May 04, 2026: 13.0pp drop

Price decreased from 65.0% to 52.0%

Outcome: Below $75,000.00

What happened:

On May 4, 2026, Bitcoin's price dropped below $79,000 from approximately $80,500, influenced by US-Iran geopolitical headlines and significant short liquidations [7][8]. Despite this immediate price downturn, the prediction market's "Below $75,000.00" outcome saw a 13.0 percentage point drop, indicating decreased confidence in Bitcoin falling to that level. This counter-intuitive market movement appears to have coincided with a surge in bullish social media sentiment, which, by May 7, 2026, was reported by Santiment to be at a four-month high with "bullish comments outpac[ing] bears" and retail traders becoming "louder" [5][9][10][11]. This widespread optimism on social media likely prompted participants to believe a floor above $75,000 would hold.

Social media was a primary driver, as the prevailing bullish sentiment appears to have led the prediction market to adjust expectations away from a deeper price drop, overriding the immediate bearish price action.

📈 May 01, 2026: 69.0pp spike

Price increased from 1.0% to 70.0%

Outcome: Below $75,000.00

What happened: The primary driver of the 69.0 percentage point spike in the prediction market on May 01, 2026, was likely the recent breach of the $75,000 support level, as Bitcoin fell below this mark to $74,974 on April 29 [12][13]. This prior drop, amidst "intensifying market volatility" [12][13], likely fueled expectations among traders that Bitcoin could revisit levels below $75,000 during May, despite a temporary price rebound to $78,924 on May 1 [14]. Social media activity was not identified as a driver in the available sources.
Sources (14)
  1. 1Bitcoin Drops Below $80K as Iran Rejects Trump Deal and Traders Dump $91M in Longs – Chain Grid Newschaingridnews.com
  2. 2Iran Rejects Trump Hormuz Deal | Bitcoin Slips Under $80K on May 7phemex.com
  3. 3Here’s What Triggered The Bitcoin Price Decline Before The Recent Bounce | Bitcoinist.combitcoinist.com
  4. 4Bitcoin (BTC) Price: ETF Outflows Snap Five-Day Inflow Streak as BTC Stalls Near $80,000 - CoinCentralcoincentral.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Social Sentiment Surges to Four-Month High as Bullish Comments Outpace Bears, Santiment Reportscryptorank.io
  6. 6There's a groundswell forecasting a bitcoin (BTC) price above $90,000. That might be a problem.coindesk.com
  7. 7BTC Falls Below $79,000: Shocking Price Drop Sparks Market Panicbitcoinworld.co.in
  8. 8Bitcoin slides $1,500 after a spike to $80,594 as US-Iran tensions rattle markets | TheChainPostthechainpost.com
  9. 9Retail Bitcoin Traders Get Louder: Here's Why Sentiment Is The Most Bullish In 4 Months - Benzingabenzinga.com
  10. 10Bitcoin Optimism Hits 4-Month High. Here's Why That's a Warningbitcoinfoundation.org
  11. 11Santiment Flags Risk As Crypto Bullish Talk Spikes While BTC Holds Near $80Kcointelegraph.com
  12. 12Bitcoin Price Drop: BTC Falls Below $75,000 Amid Intensifying Market Volatilitycryptorank.io
  13. 13Bitcoin Price Drop: BTC Falls Below $75,000 Amid Intensifying Market Volatilitybitcoinworld.co.in
  14. 14Traders Push Bitcoin Near $79,000 Resistance, Wiping $120M in Bearish Positionsnews.bitcoin.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

The market resolves to "Yes" if the Bitcoin (BTC) price, as measured minute-by-minute, drops below $75,000.00 at any time between market issuance and 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026. The BTC price is derived from CF BRTI data, using a trimmed mean calculation where the top and bottom 20% of values are removed to mitigate extreme fluctuations. The market resolves to "No" if this condition is not met by the deadline, or if CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration.

Market Discussion

Traders are actively discussing significant downside potential for Bitcoin in May, with several participants expressing strong conviction that the price will drop below $70,000, and some even predicting lows below $60,000. Arguments for "Yes" positions on lower thresholds suggest a belief in an imminent price dip, with users stating "lock in" and "lower." While market probabilities currently indicate a 44% chance of Bitcoin falling below $75,000, the user discussion reflects a more aggressive bearish outlook than the current odds for the lowest thresholds.

5. What level of sustained Bitcoin ETF outflows in May 2026 would signal a price correction toward the sub-$70,000 levels?

February 2026 Outflows$3.9 billion over 5 weeks (Bitcoin to $67.5k) [1][2]
Q1 2026 Outflows$4.5 billion (Bitcoin to $60k) [3]
May 7, 2026 Outflows$277 million over 2 days (Bitcoin consolidated around $80k) [4][5]
Historical ETF outflows signal potential Bitcoin price corrections. Historical data from early 2026 indicates that sustained Bitcoin ETF outflows have notably impacted prices. For instance, a five-week period in February saw $3.9 billion in outflows, which correlated with Bitcoin dropping to $67,500 [1][2]. Similarly, $4.5 billion in outflows during Q1 2026 preceded Bitcoin reaching $60,000 [3]. These historical precedents demonstrate that significant, sustained outflows directly influence Bitcoin's valuation.
Recent ETF flows show a shift from inflows to outflows. April 2026 experienced record monthly ETF inflows, ranging from $1.97 billion to $2.44 billion, which pushed assets under management past $102 billion [6][7][8]. Early May also saw robust inflows, with over $1.6 billion accumulated across five days, including $629 million on May 1 [4][9][10]. However, a shift occurred on May 7, with net ETF outflows reaching $277 million over two days. This led Bitcoin to reject $82,500 and consolidate around $80,000 [4][5]. An analyst suggested that without a retail market revival following this $277 million outflow, Bitcoin risked dropping to $75,000-$78,000 [4].
ETF flows confirm price trends, but specific correlation is undefined. It is observed that ETF flows tend to confirm rather than lead price movements, with multi-day streaks serving as key indicators [11]. As of May 10, the current Bitcoin price stands at approximately $80,700-$80,800 [12][13]. While historical data from earlier in 2026 offers guidance, the available research does not contain more specific information directly correlating an exact level of sustained outflows within May 2026 to a sub-$70,000 price correction.
Sources (13)
  1. 1Bitcoin Below $70K: The Crash, The Data, and What Comes Nextblog.amberdata.io
  2. 2Bitcoin ETF Outflows 2026: Longest Streak Analysis and BTC Price Impact – Crypto ETF Procryptoetfpro.com
  3. 3Bitcoin's Q1 2026: A $4.5 Billion ETF Outflow and 33% Correctionainvest.com
  4. 4Bitcoin (BTC) Faces Fresh Headwinds as ETF Outflows Hit $277M Near $80K Markblockonomi.com
  5. 5Bitcoin (BTC) Price: ETF Outflows Snap Five-Day Inflow Streak as BTC Stalls Near $80,000 - CoinCentralcoincentral.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price Prediction Turns Bullish After $2.44 Billion in April ETF Inflows Push BTC Past $81,000 as Pepeto Presale Nears $10 Millioncoincentral.com
  7. 7Bitcoin ETF Flows April 2026: Fund-by-Fund Breakdown | TheBoard.worldtheboard.world
  8. 8Here’s how much Bitcoin ETFs recorded in inflows in April 2026finbold.com
  9. 9Bitcoin ETFs Hit 9-Day Inflow Streak for $2.7B | May 2026phemex.com
  10. 10BTC spot ETFs snap five-day inflow streak - What's next for Bitcoin price?finbold.com
  11. 11Bitcoin ETF Flows Explained | How to Read Inflows & Outflows | 2026phemex.com
  12. 12Bitcoin trades above $80k milestone amid legislative progress and banking shiftca.finance.yahoo.com
  13. 13Bitcoin price today, BTC to USD live price, marketcap and chart | CoinMarketCapcoinmarketcap.com

6. What on-chain data and technical indicators support the consensus view that Bitcoin's next major support level is around $70,000?

BTC accumulated in $60K-$70K range429K BTC [1]
Realized Price~$54K [2][3][4]
Polymarket sentiment on $55K dip in May98% No [5]
On-chain data and technical indicators strongly support Bitcoin's $70,000 level. Glassnode data indicates a substantial accumulation of 429,000 BTC within the $60,000 to $70,000 range, representing 8.2% of the non-exchange supply, which collectively forms a robust support base [1]. This is further substantiated by on-chain valuation bands, showing primary support clustering in the $70,000-$60,000 corridor, with the Realized Price at approximately $54,000 serving as a more profound floor [2][3][4]. Additionally, the short-term holder cost basis positioned near $70,000 contributes to this established support below the level [6].
Market sentiment and profitability metrics suggest a major drop below $70,000 is improbable. At the $70,000 mark, the MVRV ratio stands at 2.34 and the SOPR at 1.067, reflecting a neutral-to-bearish profitability outlook without indicating a capitulation event [6]. This sentiment is echoed by Polymarket, where 98% of predictions on 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55K in May?' were 'No,' reinforcing the likelihood against a substantial decline below $70,000 [5]. While the MA-30 previously provided support at $76,000, the $70,000-$75,000 range is now identified as the subsequent demand zone during any price pullback [7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin Support Level Reveals Stunning Accumulation: Glassnode Identifies $60K-$70K as Critical Foundation | MEXC Newsmexc.co
  2. 2Bitcoin slides toward $70,000 as on-chain data flags bear market and traders bet Fed holds in April: Asia Morning Briefingcoindesk.com
  3. 3Resilient in the Face of Warinsights.glassnode.com
  4. 4Range-Bound Under Pressureinsights.glassnode.com
  5. 5Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May 98% No · Polymarketexplorer.struct.to
  6. 6Bitcoin $70K: Data Analysis of Key Price Level Breakdown - Bitcoin Data & Intelligence Hub | BitcoinXbitcoinx.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Price Today: Live BTC/USD Rate, Analysis & 2026 Forecastphemex.com

7. How do May 2026 Bitcoin price floor predictions from technical analysts at sources like Coingabbar compare with the probabilities implied by prediction markets?

Coingabbar predicted floor (May 2026)$73,500 or $75,000 [1]
Polymarket probability > $72k (May 12)99% [2]
Manifold probability $67k (May)14% [3]
Technical analysts predict a Bitcoin price floor between $73,500 and $75,000 for May 2026. Experts from Coingabbar forecast this floor within an anticipated price range of $73,500 to $83,500 [1]. They also identify a potential downside risk: if the $75,000 level is breached, the price could drop to between $66,000 and $70,000 [1].
Prediction markets show differing probabilities for various Bitcoin price levels in May. Polymarket suggests a 99% likelihood that Bitcoin will stay above $72,000 on May 12 [2]. However, other prediction markets present probabilities for lower values; for instance, Manifold indicates a 14% chance for $67,000, a 9% chance for $65,000, and a 17% chance for $69,000 in May [3]. Separately, awebanalysis assigns a minimal 0.3% probability for Bitcoin to be at or below $35,000 in May [4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction May 2026: Price Analysiscoingabbar.com
  2. 2Bitcoin above ___ on May 12? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
  3. 3Bitcoin $85K in May? | Manifoldmanifold.markets
  4. 4Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? — 0.3% YES | BTC $80,080awebanalysis.com

8. How might the pending Fed Chair transition from Jerome Powell to Kevin Warsh impact Bitcoin market sentiment for the remainder of May?

Warsh Fed Chair VoteExpected week of May 11 [1]
Bitcoin Trading Range (May 2026)$75,000-$77,000 [2][3]
Previous Bitcoin Drops from Warsh News6-17% [2][3]
The upcoming transition to Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair is projected to introduce bearish sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC) throughout May [1][4][5][3]. His Senate vote is anticipated the week of May 11, preceding the end of Jerome Powell's term as chair on May 15, 2026 [6][7][1]. Warsh is known for his hawkish monetary policy stance, favoring quantitative tightening and a smaller balance sheet [8][9][2]. This approach is expected to diminish hopes for rate cuts and tighten liquidity, conditions that have historically correlated with declines in Bitcoin's value [8][9][2][4][5][3]. Warsh views Bitcoin as both a policy signal and a volatility indicator [8][9][2], and prior news related to him has previously resulted in Bitcoin drops ranging from 6% to 17% [2][3].
Current Bitcoin prices show resilience despite bearish sentiment. In May 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading between $75,000 and $77,000, with a support level identified at $74,900 [2][3]. Despite the potential for bearish sentiment stemming from a hawkish Fed, prediction markets indicate Bitcoin prices around $78,000-$82,000 by mid-May [10]. These markets also show a low risk of BTC falling below $70,000 in the near-term [10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Trump Fed pick Kevin Warsh clears key Senate hurdle, teeing up final votecnbc.com
  2. 2Warsh, Bitcoin, and the End of Rate-Cut Hope: Has Crypto Finally Decoupled From the Fed?blockeden.xyz
  3. 3Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination 2026: Bitcoin & Crypto Implications – Hawkish Tilt vs Long-Term Opportunityblog.tapbit.com
  4. 4Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Appointment May Impact Bitcoin | Phemex Newsphemex.com
  5. 5Kevin Warsh nomination impacts Bitcoin price outlook amid hawkish stance - Sunburst Marketssunburstmarkets.com
  6. 6Powell confirms he will step aside at the end of his term as chair but remain on the Fed’s board | CNN Businesscnn.com
  7. 7Jerome Powell Is Staying at the Federal Reserve After His Chair Term Ends – Here's What Investors Need To Know | Chasechase.com
  8. 8Kevin Warsh Fed Nominee: Macro Outlook for Bitcoin & Cryptotapbit.com
  9. 9What Does Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Really Think About Crypto? — BTSE Blogbtse.com
  10. 10Bitcoin price on May 15? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com

9. How credible is the outlier forecast of a crash to $42,000, and what specific market conditions would need to materialize in May for it to unfold?

Analyst forecast low$42,000 (May) [1][2]
Current Bitcoin Price (May 8)$79.7k [3][4]
Polymarket May $75k dip outlook53% "No" [5][6]
Prediction markets generally assign low credibility to a Bitcoin crash to $42,000. While an outlier forecast predicts Bitcoin could reach $42,000 in May, current prediction market data does not support this extreme scenario. Polymarket indicates a 53% "No" for Bitcoin dipping to $75,000 in May, with most projected outcomes positioned above $80,000 [5][6]. Separately, Kalshi assigns higher probabilities to May lows in the $59,000-$60,000 range, attributing these to macro risks, and explicitly refutes a $42,000 target [7][8]. As of early May, the Bitcoin price is approximately $80,000, with a recent value of $79.7k recorded on May 8 [3][9][4].
An analyst outlined a specific sequence for a Bitcoin crash to $42,000. The forecast details a progression that begins with a bull trap forming around $82,000, followed by subsequent declines to $50,000, then $63,000, ultimately reaching $42,000, which would represent a total reduction of approximately 50% from current levels [1][2]. Potential indicators that could contribute to such a downturn include negative funding rates, significant whale selling activity amounting to $770 million, outflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and bearish signals from MFI and MACD indicators [10][11][12][3][13]. Although Kalshi links higher odds for $59,000-$60,000 May lows to broader macro risks, the research does not specify the precise market conditions or the exact nature of macro risks required for Bitcoin to fall to $42,000 within May [8].
Sources (13)
  1. 1Analyst Predicts Biggest Bitcoin Bull Trap Of The Cycle, Calls Out 50% Crash To $42,000newsbtc.com
  2. 2Analyst Predicts Biggest Bitcoin Bull Trap Of The Cycle, Calls Out 50% Crash To $42,000 — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price Today: Live BTC/USD Rate, Analysis & 2026 Forecastphemex.com
  4. 4Current price of Bitcoin for May 6, 2026 | Fortunefortune.com
  5. 5What price will Bitcoin hit in May? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
  6. 6Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May 53% No · Polymarketexplorer.struct.to
  7. 7How low will Bitcoin get in May? Odds & Predictionskalshi.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Range Weakens as Kalshi Signals Rising Probability of $60K Breakdown - Blockonomiblockonomi.com
  9. 9Current price of Bitcoin for May 8, 2026 | Fortunefortune.com
  10. 10Bitcoin Price Drop Warning: Analyst Predicts BTC Crash to $55K, Citing Bear Market Patternbitcoinworld.co.in
  11. 11Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC-USD at $76,600, Eyes $80K as Funding Hits Lowtradingnews.com
  12. 12Bitcoin Price Holds $76K: Latest Analysis & Outlookphemex.com
  13. 13Bitcoin’s Bull Trap Warning: Analyst Predicts 50% Crash - CVJ.AIcvj.ai

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bitcoin's current price stands at approximately $78k-$80k [1][2]. Predictions for May suggest a $73,500 support level, with a minimum expected price of $80,576 and an average of $83k [1][3]. A worst-case scenario could see prices between $66k-$70k [1][3]. Prediction markets indicate a 100% chance of Bitcoin hitting $80k+ and a 0.3% chance of a $35k dip [4][5]. The February 2026 low was $62,500 [1][2].
Key catalysts include leadership changes at the Federal Reserve, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term ends May 15, 2026 [6]. Kevin Warsh is a nominee, prompting debate over his perceived hawkish or dovish leanings [6][7][8]. Powell has stated he will continue to serve as a Fed governor after his chairmanship concludes [7]. Notably, there will be no Bitcoin halving in 2026, with the next halving expected in April 2028 [9]. Additionally, the CME Group targets a June 1 launch for Bitcoin Volatility Futures, pending review [10].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: June 08, 2026
  • Closes: June 01, 2026
Sources (10)
  1. 1Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction May 2026: Price Analysiscoingabbar.com
  2. 2Why Experts Believe Bitcoin’s Next Boom Is Just Around the Cornerphemex.com
  3. 3Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2026 2027 2028 - 2040changelly.com
  4. 4What price will Bitcoin hit in May? Trading Odds & Predictions 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
  5. 5Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? — 0.3% YES | BTC $80,080awebanalysis.com
  6. 6Powell to remain on Fed's board after stepping down as chair: NPRnpr.org
  7. 7Jerome Powell says he will continue to serve as a Fed governor, calls Trump criticism 'unprecedented'cnbc.com
  8. 8Powell vs Warsh Fed Chair Transition | What It Means for Bitcoin in 2026-2027phemex.com
  9. 9Next Bitcoin Halving 2028 Countdown & Date [Clock]bitcoinclock.com
  10. 10CME Group Targets June 1 Launch for Bitcoin Volatility Futures Pending CFTC Reviewnews.bitcoin.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 16 markets in this series

Outcomes: 0 resolved YES, 16 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26APR30-6500000: NO (May 01, 2026)
  • KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26APR30-6250000: NO (May 01, 2026)
  • KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26APR30-6000000: NO (May 01, 2026)
  • KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26APR30-5750000: NO (May 01, 2026)
  • KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26APR30-5500000: NO (May 01, 2026)