Topic tracker · Sports
College Football Game
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new College Football Game markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 19, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brown vs New Haven | September 21, 2026 | 98.8% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| North Texas vs Texas St. | September 21, 2026 | 43.0% vs 43.0% | Report → |
| SMU vs Louisville | September 21, 2026 | 52.2% vs 55.0% | Report → |
