Haley Stevens
Market Model 31.0% 30.6%
Mallory McMorrow
Market Model 31.0% 24.3%
Topic tracker · Elections
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Election place in primaries markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 8, 2026