Hurricane Norbert category? Kalshi
Category 1 or above
Market Model 7.0% 2.4%
Category 2 or above
Market Model 5.0% 1.7%
Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Hurricane category markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 13, 2026