Topic tracker · Crypto

HYPE 15 min

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new HYPE 15 min markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated November 2, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
HYPE 15 min · $84.3001 target November 2, 2026 47.0% vs 55.0%
HYPE 15 min · $83.8783 target November 2, 2026 34.5% vs 46.0%
HYPE 15 min · $59.9111 target June 7, 2026 45.0% vs 49.0%