Topic tracker · Economics
Inflation
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Inflation markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 27, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY) | July 14, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Inflation in May 2026 (CPI YoY) | June 10, 2026 | 99.2% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Inflation in Apr 2026 (CPI YoY) | May 12, 2026 | 99.2% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Inflation in Mar 2026 (CPI YoY) | April 10, 2026 | 99.5% vs 73.0% | Report → |
