Topic tracker · Economics
Monthly housing starts
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Monthly housing starts markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 27, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| US housing starts for May | June 16, 2026 | 82.8% vs 90.0% | Report → |
| US housing starts for April | May 21, 2026 | 98.0% vs 59.0% | Report → |
| US housing starts for March 2026 | May 5, 2026 | 85.4% vs 82.0% | Report → |
