Topic tracker · Crypto

NEAR 15m

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new NEAR 15m markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated November 2, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
NEAR 15 min · $3.9774 target November 2, 2026 73.5% vs 65.0%
NEAR 15 min · $3.9876 target November 2, 2026 48.1% vs 60.0%
NEAR 15 min · $4.3257 target October 31, 2026 28.6% vs 32.0%