Topic tracker · Sports
PGA Tour
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 5 so far (0 live, 5 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new PGA Tour markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 26, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travelers Championship Winner | July 12, 2026 | 0.6% vs 0.5% | Report → |
| The Open Championship Winner | August 2, 2026 | 6.0% vs 3.9% | Report → |
| U.S. Open Winner | July 5, 2026 | 4.5% vs 3.3% | Report → |
| RBC Canadian Open Winner | June 28, 2026 | 0.4% vs 0.2% | Report → |
| Valero Texas Open Winner | April 19, 2026 | 12.1% vs 14.0% | Report → |
