Above $60 billion
Market Model 36.0% 15.0%
Above $70 billion
Market Model 12.0% 3.0%
Topic tracker · Companies
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (3 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Robinhood KPi markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 4, 2026