Above $16 billion
Market Model 46.0% 20.0%
Above $18 billion
Market Model 28.0% 20.0%
Topic tracker · Financials
Robinhood KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 6 so far (3 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Robinhood KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 6, 2026
Live markets
Robinhood gold subs in Q3 Kalshi
Above 4.9 million
Market Model 99.0% 93.1%
Above 4.8 million
Market Model 99.0% 93.1%
Above 29.5 million
Market Model 40.0% 25.9%
Above 29.4 million
Market Model 47.0% 38.5%
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robinhood gold subs in Q2 | July 29, 2026 | — | Report → |
| Robinhood funded customers in Q2 | July 29, 2026 | — | Report → |
| Robinhood gold subscribers in Q1 2026 | May 28, 2026 | 94.5% vs 97.0% | Report → |
