Yes
Market Model 89.5% 93.2%
Topic tracker · Economics
Tech layoffs
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Tech layoffs markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 14, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| More tech layoffs in 2025 than in 2024? | March 1, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
