Above 1.1M
Market Model 98.0% 97.0%
Above 1.0M
Market Model 30.0% 98.0%
Topic tracker · Elections
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Turnout in US elections markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 4, 2026