Topic tracker · Sports
UFC Fight
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new UFC Fight markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 17, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix MMA Special: Rousey vs Carano | May 30, 2026 | 88.0% vs 82.0% | Report → |
| Netflix MMA Special: Diaz vs Perry | May 30, 2026 | 32.8% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| UFC Fight Night: Fan vs Steele | May 16, 2026 | 37.4% vs 36.0% | Report → |
