Topic tracker · Economics
Unemployment
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Unemployment markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 27, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unemployment in May 2026 | June 5, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Unemployment in April 2026 | May 8, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| Unemployment in January 2026? | May 6, 2026 | 89.0% vs 71.0% | Report → |
