Live market
Superintelligence / Super Intelligence
Market Model 99.0% 98.6%
Peace in the Middle East
Market Model 8.0% 3.1%
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market
read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|
| What will Trump say this week? | November 2, 2026 | 98.4% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | October 19, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | October 12, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | October 5, 2026 | 99.3% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | September 14, 2026 | 99.2% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | September 7, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | August 31, 2026 | 66.8% vs 69.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | August 3, 2026 | 99.1% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | July 27, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | July 20, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | May 18, 2026 | 32.0% vs 36.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | May 11, 2026 | 5.7% vs 7.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | April 27, 2026 | 8.2% vs 9.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | April 20, 2026 | 16.7% vs 26.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | April 13, 2026 | 3.6% vs 4.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | April 6, 2026 | 100.0% vs 5.0% | Report → |
| What will Trump say this week? | February 23, 2026 | 99.5% vs 99.5% | Report → |
