Albuquerque
Market Model 51.0% 54.0%
Dallas
Market Model 37.0% 40.0%
Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Where will it rain daily
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Where will it rain daily markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated October 31, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Where will it rain on Sep 1, 2026? | September 2, 2026 | 99.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
