Topic tracker · Sports
World Cup Team Total
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Team Total markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 30, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| France vs Sweden: Regulation Time Team Total | July 14, 2026 | 93.8% vs 94.0% | Report → |
| Ivory Coast vs Norway: Regulation Time Team Total | July 14, 2026 | 87.9% vs 70.0% | Report → |
| Ecuador vs Germany: Team Total | July 9, 2026 | 85.6% vs 62.0% | Report → |
