Topic tracker · Sports

World Cup Total Goals

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Total Goals markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated June 24, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
World Soccer Cup: Total Goals August 3, 2026 88.5% vs 90.0%
Group E: Total Goals July 12, 2026 98.7% vs 99.0%