Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach $81,222.15 between 6:15 PM EDT and 6:30 PM EDT on October 28, with the market pricing the target at 39.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • Target price of $81,222.15 is implied by options market data.
  • Bitcoin recovering above $81,000 provides bullish momentum for the target.

Current Context

Bitcoin stabilized near $81,000 ahead of a critical Fed decision. As of October 28, Bitcoin traded around $81,000-$81,400, having rebounded from below $80,000 [1][2]. The immediate market focus was the Federal Reserve decision scheduled for 18:00 UTC (2:00 PM EDT), with CME FedWatch indicating approximately a 92% probability of no rate change [1][2]. Crypto market positioning reflected mixed sentiment, not clear euphoria [2]. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $176 million of inflows on October 27 [2]. Futures volume increased 7.5% to $163.2 billion over 24 hours, while open interest rose only 1.3% [2]. Liquidations increased 38% to $183.6 million [2]. Bitfinex reported aggregate BTC futures open interest at 676,761 BTC on October 27, up 9.2% from October 12, during which period BTC was down 4.3% [3]. Funding on October 28 was 9.8% annualized, suggesting leveraged long positions were exposed into the Fed event [3].
Technicals showed consolidation; post-Fed reaction would test key levels. Technical opinions ranged from cautious to mildly bullish [4][5]. BTC held above the 50-day EMA near $80,805-$80,816 [4][5]. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 45-46 and negative MACD indicated consolidation rather than a strong impulse [4][5]. Key resistance levels were approximately $81,900-$82,000 and then $85,000 [4][5]. Supports were approximately $80,800, $79,700-$79,744, $77,813, and $76,395 [4][5]. Expert commentary generally identified $77,000-$80,000 as an important support zone, with the post-Fed reaction seen as the next major test [1][3][6]. Alex Thorn of Galaxy stated the bear market likely concluded in June [6]. Cointelegraph noted resistance near $82,000 and reported a Wednesday intraday high of $81,687 [1][3][6]. A hold with a neutral or supportive Fed message could keep BTC in or above the low-$81,000s [2][3][4][7]. Hawkish guidance could push it toward $80,800 and potentially $79,700-$79,744 [2][3][4][7]. Increased leveraged long exposure amplified the risk of a sharp price movement in either direction [2][3][4][7].
The $81,222.15 target was plausible but highly event-sensitive. For the Public.com BTC range market resolving at 6:00 PM EDT on October 28, leading quoted ranges were $81,100-$81,199.99 at 25%, $81,200-$81,299.99 at 24%, $80,900-$80,999.99 at 14%, and $81,000-$81,099.99 at 15%; these represented market-implied probabilities [7]. Polymarket's broader October 28 BTC market showed the $80,000-$82,000 outcome as the frontrunner at 100% in the retrieved snapshot; this is a broad bucket, and quoted odds can update in real time [8]. A Robinhood result concerned a different 15-minute contract for 6:15-6:30 AM EDT with an $81,386.43 target, which was already closed [9]. This specific contract does not establish the requested 6:15-6:30 PM EDT contract or the $81,222.15 target [9]. The $81,222.15 target for the 6:15-6:30 PM EDT interval sat near the contemporaneous market-implied center around $81,100-$81,300 [1][2][4][7]. While plausible, this target was highly sensitive to the Fed announcement, Chair's press conference, leverage unwind, and intraday resistance around $81,900-$82,000 [1][2][4][7]. No retrieved source supplied a verified live probability for that exact contract [1][2][4][7].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Live updates: Bitcoin trading just above $81,000 as Fed delivers hold on ratescoindesk.com
  2. 2Bitcoin tops $81,000 ahead of Fed decision as memecoins lead altcoin gainscoindesk.com
  3. 3Bitcoin’s Next Test Comes After the Fed Decision - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  4. 4Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC reclaims $81,000 as traders await Fed policy decision, Big Tech earningsfxstreet.com
  5. 5Bitcoin and Gold Forecast: BTC bulls hold $80K as XAU defends $4,000 ahead of Fedfxstreet.com
  6. 6BTC Price Defends $80,000 as Analysis Brings New 2022 Comparisoncointelegraph.com
  7. 7BTC price range on Oct 28, 2026 at 6pm EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  8. 8Bitcoin price on October 28?polymarket.com
  9. 9BTC 15 min · 6:15–6:30 AM EDT Crypto Prediction Marketrobinhood.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves on October 28 at 6:30 PM EDT, based on whether the Bitcoin price moves "Up" or "Down" over a 15-minute period. However, the specific "To Beat" price that defines the "Up" or "Down" threshold for a YES or NO resolution is not provided on this page. The final settlement value is determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) prices from CF Benchmarks, collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

The exact BTC target of $81,222.15 for a 15-minute market is not strongly supported in the provided research, with direct matches primarily referring to Handshake transactions [1][2]. However, similar BTC targets appear in other prediction markets, such as Robinhood's 15-minute contracts with targets like $81,275.00 or $81,211.69, and a Hyperliquid market tracking BTC exceeding $81,222 [3][4][5]. Bitcoin's price reportedly demonstrated volatility around the $81.2K level in October 2026, with an October 22 intraday low of $81,222 and technical analysis identifying nearby support [6][7][8].

Sources (8)
  1. 1Address: hs1qz0fjpvq76c4c5xd5z4ksndjn78knt4vavfem5d • Shakeshift Handshake Explorershakeshift.com
  2. 2Transaction: 538379b4d5774b1e854975100074ae5426200e89c461d7f3c68f39bec97230d7 • Shakeshift Handshake Explorershakeshift.com
  3. 3September 19, 2026: BTC 15 min · 4:15–4:30 AM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  4. 4Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  5. 5BTC above $81,222 on Sep 3 at 8:00 PM UTC? | HIP-4 Analytics | Loris Toolsloris.tools
  6. 6Why bitcoin price dropped today: AI fears, oil, ETF cost – Coindarocoindaro.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Edges 0.4% Higher to $83,387 as Dollar and… - SquawkNewssquawknews.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Price Analysis Today | BTC Support & Resistance Zones Live | CoinListingcoinlisting.net

4. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 79 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score59Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses about 6% of the price to slippage.

Trust score79Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
83Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $81,222.15—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $81,222.15—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $81,222.1595
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
59Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 38.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 38.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 2.3c slippage (~6% of a 38.5c contract)

Target Price: $81,222.15Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 28, 2026

5. What specific language in the Federal Reserve's October 28 statement could trigger a BTC move toward either the $80,800 support or $81,900 resistance levels before 6:30 PM EDT?

BTC Hawkish Target$80,800 support [1][2]
BTC Dovish Target$81,900 resistance [3][4][5][6]
Fed Vote Dissent2 votes for 25-basis-point hike (Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack) [3][7][8][9]
The Federal Reserve's October 28 statement contains specific language that could trigger Bitcoin (BTC) movement toward either the $80,800 support or $81,900 resistance levels. The critical prediction window for these moves, between 6:15 and 6:30 p.m. EDT, relies on delayed market interpretation and the follow-up press conference from the initial statement released at 2:00 p.m. EDT [3][10].
Hawkish language and a split vote could pressure Bitcoin toward $80,800. Specific hawkish phrases from the statement, such as "Inflation remains elevated" and "The Committee will deliver price stability," could contribute to this downward pressure [3][8][9]. This is reinforced by a 10–2 vote where Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point hike [3][7][8][9][1][2]. Such outcomes would likely push yields and the dollar higher, potentially exposing the $80,800 support area for BTC [3][7][8][9][1][2].
Dovish cues suggest data dependence, potentially pushing Bitcoin towards $81,900. Conversely, a primary dovish or upside trigger is the phrase "the accumulation of more information," which implies the Federal Reserve is awaiting further data rather than committing to an immediate December rate hike [3][8][5]. This interpretation suggested a December hike was not guaranteed, leading BTC to initially rise toward $81,100 after the statement's release [3][8][5]. Language that supports a risk-on move toward the $81,900 resistance level would emphasize patience and data dependence, acknowledge that the unemployment rate has changed little, and avoid offering stronger forward guidance for another hike [3][4][5][6].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Bitcoin Price Trades Above $81,500 as Fed Keeps Rates Steady in Split Vote | www.BitcoinSeats.combitcoinseats.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Gains Reverse Into FOMC Meeting as US Stocks Track Sidewayscointelegraph.com
  3. 3Federal Reserve Board - Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementfederalreserve.gov
  4. 4Transcript of Chairman Warsh’s Press Conference - October 28, 2026federalreserve.gov
  5. 5Live updates: Bitcoin trading just above $81,000 as Fed delivers hold on ratescoindesk.com
  6. 6Fed Holds Rates, but Dissent Keeps Bitcoin, Gold and Tech Stocks Under Pressure | Investing.cominvesting.com
  7. 7Federal Reserve issues FOMC statementnewyorkfed.org
  8. 8FOMC holds rates steady, markets mostly follow suit By Reutersinvesting.com
  9. 9Fed interest rate decision October 2026: Fed holds rates steadycnbc.com
  10. 10Federal Reserve Board - Calendar: October 2026federalreserve.gov

6. How has Bitcoin's price reacted to the 50-day EMA (around $80,800) and the ~$81,900 resistance zone during intraday trading sessions in October?

50-day EMA supportApproximately $80,800 (often $80,716-$80,878) [1][2][3][4][5]
Key resistance zoneApproximately $81,900 (up to $82,000) [6][7][5]
October 28 resistance50-day SMA around $81,831 (October 28, 2026) [7][6]
Bitcoin found consistent intraday support at its 50-day EMA in October. During October, Bitcoin's price consistently found support around its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which approximated $80,800, with reported values ranging from $80,716 to $80,878 [1]. Dips toward this level typically saw strong buying interest, leading to stabilization or bounces [1][2][3][4][5]. For instance, on October 23, the price closed just above this support, near $81,856 [1][2]. Even when prices briefly fell lower, such as intraday lows around $79,107-$79,255 between October 24 and 26, they generally rebounded towards the $81,600-$81,900 range [3][4][5].
The $81,900 resistance zone consistently capped Bitcoin's price rallies. Conversely, the approximately $81,900 resistance zone proved to be a persistent overhead supply area throughout October, where rallies frequently failed to sustain above it [6][7][5]. This zone, sometimes identified as $81,900-$82,000, acted as a significant obstacle [5]. A notable example occurred on October 28, when Bitcoin repeatedly failed to move above roughly $81,687-$81,831, with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $81,831 serving as strong intraday resistance, ultimately leading to a reversal toward $80,297 [7][6]. This consistent rejection below the $81,800-$81,900 cluster implied a bearish-to-neutral outlook for the asset [8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1Bitcoin price Near $81,800: 50-Day EMA Holds - ChainResearchchainresearch.digital
  2. 2Bitcoin Price Prediction Oct 2026: BTC Tests $80K Supportcoindcx.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Bounces After Losing $80K: The Calm Before the Fed?bitcoin-today.net
  4. 4Bitcoin Pinned Near $81500 As $635M ETF Outflows And...capitalstreetfx.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Price Clings to $81K as Sellers Circle Critical Supportnews.bitcoin.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Is Trading Below Its 20-Day and 50-Day Averages. Can It Reclaim $81,800? - 24/7 Wall St.247wallst.com
  7. 7Bitcoin price bounce rejected at 50-day trend line ahead of FOMC, earnings — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  8. 8Crypto BTC Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com

7. How does the recent activity of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors compare to the positioning of BTC futures traders leading into the October 28 Fed decision?

US Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows (Oct 26-27)$286 million [1][2]
October cumulative ETF flow$26 million negative [1]
BTC futures open interest increase9.2% (from Oct 12 to Oct 27) [3]
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors showed cautious re-engagement before the Fed decision. Net inflows of approximately $286 million were recorded over October 26 and October 27, with these inflows primarily concentrated in BlackRock's IBIT, indicating specific rather than broad-based demand [1][2]. Despite this recent improvement, October's cumulative flow remained about $26 million negative due to significant prior outflows of nearly $774 million on October 23-24, suggesting overall weakness in monthly ETF flows [1][3].
BTC futures traders adopted a more aggressive bullish, leveraged stance. Aggregate open interest across 22 exchanges rose 9.2% from October 12 to October 27, which was interpreted as predominantly dip-buying longs [3]. Leverage was elevated and exposed to the Fed, with open-interest-weighted funding at 9.8% annualized on October 28, indicating that longs were paying shorts [3]. While the immediate pre-decision derivatives picture was mixed, with some snapshots showing flat open interest and balanced taker flow, the overall sentiment in futures pointed to increased bullish, leveraged positions [4][5][6].
High futures leverage heightened Bitcoin's sensitivity to the Fed's decision. While ETF flows provided a modest spot-demand cushion, the crowded or rising futures leverage potentially made BTC more sensitive to a hawkish Fed decision [3][1][6]. The market was positioned with heightened leverage around the Fed announcement, capable of amplifying price movements [3]. The Federal Reserve ultimately held rates, and Bitcoin moved back above $81,000 afterward [7][6][2].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin (BTC) Price: BTC Holds Above $80K as Spot ETFs Draw $286M in Two Days – Stox Newsstox.news
  2. 2Bitcoin Fed Decision Macro Rebound: Only One ETF Bought While Traders Bet On Decemberbtcrepublic.com
  3. 3Bitcoin’s Next Test Comes After the Fed Decision - Bitfinex blogblog.bitfinex.com
  4. 4Bitcoin dips below $80,000 as crypto ignores Asian tech rally and Fed meeting beginscoindesk.com
  5. 5Bitcoin holds near $80,000 as Oil retreats and the Fed decision loomsfxstreet.com
  6. 6Bitcoin tops $81,000 ahead of Fed decision as memecoins lead altcoin gainscoindesk.com
  7. 7Live updates: Bitcoin trading just above $81,000 as Fed delivers hold on ratescoindesk.com

8. What datasets show Bitcoin's 15-minute price volatility and trading volume during the hours immediately following Federal Reserve announcements in 2026?

Dataset time range2020-01-01 through 2026-10-27 (vaquum/binance_btcusdt_15m_klines) [1]
Post-FOMC analysis interval14:00–14:15 ET (post-FOMC statement) [1][2]
Oct 28, 2026 prediction market window6:15–6:30 p.m. EDT (22:15–22:30 UTC) [3][4][1][5]
Several datasets track Bitcoin's 15-minute price volatility and trading volume. The vaquum/binance_btcusdt_15m_klines dataset provides 15-minute Open-High-Low-Close-Volume (OHLCV) data for Binance spot BTCUSDT, covering from January 1, 2020, through October 27, 2026 [1]. This dataset is suitable for measuring Bitcoin's 15-minute price volatility and volume immediately following Federal Reserve announcements in 2026, as it includes open, high, low, close, volume, trade count, maker ratio, and liquidity fields with UTC timestamps [1][2]. Its structure makes it ideal for analyzing the 14:00–14:15 ET interval post-FOMC and subsequent 15-minute bars for the scheduled 2026 FOMC statement releases. Other data sources, such as CryptoQuant and CryptoDatum, also offer minute-resolution or 15-minute OHLCV data that could be utilized for this analysis [6][7].
Analysis methods involve volatility, volume calculations, and event window comparisons. For 15-minute return volatility, calculations can use either the absolute close-to-close return or the high-low range divided by the open price. Bitcoin's Binance volume can be aggregated for each 15-minute candle, enabling comparisons between post-FOMC release bars and non-event Wednesdays [1][5]. Public event studies typically report minute-resolution Bitcoin reactions to FOMC announcements, generally focusing on returns or price ranges rather than comprehensive volume series [2][8][5]. For context, the prediction-market window for October 28, 2026, was from 6:15–6:30 p.m. EDT, which translates to 22:15–22:30 UTC, approximately four hours after the 2:00 p.m. EDT Fed announcement [3][4][1][5].
Sources (8)
  1. 1vaquum/binance_btcusdt_15m_klines · Datasets at Hugging Facehuggingface.co
  2. 2Bitcoin and gold after FOMC and CPI, since 2022 | Pravexpravex.app
  3. 3Live updates: Bitcoin trading just above $81,000 as Fed delivers hold on ratescoindesk.com
  4. 4Fed leaves interest rates unchanged, as expectedcoindesk.com
  5. 5Scheduled FOMC statements and intraday macro event risk in cryptocurrency marketsideas.repec.org
  6. 6BTC Market Data | CryptoQuant User Guideuserguide.cryptoquant.com
  7. 7Download Historical Crypto Data (CSV) – Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance | CryptoDatumcryptodatum.io
  8. 8FOMC Impact on Bitcoin · Measured Minute by Minute | ByKarantelibykaranteli.com

9. What price ranges for the 6:00 PM to 7:00 PM EDT window are implied by options market data and other prediction markets like Public.com?

6-7 PM EDT Central Range$81,000-$81,300 [1][2][3][4]
6-7 PM EDT Wider Practical Range$80,500-$81,500 [1][2][3][4]
6-7 PM EDT Stress/Outer Range$79,000-$82,500 [1][2][3][4]
Options market data suggests various price ranges for Bitcoin on October 28. For the 6:00 PM to 7:00 PM EDT window, market data implies a central price range for Bitcoin (BTC) of roughly $81,000-$81,300, with a wider practical range extending to approximately $80,500-$81,500, and a stress or outer range near $79,000-$82,500 [1][2][3][4]. These figures are derived from market-implied levels, particularly using longer-dated options distributions, and should be considered as implied ranges rather than guaranteed forecasts [1][2][3][4]. Specifically, options data around October 28, 2026, further situated BTC near $80,500-$81,400, with Deribit reference readings between approximately $80,489-$80,748 [1][2][3]. A broader options-implied 1-sigma range, calculated through the next expiry using a Deribit daily anchor of $80,748 and a 32-hour 1-sigma move of +/- $1,759, was approximately $78,989-$82,507; however, this specific range is not tailored to the one-hour window [1][3].
Prediction markets also provide specific price insights for the evening timeframe. Public.com's hourly market for October 28, 6:00 PM EDT, indicated a practical upper-tail range around $81,200-$81,400, with its median threshold positioned between $81,200 and $81,300 [4]. Additionally, a Kalshi-derived ladder observed at 5:00 PM EDT broadly placed BTC within $81,000-$81,300 for the nearby evening horizon [5]. While broader prediction market evidence indicates an October 28 closing price predominantly within the $80,000-$82,000 band, it is important to note that these markets often utilize differing resolution times and reference rules, serving more as supporting context than precise hourly forecasts [4][6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1BTC, ETH, SOL & XRP Max Pain, Put/Call & IV Skew | Fuelmapsfuelmaps.io
  2. 2BTC & ETH Options-Implied Probability — Free Data — Kronoskronossignals.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Options: BTC Implied Volatility, Skew, Put/Call Ratiooptimistfi.com
  4. 4BTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 6pm EDT? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5BTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: Live Odds (Full Field) | ContractTaxcontracttax.com
  6. 6Bitcoin Price on October 28? - Prediction Marketslines.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bitcoin trading on October 28 was influenced by anticipation of the Federal Reserve decision. The primary bullish catalyst was BTC recovering above $81,000 [1]. Galaxy described the market as an accumulation phase following a likely June bear-market low [2]. Technical support was near the 50-day EMA at $80,816, with resistance identified near $85,000 [3]. The principal bearish risks included a hawkish Fed signal, especially any indication of a December rate hike, and weak Big Tech earnings, both capable of reducing risk appetite and pressuring Bitcoin [1][3]. Momentum was mild, with RSI near 46 and MACD negative [3].
Key timeline events shaped market expectations. The FOMC statement was scheduled for 18:00 UTC (2:00 PM EDT) on October 28, followed by Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 18:30 UTC (2:30 PM EDT) [4][5]. October 29 featured advance Q3 GDP and September income/PCE data at 12:30 UTC (8:30 AM EDT), plus Coinbase and Strategy earnings after the U.S. close [4][5]. Approximately $10.9 billion in Deribit BTC options were set to expire at 08:00 UTC (4:00 AM EDT) on October 30 [4].
For the October 28, 2026 6:15–6:30 PM EDT window, the setup was event-driven, several hours after the Fed statement and press conference [3][4]. The requested $81,222.15 target was not directly surfaced; nearby Robinhood windows showed $81,145.73 for 5:45–6:00 PM and $81,275.00 for 6:00–6:15 PM, while the live 15-minute board showed $81,033.61 for 3:15–3:30 PM with 50% odds [6][7][8]. Robinhood’s BTC 15-minute contracts resolve using CF Benchmarks’ Bitcoin Real-Time Index [6][7][9][10]. A sustained move above $81,275 and toward $85,000 would support a bullish resolution [3]. Conversely, loss of the approximately $80,816 support area or hawkish-rate repricing would favor bearish pressure [3]. Prediction market evidence was mixed: OG showed 53% for BTC above $81,500 at 6:00 PM ET [11], while DeFi Rate reported roughly 61% Kalshi and 62% Polymarket-US odds for BTC finishing above its 3:45–4:00 PM target [12]. Polymarket’s daily market ultimately resolved the $80,000–$82,000 bracket at 100% [13].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 28, 2026
  • Expiration: November 04, 2026
  • Closes: October 28, 2026
Sources (13)
  1. 1Live updates: Bitcoin edges higher ahead of Fed decision Wednesday afternoon.coindesk.com
  2. 2BTC, ETH price news: Bitcoin nears $81,000 ahead of Fed decision as ZEC jumps 8%coindesk.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC reclaims $81,000 as traders await Fed policy decision, Big Tech earningsfxstreet.com
  4. 4Bitcoin week ahead: Fed 28 Oct, $10.9B options expiry 30 Octcryptowatchdesk.com
  5. 5Crypto week ahead: Bitcoin faces Fed, inflation, GDP testscrypto.news
  6. 6October 28, 2026: BTC 15 min · 6:00–6:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  7. 7October 28, 2026: BTC 15 min · 5:45–6:00 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  8. 815 min Prediction Market - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
  9. 9October 22, 2026: BTC 15 min · 7:00–7:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  10. 10October 22, 2026: BTC 15 min · 3:00–3:15 PM EDT Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  11. 11Bitcoin price Today at 6:00 pm ET Prediction & Odds - Bitcoin - OG.comog.com
  12. 12Bitcoin (BTC) 15-Min Prediction: Live Odds, Kalshi vs Polymarketdefirate.com
  13. 13Bitcoin price on October 28?polymarket.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 13 resolved YES, 7 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26OCT281815-15: NO (Oct 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT281800-00: YES (Oct 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT281745-45: YES (Oct 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT281730-30: NO (Oct 28, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT281715-15: YES (Oct 28, 2026)