What will Hims say during their next earnings call?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- FDA appears to have aggressively targeted compounded GLP-1s impacting Hims.
- Peptide-based weight loss is expected as Hims' primary growth driver.
- Hims appears to have shifted its Q1 2026 GLP-1 strategy.
- Hims anticipates a significant Canadian weight loss market entry in 2026.
- Hims is set to host its Q1 2026 earnings call on May 11, 2026.
- Management previously guided a Q1 revenue headwind due to shipping shifts.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDA | 56.0% | 61.4% | Regulatory developments or approvals from the FDA are often material to Hims' business operations. |
| Lab Testing | 90.0% | 85.9% | Hims may discuss its diagnostic capabilities or partnerships related to lab testing services. |
| Collaboration | 76.0% | 76.5% | Discussions often include new or ongoing collaborations that impact Hims' strategic growth. |
| Canada | 75.0% | 67.3% | Hims may provide updates on its market presence or operational performance in Canada. |
| Testosterone | 90.0% | 86.8% | Testosterone treatment is a core offering, and Hims likely provides updates on its performance. |
Current Context
Sources (6)
- 1Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers First Quarter 2026 Earnings Callinvestors.hims.com
- 2Hims & Hers to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 11, 2026 | Nasdaqnasdaq.com
- 3Hims & Hers Health Q1 2026 Earnings Preview — May 11, Street Expects $0.03 EPS - Alphastreetnews.alphastreet.com
- 4Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? P... 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
- 5Hims & Hers Announces Strategic Shift for US Weight Loss Businessbusinesswire.com
- 6Hims & Hers Expands Personalized Weight Loss Portfolio with Access to Compounded Semaglutide Pills Starting at $49/Month<em>businesswire.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Regulation
📈 May 08, 2026: 69.0pp spike
Price increased from 11.0% to 80.0%
Outcome: FDA
📈 May 07, 2026: 39.0pp spike
Price increased from 51.0% to 90.0%
Sources (7)
- 1What will Hims say during their next earnings call? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
- 2FDA GLP-1 Compounding Proposal Boosts LLY, NVO, and HIMS Stockmarketbeat.com
- 3What the FDA’s Latest Proposal Means for Lilly, Novo, and Himsinvesting.com
- 4Hims & Hers Is Down 7% After FDA Proposes New GLP-1 Drug Rules. Here’s What Investors Should Know | TIKR.comtikr.com
- 5FDA Pressure Tests Hims And Hers Weight Loss Growth Story - Simply Wall St Newssimplywall.st
- 6Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers First Quarter 2026 Earnings Callinvestors.hims.com
- 7Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 11, 2026investors.hims.com
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
The "Collaboration" market resolves to YES if the exact word, or its plural/possessive form, is spoken by any Hims & Hers Health, Inc. representative during their next earnings call (including Q&A); otherwise, it resolves to NO. The market opened on May 7, 2026, and will close upon the outcome or by September 30, 2026, with payouts projected 30 minutes after closing. Resolution primarily uses the earnings call video, with transcripts as a secondary source if a consensus cannot be reached; insider trading is prohibited.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peptide | $0.92 | $0.16 | 92% |
| Lab Testing | $0.90 | $0.18 | 90% |
| Testosterone | $0.93 | $0.10 | 90% |
| Regulation | $0.85 | $0.19 | 80% |
| Collaboration | $0.74 | $0.33 | 76% |
| Canada | $0.74 | $0.34 | 75% |
| Vitamin | $0.74 | $0.62 | 74% |
| Zava | $0.75 | $0.28 | 71% |
| FDA | $0.95 | $0.19 | 56% |
| Microdose / Microdosing | $0.41 | $0.97 | 20% |
| Cancer | $0.79 | $0.64 | 11% |
| Tariff | $0.46 | $0.97 | 3% |
| Amazon | $0.50 | $0.95 | 0% |
| Europe | $0.89 | $0.67 | 0% |
Market Discussion
Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) is expected to report Q1 2026 earnings on May 11, 2026 [1], with analysts projecting an EPS of $0.03 and revenue of $616.9M [2]. Prediction markets indicate a 78-85% probability of an earnings beat [3][4]. Management is anticipated to provide commentary on key topics, including weight loss subscriber growth, margin performance, regulatory issues surrounding semaglutide compounding, and competition [2][5].
Sources (5)
- 1HIMS Q1 2026 Earnings Report on 5/11/2026marketbeat.com
- 2Hims & Hers Health Q1 2026 Earnings Preview — May 11, Street Expects $0.03 EPS - Alphastreetnews.alphastreet.com
- 3Will Hims & Hers Health Beat Quarterly Earnings?lines.com
- 4Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? P... 2026 | Polymarketlmsh7.ggff.net
- 5HIMS Stock: Revenue Up, Earnings Down — What Matters More? | by Tickzen | Investor’s Handbook | Apr, 2026 | Mediummedium.com
5. What regulatory actions or FDA commentary regarding compounded drugs in Q1 2026 could force Hims to address the topic on their May 11 earnings call?
| FDA Commissioner Statement | February 6, 2026 [1] |
|---|---|
| Telehealth Warning Letters | 30 [2][3] |
| Hims-owned Compounder Cited | MedisourceRx [4] |
Sources (5)
- 1FDA Intends to Take Action Against Non-FDA-Approved GLP-1 Drugs | FDAfda.gov
- 2FDA Warns 30 Telehealth Companies Against Illegal Marketing of Compounded GLP-1s | FDAfda.gov
- 3FDA Warns 30 Telehealth Companies Against Illegal Marketing of Compounded GLP-1s | FDAfda.gov
- 4Hims & Hers compounder received FDA warning letter| STATstatnews.com
- 5FDA clarifies policies for compounders as national GLP-1 supply begins to stabilize | FDAfda.gov
6. What evidence from industry reports and analyst commentary in 2026 supports the idea that peptide-based weight loss is now a primary growth driver for Hims?
| Primary Growth Driver | Peptide-based weight loss (2026 industry reports) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Regulatory Catalyst | FDA regulatory movement on peptides (2026 commentary) [3] |
| Addressable Market Potential | Multi-billion-dollar by 2028 (expected from new peptide indications) [1] |
Sources (7)
- 1Hims Peptides: A Potential Revenue Driver Ahead of 2026 FDA Review - World Today Newsworld-today-news.com
- 2Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers Announces Strategic Shift for US Weight Loss Businessinvestors.hims.com
- 3Novo Deal, Eucalyptus Acquisition, FDA Peptides: Three Catalysts Reshaping Hims & Hers in 2026 | TIKR.comtikr.com
- 4Hims & Hers Health addresses scrutiny of GLP-1 compounding| STATstatnews.com
- 5Hims & Hers (HIMS) Earnings Call Transcript | The Motley Foolfool.com
- 6Hims & Hers Rallies 9% as Investors Bet Big on Peptide Pipeline and Novo Nordisk Dealfinance.yahoo.com
- 7Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 11, 2026investors.hims.com
7. How does Hims' Q1 2026 strategy for GLP-1 and compounded weight loss drugs compare to the offerings of competitors like Amazon Pharmacy and Ro?
| Hims GLP-1 Strategy Shift | Collaboration with Novo Nordisk announced March 2026, shifting towards FDA-approved medications [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Ro Compounded GLP-1 Status | Discontinued compounded GLP-1s in early 2026, now solely FDA-approved options [5] |
| Amazon Pharmacy Focus | Consistently focuses on FDA-approved GLP-1 medications, integrating primary and virtual care [6][7][8] |
8. What publicly available data tracks prescription volumes for key Hims telehealth categories like peptides and lab testing for the Q1 2026 period?
| Hims Q1 2026 Earnings Release Date | Monday, May 11, 2026 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| FormBlends Peptides Report Release | April 2026 [5] |
| Telemedicine Flexibilities Extension | December 31, 2026 [6][7] |
9. Which potential Q1 2026 milestones in its European or Canadian operations would be significant enough for Hims to highlight during the earnings call?
| Canada Generic Semaglutide Patent Expiry | January 2026 [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Hims Canada Weight Loss Launch | Planned for 2026, mid-2026 availability [1][2][3] |
| 2025 Rest of World Revenue | $134M (399% YoY increase) [4][5][6] |
Sources (11)
- 1Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers Announces Planned 2026 Expansion to Canada, Following ZAVA Acquisition Completioninvestors.hims.com
- 2Hims & Hers acquires Livewell in Canada in anticipation of generic Ozempic - The Globe and Mailglobeandmail.com
- 3Hims & Hers to offer generic semaglutide in Canada starting in 2026 | NYSE:NVOproactiveinvestors.com
- 4Hims & Hers (HIMS) Earnings Call Transcript - The Globe and Mailweb.theglobeandmail.com
- 5Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers Health, Inc. Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Resultsinvestors.hims.com
- 6finalq42025shareholderlesec.gov
- 7Hims & Hers Continues Major International Expansion with Official Entry into Canadanews.hims.com
- 8Going global: expanding Hims & Hers in Europenews.hims.com
- 9Hims & Hers Announces Plans to Acquire ZAVA, Accelerating Major European Growth Across the UK, Germany, France, and Ireland | Nasdaqnasdaq.com
- 10Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers Announces Plans to Acquire ZAVA, Accelerating Major European Growth Across the UK, Germany, France, and Irelandinvestors.hims.com
- 11Documentsec.gov
10. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: September 30, 2026
- Closes: September 30, 2026
Sources (6)
- 1Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers First Quarter 2026 Earnings Callinvestors.hims.com
- 2Hims Inc. - Hims & Hers to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on May 11, 2026investors.hims.com
- 3HIMS Q4 2025 Earnings Report on 2/23/2026marketbeat.com
- 4Hims & Hers Health Q1 2026 Earnings Preview — May 11, Street Expects $0.03 EPS - Alphastreetnews.alphastreet.com
- 5Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? P... 2026 | Polymarketpolymarket.com
- 6Will Hims & Hers Health Beat Quarterly Earnings?lines.com