Cadillac Championship: Top 20 Finishers
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Justin Rose completed a full equipment switch with McLaren Golf in April.
- Jordan Spieth re-entered top 50, currently on major qualification bubble.
- The market experienced significant price drops on May 1st and April 30th.
- No specific players identified as top 20% for Trump National Doral.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Daniel Berger
📉 May 01, 2026: 22.0pp drop
Price decreased from 27.0% to 5.0%
📈 April 28, 2026: 14.0pp spike
Price increased from 13.0% to 27.0%
Outcome: Jacob Bridgeman
📉 April 30, 2026: 32.0pp drop
Price decreased from 41.0% to 9.0%
📈 April 27, 2026: 15.0pp spike
Price increased from 28.0% to 43.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to Yes if Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 20 (including ties) of the 2026 Cadillac Championship. It resolves to No if he does not or withdraws after teeing off; a withdrawal prior to teeing off resolves to Fair Market Price. The market opened April 27, 2026, and closes after the event or by May 30, 2026, with payouts projected 5 minutes after closing.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. Which Players Rank Top 20% for Trump National Doral?
| Course Fit Tool Purpose | Evaluates player historical skill against course characteristics like length, water hazards, and wind [1] |
|---|---|
| Trump National Doral Rankings | Specific list of players in top 20% for Trump National Doral not available [2] |
| Available Doral Information | General information on Trump National Doral and Cadillac Championship available, but not player data [3], [4], [5], [6], [7], [8] |
Sources (10)
- 1Data Golfdatagolf.com
- 2Course Fit Tooldatagolf.com
- 3Trump Doral’s Cadillac Championship: Field, Course, History, Tee Times, How to Watchsi.com
- 42026 Cadillac Championship preview and predictions: PGA Tour makes its return to Trump National Doral - Golf Problemsgolfproblems.com
- 5Doral After Augusta: 10 Best Fits for the Florida Resetsportsorca.com
- 6Analyzing the Toughest Holes at Doralsportsorca.com
- 7The Strategy of Doral: How to Beat the Blue Monstersportsorca.com
- 8Shaping Shots at Doral Will Decide Cadillac Championshipsportsorca.com
- 9Course Fit Tooldatagolf.com
- 10Course Fit Tooldatagolf.com
6. Can Robinhood Prediction Market 'Top 20' Odds Be Compared to Sportsbooks?
| Prediction Market Focus | Top 20 Finishers, 2026 Cadillac Championship [1] |
|---|---|
| Sportsbook Data Available | Outright winner odds for Cadillac Championship [2] |
| Direct Comparison Status | Not currently possible due to lack of specific 'Top 20 Finish' odds from major sportsbooks [1] |
7. Can Golfers Showing SG: Approach Decline Be Identified?
| Specific Trend Data | Not available for decline of more than 0.5 strokes over last 8 starts [1]. |
|---|---|
| Data Golf Tool Scope | Queries for various SG categories over the last 12 months [2] |
| PGA TOUR Stats Availability | Official stats pages are available [3] |
8. What Major Golf Equipment Changes Happened in April 2026?
| Justin Rose New Equipment Deal | McLaren Golf, full bag switch (April 2026 [1]) |
|---|---|
| Jordan Spieth Equipment Adjustment | Included golf ball change (April 2026 [2]) |
| Event of Equipment Debuts | Cadillac Championship (April 2026 [1]) |
Sources (5)
- 1Justin Rose WITB April 2026: Inside the bag of the McLaren Golf signee | Golfmagicgolfmagic.com
- 2Jordan Spieth Makes Big Equipment Change as Lingering Issue Comes Into Focus - EssentiallySportsessentiallysports.com
- 3Justin Rose WITB January 2026: Inside the eclectic setup of the English greatgolfmagic.com
- 4Why Justin Rose changed clubs mid-season despite strong PGA Tour form | Golfmagicgolfmagic.com
- 5Jordan Spieth sparkles, surges at Cadillac Championship in return to Blue Monster - PGA TOURpgatour.com
9. Is Jordan Spieth "On the Bubble" for Major Golf Events?
| Player Status | Jordan Spieth is currently "on the bubble" [1] |
|---|---|
| OWGR Ranking | Climbed into the Top 50 of Official World Golf Ranking as of April 28, 2026 [1] |
| Crucial Performance | A top 20 finish at a significant tournament like the Cadillac Championship is crucial [2] |
Sources (4)
- 1Jordan Spieth climbs back into top 50 in Official World Golf Ranking - FOGOLF - FOLLOW GOLFfogolf.com
- 22026 Cadillac Championship field: PGA Tour players, rankingsthegolfnewsnet.com
- 32026 PGA Tour Golf Fedex Standings Leaders & Stats - Rankings Stats | FOX Sportsfoxsports.com
- 4PGA TOUR FedExCup Official Standingspgatour.com
11. Related News
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12. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 5 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXPGATOP20-CAC26-PCAN: SCALAR (Apr 29, 2026)
- KXPGATOP20-CAC26-JKNA: SCALAR (Apr 30, 2026)
- KXPGATOP20-ZUCONO26-THVI: YES (Apr 26, 2026)
- KXPGATOP20-ZUCONO26-STWA: NO (Apr 24, 2026)
- KXPGATOP20-ZUCONO26-SMSP: YES (Apr 26, 2026)