Topic tracker · Sports

PGA Top 20 Finisher

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 12 so far (0 live, 12 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new PGA Top 20 Finisher markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated June 28, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
Travelers Championship: Top 20 Finishers July 26, 2026 0.0% vs 2.0%
U.s. Open: Top 20 Finishers July 19, 2026 6.9% vs 15.0%
Charles Schwab Challenge: Top 20 Finishers June 28, 2026 29.2% vs 42.0%
The Cj Cup Byron Nelson: Top 20 Finishers June 21, 2026 3.6% vs 9.0%
PGA Championship: Top 20 Finishers June 14, 2026 85.9% vs 89.0%
Truist Championship: Top 20 Finishers June 7, 2026 56.7% vs 66.0%
Cadillac Championship: Top 20 Finishers May 31, 2026 5.0% vs 5.0%
Rbc Heritage: Top 20 Finishers May 17, 2026 83.4% vs 87.0%
The Masters: Top 20 Finishers April 27, 2026 93.7% vs 94.0%
Valero Texas Open: Top 20 Finishers May 3, 2026 89.7% vs 92.0%
Texas Children's Houston Open: Top 20 Finishers April 26, 2026 1.4% vs 4.0%
Valspar Championship Top 20 Finisher April 19, 2026 0.0% vs 5.0%