1+ golf major championship wins
Market Model 97.0% 94.5%
2+ golf major championship wins
Market Model 0.0% 0.4%
Golf Markets
Active Markets (6)
1+ golf major championship wins
Market Model 50.0% 39.8%
2+ golf major championship wins
Market Model 25.0% 19.2%
Yes
Market Model 8.0% 6.9%
Tiger Woods
Market Model 30.0% 29.8%
Webb Simpson
Market Model 8.0% 5.0%
2027 Ryder Cup Winner Kalshi
Team USA
Market Model 33.0% 32.7%
Team Europe
Market Model 44.0% 61.2%
Yes
Market Model 3.0% 1.9%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Russell: Golf Majors before 2036 Top outcome: 1+ golf major championship wins | 97.0% | 94.5% | High | 63 | Refresh |
| Jackson Koivun: Golf Majors before 2036 Top outcome: 1+ golf major championship wins | 50.0% | 39.8% | High | 68 | Refresh |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028? Yes refers to: Before 2028 | 8.0% | 6.9% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
| U.S. Team Captain at 2027 Ryder Cup Top outcome: Tiger Woods | 30.0% | 29.8% | Med | 70 | Refresh |
| 2027 Ryder Cup Winner Top outcome: Team USA | 33.0% | 32.7% | High | 79 | Refresh |
| Steph Curry to compete in a PGA Tour event before 2028 Yes refers to: Yes | 3.0% | 1.9% | Med | 65 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (42)
PGA Tour: BMW Championship Winner Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
The Open Championship Winner Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
U.s. Open: Top 20 Finishers Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
U.s. Open: Top 10 Finishers Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
U.S. Open: Round 1 Scores Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
U.S. Open Winner Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
RBC Canadian Open Winner Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Jannik Sinner
Market Model 40.0% 32.0%
Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Bryson DeChambeau combined
Market Model 56.0% 53.8%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
The Masters: Top 5 Finishers Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
The Masters: To Make the Cut Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Valero Texas Open Winner Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Scottie Scheffler
Market Model 57.0% 62.0%
Tom Kim
Market Model 5.0% 5.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Low | — | ||
| Who will win more major tournaments this year? Top outcome: Jannik Sinner | 40.0% | 32.0% | High | — | |
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| Who will win a PGA Tour Major in 2026? Top outcome: Scottie Scheffler | 57.0% | 62.0% | Med | — | |
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | High | — |
