Ethan Holliday: Debut Date Kalshi
Before Aug 1, 2029
Market Model 52.0% 39.4%
Before Aug 1, 2030
Market Model 97.0% 94.8%
baseball Markets
Active Markets (4)
Thomas White: Debut Date Kalshi
Before Nov 1, 2027
Market Model 85.0% 68.6%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 53.0% 42.4%
Aaron Boone: Out by Date Kalshi
Out before Nov 15, 2026
Market Model 25.0% 19.2%
Out before Mar 24, 2027
Market Model 28.0% 21.6%
Jesús Made: Debut Date Kalshi
Before Aug 1, 2027
Market Model 0.0% 11.0%
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 0.0% 10.0%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Holliday: Debut Date Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2029 | 52.0% | 39.4% | High | 51 | Refresh |
| Thomas White: Debut Date Top outcome: Before Nov 1, 2027 | 85.0% | 68.6% | High | 60 | Refresh |
| Aaron Boone: Out by Date Top outcome: Out before Nov 15, 2026 | 25.0% | 19.2% | High | 69 | Refresh |
| Jesús Made: Debut Date Top outcome: Before Aug 1, 2027 | 0.0% | 11.0% | High | 65 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (154)
Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Minnesota vs San Francisco Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
San Diego vs Los Angeles D Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Washington vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs Atlanta Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Washington vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs Baltimore Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
St. Louis vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Atlanta vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
MLB World Series Champion 2026 Polymarket
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago C vs St. Louis Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Philadelphia vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
New York M vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Los Angeles D Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Philadelphia vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Colorado vs San Francisco Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Seattle vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago C vs Baltimore Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York Y vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs San Francisco Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs San Francisco Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Seattle vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Houston vs Washington Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York Y vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Boston vs Los Angeles A Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs Cincinnati Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago WS vs Cleveland Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Tampa Bay vs Houston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Pittsburgh vs Washington Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
St. Louis vs Chicago C Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago WS vs Cleveland Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago WS vs Cleveland Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Miami vs Colorado Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago C vs Colorado Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Walker Jenkins: Debut Date Kalshi
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 85.0% 74.7%
Before Nov 1, 2027
Market Model 81.0% 75.0%
Kade Anderson: Debut Date Kalshi
Before May 1, 2027
Market Model 64.0% 61.1%
Before Aug 1, 2028
Market Model 84.0% 83.5%
Los Angeles D vs Arizona Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Houston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
90+ wins
Market Model 10.0% 5.0%
85+ wins
Market Model 28.0% 14.5%
8+ inside-the-park home runs
Market Model 63.0% 45.0%
7+ inside-the-park home runs
Market Model 60.0% 56.2%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Texas Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Samsung Lions vs NC Dinos Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
KT Wiz vs Kiwoom Heroes Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Kia Tigers vs Lotte Giants Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Colorado vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles A vs Toronto Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
NL Central Division Winner Kalshi
Pittsburgh
Market Model 13.0% 6.4%
Cincinnati
Market Model 8.0% 9.6%
AL West Division Winner Kalshi
Seattle
Market Model 50.0% 53.8%
A's
Market Model 17.0% 15.9%
65+ wins
Market Model 56.0% 41.4%
70+ wins
Market Model 35.0% 21.2%
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York M vs Colorado Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York M vs Los Angeles A Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago WS vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs Minnesota Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Chicago C Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cleveland vs A's Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Kansas City vs Seattle Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Atlanta vs Colorado Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Philadelphia vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Washington Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Houston vs Boston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs New York Y Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model 25.0% 25.0%
New York M vs Los Angeles A Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Kansas City vs Seattle Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago WS vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Atlanta vs Colorado Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles D vs St. Louis Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Philadelphia vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Houston vs Boston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Washington Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cleveland vs A's Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Chicago C Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Toronto vs Minnesota Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs New York Y Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
San Francisco vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Philadelphia vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Houston vs Boston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs New York Y Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Washington Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs Detroit Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Chicago C Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs Detroit: Total Runs Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
George Washington vs Towson Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
San Francisco vs Cincinnati Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Washington vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs A's Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Seattle vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cleveland vs St. Louis Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Baltimore Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Miami vs Atlanta Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Washington vs Pittsburgh Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles A vs New York Y Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York M vs Los Angeles D Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago C vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Boston vs Minnesota Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Texas vs A's Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cleveland vs St. Louis Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York M vs Los Angeles D Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles A vs New York Y Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Miami vs Atlanta Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Chicago C vs Philadelphia Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs Baltimore Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Houston vs Seattle Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Colorado vs San Diego Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Pro Baseball Champion Kalshi
Los Angeles D
Market Model 28.7% 27.4%
New York Y
Market Model 16.9% 11.3%
New York Y vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Cincinnati vs Miami Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles D vs Toronto Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Arizona vs New York M Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Baltimore vs Chicago WS Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Seattle vs Texas Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Milwaukee vs Boston Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Kansas City vs Cleveland Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Los Angeles D vs Kansas City Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
New York Y vs Tampa Bay Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
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| Walker Jenkins: Debut Date Top outcome: Before May 1, 2027 | 85.0% | 74.7% | High | — | |
| Kade Anderson: Debut Date Top outcome: Before May 1, 2027 | 64.0% | 61.1% | High | — | |
| — | — | High | — | ||
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| New York M pro baseball wins this season? Top outcome: 90+ wins | 10.0% | 5.0% | High | — | |
| Pro Baseball: Inside-The-Park Home Runs Top outcome: 8+ inside-the-park home runs | 63.0% | 45.0% | High | — | |
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| NL Central Division Winner Top outcome: Pittsburgh | 13.0% | 6.4% | High | — | |
| AL West Division Winner Top outcome: Seattle | 50.0% | 53.8% | High | — | |
| Washington pro baseball wins this season? Top outcome: 65+ wins | 56.0% | 41.4% | High | — | |
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| Pro Baseball: 4+ Home Run Game Yes refers to: 4+ Home runs | 25.0% | 25.0% | Med | — | |
| — | — | High | — | ||
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| — | — | Low | — | ||
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| Pro Baseball Champion Top outcome: Los Angeles D | 28.7% | 27.4% | High | — | |
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