Topic tracker · Sports
Challenger WTA
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 8 so far (0 live, 8 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Challenger WTA markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated May 14, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charaeva vs Korpatsch | May 28, 2026 | 58.5% vs 52.0% | Report → |
| Keys vs Rakotomanga Rajaonah | May 28, 2026 | 93.2% vs 93.0% | Report → |
| Sasnovich vs Blinkova | May 28, 2026 | 69.6% vs 66.0% | Report → |
| Marcinko vs Kraus | May 2, 2026 | 1.0% vs 1.0% | Report → |
| Kraus vs Selekhmeteva | April 27, 2026 | 38.8% vs 44.0% | Report → |
| Selekhmeteva vs Janicijevic | April 21, 2026 | 64.0% vs 58.0% | Report → |
| Hercog vs Korpatsch | April 9, 2026 | 63.2% vs 41.0% | Report → |
| Bassols Ribera vs Niemeier | April 5, 2026 | 47.5% vs 43.0% | Report → |
