Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0
Market Model 56.0% 51.9%
Topic tracker · Economics
Fed Combo
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Fed Combo markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 1, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents | April 29, 2026 | 2.2% vs 2.2% | Report → |
