Above 6
Market Model 33.0% 32.3%
Above 4
Market Model 54.0% 57.2%
Topic tracker · Climate and Weather
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Hurricanes markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated September 10, 2026