Will Trump be impeached? Kalshi
Before Jan 1, 2027
Market Model 4.1% 2.8%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Market Model 58.0% 43.3%
Topic tracker · Politics
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new President impeached markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 14, 2026