Above 279M
Market Model 90.0% 100.0%
Above 281M
Market Model 1.0% 0.0%
Topic tracker · Economics
SPR level on date
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (1 live, 1 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new SPR level on date markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated November 10, 2026
Live market
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026 | August 26, 2026 | 100.0% vs 99.0% | Report → |
