Short Answer

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve level for the week ending November 6, 2026, will be above 277 million barrels, as official DOE data confirmed the SPR level at 279.5 million barrels for that week. The market considers this outcome likely (99.0%).

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market's price action was driven entirely by the release of official US government data on its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). The definitive move was a 30-point spike on November 9, 2026, after the Department of Energy announced the SPR level for the week ending November 6 was 279.5 million barrels. This figure, reported by outlets including Dawn.com, directly resolved the contract's terms and sent the probability from 65% to 95%.
A prior 42-point spike on November 5 was based on anticipation of that same data release. The market priced in expectations that the official number would land above the contract's threshold, moving from 26% to 68% well before the official confirmation. The two movements reflect a classic pattern of pricing on expectation, followed by a final adjustment on confirmation.
  • The SPR level at 279.5 million barrels confirms outcomes 'Above 279M'.
  • Outcomes 'Above 280M' are confirmed 'No'; the SPR fell below this.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Above 279M 90.0% 100.0% The DOE confirmed SPR level of 279.5 million barrels is above 279 million barrels.
Above 281M 1.0% 0.0% The DOE confirmed SPR level of 279.5 million barrels is not above 281 million barrels.
Above 278M 94.0% 100.0% The DOE confirmed SPR level of 279.5 million barrels is above 278 million barrels.
Above 280M 1.0% 0.0% The DOE confirmed SPR level of 279.5 million barrels is not above 280 million barrels.
Above 277M 99.0% 100.0% The DOE confirmed SPR level of 279.5 million barrels is above 277 million barrels.

Current Context

US SPR reaches lowest level since 1982 amid drawdowns. The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell to 279.5 million barrels for the week ending November 6, 2026, according to DOE data released November 9, 2026 [1][2]. This is the lowest level since October 8, 1982, when stocks stood at 278.725 million barrels [1][2]. The current level represents approximately 39% of the authorized storage capacity of 714 million barrels, a decline from about 41% (293.4 million barrels) in August 2026 [1][3]. This drawdown is part of a US agreement to release 172 million barrels; Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced plans in March 2026 to release 170 million barrels and replenish 200 million barrels in 2027 [1][2][3]. If the full volume is released, stocks could fall below 250 million barrels, which would mark a record low since records began in August 1982 [1][2][3]. Weekly SPR levels in 2026 show a steady decline of approximately 136 million barrels over eight months, from 415.4 million barrels in mid-March to 279.5 million barrels by November 6 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8].
Market sentiment shifts on political outcomes and supply-demand imbalances. Brent crude futures plunged 17% in the week following the US midterms on November 3, 2026, marking the largest weekly drop since the 2020 Covid outbreak [9][10]. Traders linked this decline to Democratic election victories and potential pressure on the Trump administration to end the Iran war [9][10]. Ilia Bouchouev of Carnegie Mellon's Commodities Quant Lab suggests physical oil markets now act as derivatives of futures, with a floor around $70 per barrel where governments and refiners would become buyers to replenish depleted reserves [9]. JP Morgan estimated the global oil market entered a surplus of 1.4 million barrels per day in October 2026, with global refineries processing approximately 5% less crude in Q3 2026 compared to a year earlier [9]. OPEC+ is expected to maintain current oil production levels through the end of 2026, with group-wide cuts of approximately 2 million barrels per day remaining intact beyond September [11]. OPEC lowered its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 780,000 barrels per day [11]. BNP Paribas warned that a dual blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by both Iran and the United States could push crude oil to $200 per barrel, with 40% of oil and gas executives in a Dallas Fed survey anticipating normalization of Hormuz traffic no earlier than November 2026 [12]. Traders on Kalshi were pricing in more than an 80% chance of a Fed rate hike at its December 8-9, 2026 meeting, which would take the federal funds rate to 4.00%-4.25% [13].
Prediction markets align with reported SPR levels; key reports due. On Public.com, the prediction market for the US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026, showed a 99% probability for 'Above 277M', 94% for 'Above 278M', and 90% for 'Above 279M' [14]. Total event volume was $20,135.96, with resolution on November 11, 2026 [14]. Upcoming key dates for the week of November 9-15, 2026, include the EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook (Nov 10), API Weekly Crude Inventory (Nov 10), OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (Nov 11), CPI Inflation Report (Nov 11), Baker Hughes Rig Count (Nov 13), CFTC Commitments of Traders (Nov 13), and IEA Oil Market Report (Nov 13) [15][16][17].
Sources (17)
  1. 1Oil stocks in US strategic petroleum reserve fall to lowest level since 1982 - DAWN.COMdawn.com
  2. 2La Jornada - Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo de EU cuenta con 279.5 millones de barriles, la cifra más baja desde 1982jornada.com.mx
  3. 3US Strategic Oil Reserves Fall to Lowest Level Since 1982 - Pakistan Timespakistantimes.com
  4. 4US Crude Inventories Post Largest Weekly Build Since Julytradingeconomics.com
  5. 5OIL: EIA Weekly US Petroleum Summary - Week to Jul 3 - 07-08-2026 | MNImnimarkets.com
  6. 6U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve Hits 1982 Low After 3.7M Barrel Weekly Decline | Gate Newsgate.com
  7. 7Post by @gasbuddyguy.bsky.social — Blueskybsky.app
  8. 8Oil Inventories and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve — The Baratelli Institutebaratelliinstitute.com
  9. 9The oil slump has gone too far. Where prices could go next. | Mintlivemint.com
  10. 10Eco Week November 9, 2026– Economic Research – BNP Paribaseconomic-research.bnpparibas.com
  11. 11OPEC+ Expected to Maintain Current Oil Production Levels Through End of 2026 - Financial Arabiafinancialarabia.com
  12. 12Strait of Hormuz Reopening in Sight? Don’t Be Optimistic Too Early: Energy Executives Bet on November, Oil Prices Could Hit $200.tradingkey.com
  13. 13Take Five: Tech wreck and roll By Reutersinvesting.com
  14. 14US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  15. 15Houston Energy Market Calendar | Houston Energy Workshoustonenergyworks.com
  16. 16OPEC Calendar of Meetings and Reportstradingeconomics.com
  17. 1721 January 2026iea.blob.core.windows.net

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Above 278M

📈 November 09, 2026: 87.0pp spike

Price increased from 7.0% to 94.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 87.0 percentage point spike was the official reporting of the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level. On November 9, 2026, Dawn.com, citing Reuters and US Department of Energy data, announced that the SPR fell to 279.5 million barrels for the week ending November 6, 2026 [1]. This news coincided directly with the market movement, confirming the prediction market outcome "Above 278M" [1][2]. Social media was irrelevant, as there was no specific activity identified that directly related to this precise SPR data release or its timing.

📉 November 08, 2026: 63.0pp drop

Price decreased from 70.0% to 7.0%

What happened: The 63.0 percentage point drop on November 8, 2026, for the "Above 278M" outcome cannot be directly attributed to specific social media activity or traditional news, as no such reports are provided for that date. The actual US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level for the week ending November 6, 2026, was officially confirmed at 279.5 million barrels on November 9, 2026, by the US Department of Energy, which met the "Above 278M" threshold [1][3][2]. Therefore, the market movement on November 8, 2026, appears to have resulted from pre-release speculative trading or market structure factors, such as a large trade reacting to an unsubstantiated rumor or anticipating a level below 278M. Given the absence of specific social media or news evidence tied to the movement date, social media activity was irrelevant as a primary driver for this particular price drop.

Outcome: Above 281M

📉 November 06, 2026: 15.0pp drop

Price decreased from 58.0% to 43.0%

What happened: The primary driver for the 15.0 percentage point drop was the announcement on November 1, 2026, that the US loaned 8.5 million barrels of Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) oil [4]. This traditional news directly indicated a substantial drawdown from the previous week's 282.2 million barrels [5], making it unlikely for the SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026, to remain "Above 281M." The official DOE data later confirmed the SPR fell to 279.5 million barrels for that week [1][3][6]. Social media activity was irrelevant based on the provided information.

Outcome: Above 277M

📈 November 05, 2026: 55.0pp spike

Price increased from 29.0% to 84.0%

What happened: The 55.0 percentage point spike in the "Above 277M" prediction market was primarily driven by the anticipation of official U.S. Department of Energy data regarding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level [1][3]. This data, later released on November 9, 2026, confirmed the SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026, at 279.5 million barrels, marking the lowest level since 1982 [1][3]. No significant social media activity, influential posts, or viral narratives were identified as a primary catalyst leading or coinciding with this price movement [1][3]. Consequently, social media was irrelevant in driving this prediction market spike, consistent with patterns where official data releases typically dominate SPR-related market events [1][3].
Sources (6)
  1. 1Oil stocks in US strategic petroleum reserve fall to lowest level since 1982 - DAWN.COMdawn.com
  2. 2US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3La Jornada - Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo de EU cuenta con 279.5 millones de barriles, la cifra más baja desde 1982jornada.com.mx
  4. 4USO −12.2%, XLE −11.3%: US Loans 8.5 Million Barrels of SPR Oil in Second Batch Since Iran War (Nov 1, 2026) | Geopolitics Alphageopoliticsalpha.com
  5. 5US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Falls to 282.2Mln Barrels, Lowest Since October 1982 - DOEsputnikglobe.com
  6. 6Oil stocks in US strategic petroleum reserve fall to lowest level since 1982 - DAWN.COMdawn.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves "YES" if the reported US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level for the week ending November 6, 2026, is above 283 million barrels. Conversely, it resolves "NO" if the SPR level is 283 million barrels or below for that same week. Trading for this market commences on November 11, 2026, at 9:30 am EST, and the market is expected to resolve on or around this date. No special settlement conditions are specified.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Above 277M $1.00 $0.05 99%
Above 278M $1.00 $0.08 94%
Above 279M $1.00 $0.09 90%
Above 280M $0.09 $1.00 1%
Above 281M $0.06 $1.00 1%
Above 282M $0.06 $1.00 1%
Above 283M $0.02 $1.00 1%
Above 284M $0.02 $1.00 1%
Above 285M $0.02 $1.00 1%
Above 286M $0.02 $1.00 1%
Above 287M $0.02 $1.00 1%
Above 288M $0.02 $1.00 1%

Market Discussion

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level for the week ending November 6, 2026, fell to 279.5 million barrels, marking the lowest level since October 8, 1982, according to US Department of Energy data released November 9, 2026 [1][2]. This figure follows an approximately 135.9 million barrel decline from March 6, 2026, as part of a US agreement to release 172 million barrels, with Energy Secretary Chris Wright announcing plans in March 2026 to release 170 million barrels [1][2][3][4][5]. The Public.com prediction market for this week's SPR level reflected strong conviction, showing 'Above 277M' at 99% and 'Above 278M' at 94% probability [6].

Sources (6)
  1. 1Oil stocks in US strategic petroleum reserve fall to lowest level since 1982 - DAWN.COMdawn.com
  2. 2La Jornada - Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo de EU cuenta con 279.5 millones de barriles, la cifra más baja desde 1982jornada.com.mx
  3. 3Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Level: 282.2M bbl (Oct 30, 2026)thevaultreport.com
  4. 4EIA History - 2026 | TankerTrackers.com, Inc.tankertrackers.com
  5. 5Recent oil shocks have led last two U.S. administrations to draw down petroleum reserve | Pew Research Centerpewresearch.org
  6. 6US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 77 Good

Largest single print on KXSPRLVL-26NOV11-T279 carried 36% of its $2,567 tape (window is 100% of 24h flow)

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score80Good
Trade quality20% of score67Caution
Trust score77Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply

6. What crude oil price threshold would likely compel the Department of Energy to begin replenishing the SPR ahead of its 2027 schedule?

Likely SPR replenishment triggerBelow $65 WTI (analytical estimate) [1][2][3]
SPR replenishment watch zone$65–$70 WTI (analytical estimate) [1][2][3]
Recent SPR purchase (barrels)1 million barrels (late-2025/early-2026 delivery) [2][3]
The Department of Energy does not specify a fixed price trigger. The Department of Energy's (DOE) FY2027 budget materials do not specify a fixed dollar-per-barrel trigger for Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) replenishment [1]. However, trading research estimates suggest that SPR replenishment is likely to accelerate when West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices fall below $65 per barrel. The price range of $65–$70 WTI is considered a watch zone, while prices exceeding $70–$75 WTI typically favor more gradual or scheduled purchases, absent other directives. These price thresholds are analytical estimates and do not represent official DOE guidance [1][2][3].
Early SPR replenishment is feasible with available funding. Strategic Petroleum Reserve replenishment can proceed even before a long-term refill schedule is established, provided that funding and procurement mechanisms are available [2]. An example of this is the DOE's announcement of a solicitation in late 2025 to purchase 1 million barrels of crude oil, which was funded by $171 million from the Working Families Tax Cut [3]. Contracts were subsequently awarded for approximately 1 million barrels, with deliveries scheduled between December 1, 2025, and January 31, 2026, thereby demonstrating the feasibility of early replenishment efforts [2].
Sources (3)
  1. 1DOE FY 2027 Volume 3 - SPRenergy.gov
  2. 2Energy Department Awards Contracts to Begin Refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve | Department of Energyenergy.gov
  3. 3Energy Department Issues Solicitation to Purchase Crude Oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve | Department of Energyenergy.gov

7. What evidence from refinery processing data and crude inventory reports in Q3-Q4 2026 supports JP Morgan's claim of a 1.4 million bpd market surplus?

US Crude Inventories > 409M barrels65% (week ending November 6, 2026) [1]
US Crude Inventories > 410M barrels55% (week ending November 6, 2026) [1]
Nov 2026 Refinery Utilization > 88%99% odds (prediction market) [2]
Market data indicates supply exceeds demand, but precise surplus remains unconfirmed. Evidence from refinery processing data and crude inventory reports for Q3-Q4 2026 suggests that elevated commercial crude stocks, coexisting with expected high refinery utilization, indicate supply running ahead of immediate demand [2][1][3][4]. However, this information alone cannot validate JPMorgan's precise claim of a 1.4 million bpd global market surplus [2][1][3][4].
Key indicators support a surplus directionally, yet exact throughput data remains absent. As of November 10, 2026, U.S. commercial crude inventories for the week ending November 6 were priced with 65% odds above 409 million barrels and 55% odds above 410 million barrels [1]. The November 2026 refinery-utilization prediction market showed a 99% chance for utilization above 88% [2]. While refinery-processing data were confirmed available by an EIA release on November 4, 2026, the specific underlying Q3-Q4 daily throughput values were not provided [3][5]. Therefore, the available information supports a directional conclusion of supply exceeding demand but lacks the specific data needed to validate an exact market surplus figure [2][1][3][4].
Sources (5)
  1. 1Econ Weekly Odds & Predictions 2026 | Kalshikalshi.com
  2. 2US refinery utilization in November Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  3. 3Refinery Inputs of Crude Oileia.gov
  4. 4Stocks of Crude Oil, SPReia.gov
  5. 5Refinery Inputs of Crude Oileia.gov

8. How do the November 2026 global oil demand forecasts from the IEA's Oil Market Report and OPEC's Monthly Oil Market Report compare?

IEA 2026 Global Oil Demand Forecast102.4 million barrels per day (October 2026 report) [1]
IEA 2026 YoY Demand Decrease2.6 million barrels per day (October 2026 report) [1]
OPEC 2026 Global Oil Demand GrowthAbout 1.4 million barrels per day (November 2025, March 2026, April 2026 materials) [2][3][4]
The exact comparison of global oil demand forecasts for November 2026 between the IEA and OPEC remains unverified, as the specific November 2026 reports from both organizations were not available in the research [1][2][3][4]. According to the IEA's October 2026 report, the global oil demand forecast for the entirety of 2026 was 102.4 million barrels per day, which indicated a decrease of 2.6 million barrels per day compared to the previous year. Fourth-quarter 2026 demand was also projected to be down by 2.5 million barrels per day year over year. Looking ahead to 2027, global oil use was anticipated to recover partially by 2 million barrels per day, though it was still expected to be 620 thousand barrels per day, or 0.6%, below 2025 levels [1].
In contrast, OPEC’s forecasts generally indicated positive global oil demand growth. OPEC's available materials from November 2025, March 2026, and April 2026 consistently forecasted 2026 global oil-demand growth at approximately 1.4 million barrels per day. The projection for 2027 global oil demand growth, according to these reports, was around 1.3 million barrels per day [2][3][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Oil Market Report - October 2026 - IEAiea.org
  2. 2Feature article:opec.org
  3. 3Feature article:opec.org
  4. 4Feature article:opec.org

9. What are the precise release dates for the key oil market reports from the EIA, IEA, and OPEC scheduled for November and December 2026?

EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Release DateWednesday, November 11, 2026 [1][2][3]
EIA Report Release Time10:30 AM EST (3:30 PM UTC) [1][2][3]
EIA Report Week EndingNovember 6, 2026 [1][2][3]
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) is scheduled to release its Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the week ending November 6, 2026, on Wednesday, November 11, 2026 [1][2][3]. This report will be publicly available at approximately 10:30 AM EST, which corresponds to 3:30 PM UTC [1][2][3].
This specific release date holds additional significance for financial markets. The EIA report's publication on November 11, 2026, also marks the resolution date for the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level prediction market [1][2][3]. The final outcome of this prediction market will be determined by the SPR value detailed within the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, specifically for the week ending November 6, 2026 [1][2][3].
Sources (3)
  1. 1US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  2. 2US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 odds: Above 277M 99% on Kalshipredictdesks.com

10. How might a potential end to the Iran war before year-end 2026 alter the Department of Energy's strategy for SPR releases?

SPR stabilization target279-280 million barrels [1][2]
Market expectation of new SPR releaseAt least one before January 1, 2027 [1]
Market median US SPR level279.481 million barrels (week ending November 6, 2026) [3][4][5][6]
An end to the Iran war would prompt significant changes to U.S. SPR strategy. If the Iran conflict concludes before year-end 2026, the Department of Energy (DOE) is expected to reduce the pace of Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) releases, particularly as oil prices decrease [1][2]. This strategic adjustment would prioritize stabilizing the SPR around 279-280 million barrels, shifting focus from continued drawdowns to maintaining current SPR levels [1][2].
A ceasefire could significantly depress oil prices, despite market expectations. Although market expectations indicate at least one new SPR release by the U.S. before January 1, 2027 [1], a de-escalation or end to the Iran conflict poses a significant downside risk for crude oil prices [2]. For example, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, priced at approximately $83-84 per barrel on November 10, 2026, faces a 36% probability of dropping to $65 by the week of November 9, 2026, should the conflict resolve [2].
Though a nuclear deal is unlikely, a ceasefire remains possible. The probability of a formal U.S.-Iran Final Nuclear Deal is low, estimated at 7% by December 31, 2026, and 2% by November 30, 2026 [7][2]. Nonetheless, a ceasefire or an end to the war is still a possibility and would likely trigger the DOE's stabilization strategy for the SPR [7][2]. The market median for the U.S. SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026, is projected to be 279.481 million barrels [3][4][5][6].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027? Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  2. 2Commodities | Prediction Markets | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  3. 3US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  4. 4US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  5. 5US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 odds: Above 277M 99% on Kalshipredictdesks.com
  6. 6US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
  7. 7US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) level for the week ending November 6, 2026, was 279.5 million barrels, a decrease of approximately 2.7 million barrels from the 282.2 million barrels recorded the prior week [1][2][3][4]. This marked the lowest SPR level since October 1982 [1][2][3][4]. Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced in March 2026 a US agreement to release 172 million barrels from the facility, with plans for a 200 million barrel replenishment in 2027 [2][1]. If the full release occurs, SPR stocks could fall below 250 million barrels, a record low since August 1982 [2][1]. The Public.com prediction market for the week ending November 6, 2026, showed a 90% probability for the SPR level to be 'Above 279M' [5]. The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report for this period is scheduled for release on Thursday November 12, 2026 [6][5][7].
WTI crude traded near $85.35 on November 10, 2026, with a bearish bias below $93.33; January Brent traded near $91.36 after slipping below $93.28 [8][6]. Bearish catalysts include Trump holding off on new Iran strikes, Iraq reaching an understanding with Washington for oil export via Hormuz, OPEC output rising 1.38 million bpd in October to 22.87 million bpd, and JPMorgan estimating a global surplus of approximately 1.4 million bpd [8]. Conversely, renewed Strait of Hormuz disruption, OPEC+ supply discipline, continued SPR depletion, and potential escalation of the US-Iran conflict act as bullish factors [6]. The EIA STEO, published on November 10, 2026, forecast Brent at $105/barrel in Q4 2026, $96 on average for 2026, and $84 in 2027, assuming constrained Middle East flows through year-end [9][6]. OPEC+ next meets on November 29, 2026, to set January output, while December WTI futures expire on November 20, 2026 [6][10]. US CPI for October 2026 is expected to rise 0.3% M/M (headline) and 0.2% M/M (core), with gasoline's contribution likely fading as a driver of headline inflation moderation [11].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: November 18, 2026
  • Closes: November 11, 2026
Sources (11)
  1. 1Oil stocks in US strategic petroleum reserve fall to lowest level since 1982 - DAWN.COMdawn.com
  2. 2La Jornada - Reserva Estratégica de Petróleo de EU cuenta con 279.5 millones de barriles, la cifra más baja desde 1982jornada.com.mx
  3. 3Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) Level: 282.2M bbl (Oct 30, 2026)thevaultreport.com
  4. 4US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Chart | StorageCurvestoragecurve.com
  5. 5US SPR level for the week ending November 6, 2026 Odds & Predictions - Public.compublic.com
  6. 6Oil Weekly Outlook: 9th–13th November 2026 | Ares Trading Labarestradinglab.com
  7. 7Calendar | Energy EXCHenergyexch.com
  8. 8Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Trump Holds Fire on Iran, Can WTI Hold $85.03? | FXEmpirefxempire.com
  9. 9Crude Oil (Brent) Future Outlook Analysis (2026) | KoalaGainskoalagains.com
  10. 10Oil's week brings three monthly outlooks, starting with the EIA on Tuesday · WiseWallet Insightswisewallet.eu
  11. 11Week in Focus – 9-13th November 2026: Highlights include US CPI, China inflation, UK GDP, BoJ SOO and NZ elections | Newsquawknewsquawk.com

13. Related News

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXSPRLVL-26NOV04-T288: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXSPRLVL-26NOV04-T287: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXSPRLVL-26NOV04-T286: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXSPRLVL-26NOV04-T285: NO (Nov 04, 2026)
  • KXSPRLVL-26NOV04-T284: NO (Nov 04, 2026)