Above 5%
Market Model 18.0% 13.1%
Above 4%
Market Model 97.0% 49.4%
Topic tracker · Financials
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (2 live) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Walmart KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 30, 2026