Topic tracker · Sports
World Cup Award
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 6 so far (0 live, 6 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Award markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 11, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bronze Ball Winner | July 31, 2026 | 36.7% vs 39.0% | Report → |
| Best Young Player Award Winner | July 31, 2026 | 53.5% vs 47.0% | Report → |
| Fair Play Award Winner | July 31, 2026 | 14.2% vs 14.0% | Report → |
| Golden Ball Winner | July 31, 2026 | 6.7% vs 6.0% | Report → |
| Golden Glove Winner | July 31, 2026 | 8.9% vs 18.0% | Report → |
| Silver Ball Winner | July 31, 2026 | 36.0% vs 35.0% | Report → |
