Topic tracker · Sports
World Cup Score or Assist
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 3 so far (0 live, 3 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Score or Assist markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 13, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| England vs Argentina: Score or Assist | July 29, 2026 | 11.6% vs 21.0% | Report → |
| Norway vs England: Score or Assist | July 25, 2026 | 16.6% vs 27.0% | Report → |
| Mexico vs England: Score or Assist | July 20, 2026 | 23.2% vs 34.0% | Report → |
