Topic tracker · Sports
World Cup Second Half Spread
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 2 so far (0 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new World Cup Second Half Spread markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated June 23, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Second Half Spread | July 7, 2026 | 33.3% vs 40.0% | Report → |
| Argentina vs Austria: Second Half Spread | July 6, 2026 | 20.9% vs 30.0% | Report → |
