Short Answer

Bitcoin is not expected to reach the $81,529.10 target between 3:15 AM and 3:30 AM EDT, with the market pricing this outcome at 35.0% against a model probability of 55.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

No historical price data available.
  • The $81,529.10 target aligns with technical support levels around $80,000-$81,500.
  • Declining expected October Fed-hike odds provide a significant bullish catalyst for BTC.
  • Binance Bitcoin perpetual futures maintained positive funding rates leading to October 17.

Current Context

BTC settled up; prices fluctuated near $81,500 overnight. The specified 15-minute BTC market resolved at 03:30 UTC on October 17, 2026, which was 11:30 PM EDT on October 16 [1]. Binance Spot resolution reached $81,593.15 against a target of $81,461.51, resulting in an Up settlement for the market [1][2]. Around the requested overnight window, BTC prices ranged from approximately $81,480 to $81,580. Observations showed $81,523.66 at 01:28 UTC and $81,465.06 at 03:29 UTC [3][2][4]. Yahoo Finance recorded daily figures for October 17 as open $81,501.61, high $81,546.89, low $81,302.65, and close $81,516.52, subject to its own market data conventions [5].
Market sentiment leaned cautious, with key technical levels. The immediate backdrop for BTC was cautious, with prices holding above $81,000 even as ETF outflows weighed on sentiment [6]. Polymarket's October 17 price market, as of 07:15 UTC, assigned an 83% probability for BTC to finish in the $80,000-$82,000 range and 18% for the $82,000-$84,000 range; lower ranges accounted for less than 1% [7]. One same-day forecast projected a 55% base case for $80,600-$82,900, 27% for $78,500-$80,600, and 18% for $82,900-$84,400 [8]. Analysts cited $80,000-$82,000 as a key support level and $84,000-$85,000 as resistance [9][10].
Macro risks influenced a mixed-to-cautious broader outlook. Broader expert and technical views were mixed-to-cautious. Analysts noted an October range of approximately $76,000-$83,000 in the absence of a catalyst [9][11]. Prediction market odds indicated about a 31% chance for BTC to reach an October high of $87,500 and a 43% chance for a fall to $77,500 [12]. Macroeconomic risks centered on elevated inflation data and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike in October [13][12].
Sources (13)
  1. 1BTC Up or Down - 15 Min — 2026-10-17 03:30 UTC | Unhedged.ggunhedged.gg
  2. 2Price Of Bitcoin In 10 | StatMuse Moneystatmuse.com
  3. 3Bitcoin | Smart Investors Dailysmartinvestorsdaily.com
  4. 4Bitcoin to US Dollartwelvedata.com
  5. 5Bitcoin USD (BTC-USD) Price History & Historical Data - Yahoo Financefinance.yahoo.com
  6. 6Bitcoin price holds above $81,000 as ETF outflows weigh on sentiment By Investing.cominvesting.com
  7. 7Bitcoin price on October 17?polymarket.com
  8. 8Bitcoin Today, Oct 17, 2026: BTC Price and Prediction for the Daycoinlab.info
  9. 9Bitcoin’s October outlook hinges on $82K support, analysts saycrypto.news
  10. 10Bitcoin Bounces, But Where Does It Go Next? Here’s What the Charts Say - Decryptdecrypt.co
  11. 11Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Macroeconomic headwinds, cooling demand cap BTC gainsfxstreet.com
  12. 12Bitcoin $85K Odds Slide After Hot CPI and PPI Data | Prediction.comprediction.com
  13. 13Bitcoin Tests $81,000 as Rate Hike Fears Linger After Hot Inflation Data - Decryptdecrypt.co

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves YES if the final average Bitcoin price is greater than the target price of $81,529.10, and NO if it is less than or equal to the target price. The market operates from October 17, 3:15 AM to 3:30 AM EDT, with expiration at 3:30 AM ET. The official and final value used for settlement is the average of 60 CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI) prices collected during the last minute before expiration.

Market Discussion

On October 17, 2026, prediction markets indicated a high probability for Bitcoin to be near the $81,500 level, with Polymarket showing an 83% chance for BTC within the $80,000–$82,000 range and Kalshi-linked aggregation indicating a 57% probability of $81,500 or above [1]. The specific $81,529.10 target appears in market data records as a BTC trade or 1-minute candle close [2]. This backdrop included BTC trading around $81,558 on October 17, amidst mixed-to-bearish sentiment and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF net outflows on October 16 [3].

Sources (3)
  1. 1Bitcoin price on October 17?polymarket.com
  2. 2BTC币目前价格行情 | 比特币人民币实时汇率5m88.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Today, Oct 17, 2026: BTC Price and Prediction for the Daycoinlab.info

4. Trust Index

This scorecard was computed Oct 17, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 79 Good
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score84Good
Trade quality20% of score59Caution

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order can't be filled here because the order book is too thin.

Trust score79Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
82Good

Outcome is hard to influence

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Large tradesNo single trade dominates the tape. Clear
Thin-volume movesNo significant move Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $81,529.10—
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
—

No reading right now

1 contract

Target Price: $81,529.10—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

1 contract

Target Price: $81,529.1095
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
59Caution

Order book is thin

Tradable, but expect execution cost beyond small sizes.

Liquidity unreadable

No significant moves to grade

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 39.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (~1% of a 39.5c contract)

$10,000 order: book too thin to fill

Target Price: $81,529.10Primary–Market scoreLiquidity–Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why this score
Liquidity
No recent trading to measure

No recent trading to measure

Move quality
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Oct 17, 2026

5. What key macroeconomic data releases or Federal Reserve statements scheduled for mid-October 2026 could act as a catalyst for BTC price volatility?

Primary catalystsU.S. inflation data and economic releases (October 14–16) [1][2][3][4]
Catalysts on Oct 17None scheduled for resolution window [1][3][4][5][6][7][8]
Highest risk eventsCPI/PPI and October 15 releases [1][5][3][4][6]
Mid-October 2026 macroeconomic data releases were key Bitcoin volatility catalysts. The primary macroeconomic drivers for Bitcoin (BTC) price volatility leading up to the October 17 resolution window were U.S. inflation data and other significant economic releases scheduled between October 14 and 16 [1][2][3][4]. On Wednesday, October 14, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September 2026 was released at 8:30 a.m. EDT [1][2]. This was followed on Thursday, October 15, by the Producer Price Index (PPI) for September 2026 at 8:30 a.m. EDT [1][2], alongside several other potentially market-moving U.S. releases at the same time, including retail sales, weekly jobless claims, Empire State manufacturing, and Philadelphia Fed manufacturing data [3][4]. These inflation and manufacturing reports represented the most significant practical risk catalysts for the BTC 15-minute market [1][5][3][4][6].
Later economic data and Federal Reserve speeches offered secondary volatility impacts. Additional economic releases occurring before the resolution window included industrial production and capacity utilization on Friday, October 16, at 9:15 a.m. EDT, and U.S. import and export price indexes for September at 8:30 a.m. EDT on the same day [1][3][4]. These could have secondary impacts on market volatility [1][5][3][4][6]. Regarding Federal Reserve activity, the official schedules do not list any major U.S. macro prints or Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions for the specific October 17 resolution window of 3:15–3:30 a.m. EDT [1][3][4][5][6][7][8]. While no FOMC rate decisions were scheduled, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller and Vice Chair Michelle Bowman had public appearances on October 13 and October 14, respectively, whose remarks could have influenced interest rate expectations and, consequently, BTC volatility [5][9][10]. Therefore, the most impactful catalysts for BTC price movement occurred between October 14 and 16, preceding the specific Saturday morning resolution window [7][8].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Schedule of Selected Releases for October 2026bls.gov
  2. 2Schedule of Selected Releases for October 2026bls.gov
  3. 3GLOBAL ECONOMICSscotiabank.com
  4. 4October 2026 economic calendar | Macro Bullseyemacrobullseye.com
  5. 5Federal Reserve Board - Calendar: October 2026federalreserve.gov
  6. 6The Fed - Meeting calendars and informationfederalreserve.gov
  7. 7Economic Release Calendar | FRED | St. Louis Fedfred.stlouisfed.org
  8. 8Economic Calendartradingeconomics.com
  9. 9Federal Reserve Board - Calendar: October 2026federalreserve.gov
  10. 10Federal Reserve Board - 2026 Speechesfederalreserve.gov

6. How do Bitcoin perpetual futures open interest and funding rates on Binance and CME compare for the week leading up to October 17, 2026?

Binance BTC Perpetual OI (Oct 16-17, 2026)$7.67B–$7.75B [1][2][3]
Binance BTC Perpetual Average Funding Rate+0.0025% per 8 hours (7-day average) [4][3][5]
CME Bitcoin Futures OI (Oct 9, 2026)$8.594B [6]
During the week leading up to October 17, 2026, Binance Bitcoin perpetual futures showed positive funding rates and substantial open interest. Binance Bitcoin perpetual futures maintained positive funding rates, indicating a net-long position in the market. The 7-day average funding rate for Binance BTC perpetuals was recorded at +0.0025% per 8 hours, with the October 17 reading fluctuating between +0.0060% and +0.0077% per 8 hours [4][3][5]. Near October 16–17, the open interest on Binance's BTC/USDT perpetual contract stood at approximately $7.67 billion to $7.75 billion [1][2][3]. As the largest single venue for perpetuals, Binance facilitates continuous trading and uses funding payments to anchor contract prices to the spot market [1][6].
CME Bitcoin futures are dated contracts with distinct open interest trends. In contrast, CME Bitcoin futures are dated, non-perpetual contracts and therefore do not have a comparable perpetual funding rate [6]. On October 9, CME Bitcoin futures reported an open interest of $8.594 billion [6]. This figure reflected a 4.9% decline from $9.041 billion on October 5 [6]. Unlike perpetual contracts, CME futures expire on specific dates, at which point their prices converge at settlement [6].
Broader market sentiment reflected mild deleveraging during this period. Broader market context, through October 15, suggested a mild deleveraging trend. The average Bitcoin funding rate across the market was +0.0019%, and total Bitcoin open interest declined by 1.23% week over week [7].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Bitcoin (BTC) Perpetual Futures: Funding Rate, OI & Liquidationscoinperps.com
  2. 2Binance Perpetual Futures | Volume, Open Interest, Funding Rates & Market Data | Loris Toolsloris.tools
  3. 3BTC Funding Rate on Binance: Live Rate, APR and History | ArbTidearbtide.com
  4. 4metrics_BTCUSDT — cruscy datadata.cruscy.com
  5. 5Binance BTC funding rate and max leverage - margin ladder｜dexgcdexgc.com
  6. 6CME Bitcoin Futures Report: 09 Oct, 2026cmegroup.com
  7. 7Bitcoin Futures: Open Interest, Funding and Positioning | Maketomaketo.com

7. What do on-chain metrics from Glassnode and CryptoQuant reveal about whale accumulation versus exchange inflows in the first half of October 2026?

Whale Holdings3.03M BTC (highest since November 21, 2025) [1][2][3][4]
Exchange BTC Decline1.7% decrease (from Sep 20 to Oct 13-14) [5][6]
Fresh Capital Growth$4.9B (out of $12.8B realized-cap growth by Oct 5) [7][8][9]
On-chain metrics revealed whale accumulation amidst mixed demand signals in early October. The first half of October 2026 presented a complex market environment, characterized by significant whale accumulation alongside weak fresh demand and periodic profit-taking from short-term holders [7][8][1][2][5]. CryptoQuant identified substantial whale accumulation, with balances held by entities owning at least 1,000 BTC reaching approximately 3.03 million BTC by mid-October, the highest level recorded since November 21, 2025 [1][2][3][4]. However, this accumulation signal lacked full confirmation from demand, as Glassnode observed net outflows of about $760 million from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) after October 7, and CryptoQuant noted that demand had not yet validated the whale buying [7][8][10][2][3]. Glassnode also reported realized-cap growth of roughly $12.8 billion through October 5, with only about $4.9 billion stemming from new capital, indicating that existing holders recycling coins at higher prices were the primary contributors to this growth [7][8][9].
Despite whale accumulation, short-term holder profit-taking added supply pressure. Exchange-reserve data generally supported net withdrawal or holding behavior, with the amount of BTC on exchanges decreasing from 2.726 million on September 20 to approximately 2.68 million by October 13-14, representing a 1.7% reduction [5][6]. Nevertheless, short-term holder profit-taking contributed to supply pressure, as evidenced by 86% of exchange inflows on October 4 originating from such holders [7][8][9]. Periodic exchange inflows, including +1,192 BTC on October 2 and +5,990 BTC on October 15, also indicated distribution pressure, though these spikes should be considered alongside the overall lower 30-day exchange balance [11][10][12]. For the October 1-15 period, large holders were observed accumulating or holding, and exchange reserves were lower; however, weak fresh demand and near-term supply from profit-taking created volatility around the $81.5K-$85K range [7][8][1][2][5].
On-chain metrics provide valuable context but do not predict short-term market movements. While these indicators offer insight into underlying market structure, they are not a direct probability estimate for a prediction market contract resolving on a 15-minute settlement. Such short-term market movements are more significantly influenced by spot liquidity, derivatives markets, news events, and sudden price fluctuations [7][8][11][10][1][2][3][5][6][12].
Sources (12)
  1. 1[13 October 2026] Whales Are Back: Large Holders in an...cryptoquant.com
  2. 2Bitcoin Whales Are Accumulating, but Demand Hasn’t Confirmed Yet | CryptoQuantcryptoquant.com
  3. 3Bitcoin whales accumulate ahead of crucial US inflation report as $744 million exits ETFscryptoslate.com
  4. 4Cryptoquant Says Bitcoin Whales Are Back as a Mystery Buyer Grabs $97Mnews.bitcoin.com
  5. 5CryptoQuant’s 3 charts keeping Bitcoin’s ‘Uptober’ thesis validcryptonews.net
  6. 6Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Remain 1.7% Below September Levels | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  7. 7Boxed Inresearch.glassnode.com
  8. 8A Rally Running Lightresearch.glassnode.com
  9. 9Bitcoin monthly inflows near $5B, but existing holders did most of the lifting — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  10. 10[Global Liquidity Radar] Exchanges add 3,784 BTC as Asia volume jumps 107%, U.S. 26% | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  11. 11Bitcoin Whale Activity, 15 Oct 2026: 5,990 BTC net into exchanges — BTC Holds $82,299 as Whale Deposits Accelerate into Exchangesswisswhaleintelligence.com
  12. 12BTC Dips Below $84.5K; Whale Accumulation Outpaces...swisswhaleintelligence.com

8. How have daily net flows for major spot Bitcoin ETFs, specifically BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC, trended throughout October 2026?

Total Net Outflows (all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs)−$534.8M (through Oct. 16, 2026) [1][2][3]
IBIT Month-to-Date Inflow+$261.3M (through Oct. 16, 2026) [2][4]
FBTC Month-to-Date Outflow−$471.9M (through Oct. 16, 2026) [2][4]
Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant volatility and net negative bias in early October. Throughout October 2026, leading up to the completed session on October 16, daily net flows for major spot Bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC, were marked by significant volatility and an overall net negative bias [1][2][3]. Specifically, BlackRock's IBIT recorded an approximate month-to-date total inflow of +$261.3 million, whereas Fidelity's FBTC experienced an approximate month-to-date total outflow of −$471.9 million for the period ending October 16 [2][4].
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs showed significant net outflows through mid-October. Across all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, the flow pattern through October 16 indicated total net outflows of approximately −$534.8 million, distributed across six inflow sessions and five outflow sessions [1][2][3]. Notable aggregate outflow sessions included October 7 (roughly −$485 million) and October 8 (−$244.1 million) [1]. Partial rebounds in flows were observed on October 13 (+$175.6 million) and October 15 (+$5.1 million) [1]. However, renewed selling pressure emerged on October 14 (−$261.5 million) and October 16 (−$82.4 million) [1].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Bitcoin ETF Flows: October 2026 — Daily Table & Net Totals · TFTCtftc.io
  2. 2Bitcoin ETF Flow (US$m) - Farside Investorsfarside.co.uk
  3. 3Bitcoin ETF Flows October 2026: Daily Data By Fundbtc-pulse.com
  4. 4Bitcoin ETF Flow Tracker: Daily & Rolling Net Flowsbitcoinalmanack.com

9. According to technical analysis from TradingView and Bloomberg analysts, what are the primary support and resistance levels for Bitcoin around the $80,000-$82,000 range for mid-October 2026?

Major Support Cluster$80,000-$80,700, with $80,000 as major support (TradingView analysis [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8])
Principal Resistance$82,000-$83,200 [1][3][4][5][6][7][8]
Near-term Support/PivotAround $80,800-$81,300 with a widely watched pivot at $81,000-$82,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8]
For mid-October 2026, Bitcoin faces key support around $80,000 with resistance near $82,000. The primary downside support cluster for Bitcoin is approximately $80,000-$80,700, with TradingView analysis specifically identifying $80,000 as a major support level [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8]. Immediately above this range, the principal resistance area is roughly $82,000-$83,200 [1][3][4][5][6][7][8]. Regarding specific institutional insights, available sources, including TradingView, CNBC TV18/TradingView, InvestingLive, crypto.news, 21Shares, Decrypt, Yahoo Finance, and Bitfinex, do not presently substantiate a Bloomberg analyst quote or a Bloomberg-specific level related to these findings [9][10][11].
Secondary levels include a widely watched pivot at $81,000-$82,000. Near-term support levels for mid-October 2026 are around $80,800-$81,300, featuring a widely watched pivot point between $81,000-$82,000 [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8]. Denser technical resistance is observed around $82,200-$83,100 or $82,400-$83,900, with key markers at $82,000-$82,500 (representing a pivot and moving-average zone), $82,544, $83,000, and $82,800-$83,000 [1][3][4][5][6][7][8]. On October 16-17, Bitcoin traded around $81,800-$82,060 after recovering from a dip to approximately $79,700-$80,000, establishing $82,000 as a significant support/resistance pivot and $80,000 as a crucial price floor [12][3][5][6].
Short-term technical bias is mixed-to-bearish below current resistance. For a very short 15-minute resolution near $81,529.10, the most relevant local levels are approximately $81,300-$81,400 as support below and $81,600 as resistance above, followed by the $82,000-$82,500 range [1][4][7][13]. The short-term technical bias remains mixed-to-bearish while the price stays below the identified resistance band [12][3][4][9][10][11][5][6][7]. A sustained move above approximately $82,500-$83,200 would improve the recovery structure, whereas a failure to hold above $81,000, and particularly below the $80,000-$80,700 cluster, would likely expose lower support zones [12][3][4][9][10][11][5][6][7].
Sources (13)
  1. 1BTCUSD 1H: High Sweep Risk, Expired Setup — Watch 81,600 for IC:BTCUSD by Asif_Brain_Waves — TradingViewtradingview.com
  2. 2BTC/USD: $80K Support Holds as Price Targets $83K Resistance for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD by Fira_Ol — TradingViewtradingview.com
  3. 3News by CNBC TV18 on TradingView, 2026-10-16 — cnbctv:9541517b9094b:0tradingview.com
  4. 4Bitcoin is little changed on the day, and pushing against a key crossroad. What next?investinglive.com
  5. 5Bitcoin Price Rebound Faces a Fresh $82K Test: Will It Survive the Weekend?finance.yahoo.com
  6. 6Key Bitcoin support levels and dip buying zones to watch as BTC falls to $81k By Investing.cominvesting.com
  7. 7Hot Core CPI Hands Bitcoin’s Fate To Spot Flowsblog.bitfinex.com
  8. 8BTC cycle tracker: Bitcoin tests $81,000 support as $83,000 resistance looms | TokenPosttokenpost.com
  9. 9Bitcoin’s October outlook hinges on $82K support, analysts saycrypto.news
  10. 10Bitcoin defies a historically weak September as...21shares.com
  11. 11Bitcoin Tests $81,000 as Rate Hike Fears Linger After Hot Inflation Data - Decryptdecrypt.co
  12. 12Bitcoin steadies near $82,000 as Warsh declines to signal another Fed hike — TradingView Newstradingview.com
  13. 13Bitcoin: Bearish Structure Strengthens as Sellers Take Control for BINANCE:BTCUSDT by DukesMarketAnalysis — TradingViewtradingview.com

10. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Bullish catalysts included BTC support near $80,000-$81,500 [1][2][3], a decline in expected October Fed-hike odds [2][3], and BTC holding above roughly $80,000 [1][2]. Technical analysis indicated possible continuation toward $84,350-$87,270 [3][4]. BTC also reportedly recovered faster than risk assets after the sub-$80,000 selloff [4]. Conversely, bearish factors comprised weak ETF demand and outflows [1][2][3], elevated leverage and liquidation risk [1][2][3], and risk-off pressure stemming from falling AI equities and higher oil [1][2][3][4]. A break below $80,000 could expose approximately $78,000 support [1][2][3][4].
Upcoming events include the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting and the November 10, 2026 U.S. CPI release [3][2]. MSCI's digital-asset-treasury eligibility changes are scheduled for implementation at the November 30 close [5]. The broader October 17 market framing reflected range-bound expectations, with Polymarket indicating 83% for an $80,000-$82,000 daily range and 18% for $82,000-$84,000 [6]. An independent daily outlook assigned 55% to $80,600-$82,900, 27% to $78,500-$80,600, and 18% to $82,900-$84,400 [1][3].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Strike Date: October 17, 2026
  • Expiration: October 24, 2026
  • Closes: October 17, 2026
Sources (6)
  1. 1Bitcoin Today, Oct 17, 2026: BTC Price and Prediction for the Daycoinlab.info
  2. 2Crypto Market Outlook: Bitcoin, ETH, XRP Face Critical Fed Testthemarketperiodical.com
  3. 3Bitcoin Price at $81K as Google Searches Hit Multi-Year Low. What Nextcryptotimes.io
  4. 4Bitcoin Holds Ground as AI Stocks Tumble, but Rebound Needs Fresh Money - Seoul Economic Dailyen.sedaily.com
  5. 5Bitcoin falls below $80k, Ledger changes sales, MSCI rules | Weekly recapcrypto.news
  6. 6Bitcoin price on October 17?polymarket.com

12. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXBTC15M-26OCT170315-15: YES (Oct 17, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT170300-00: YES (Oct 17, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT170245-45: YES (Oct 17, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT170230-30: YES (Oct 17, 2026)
  • KXBTC15M-26OCT170215-15: YES (Oct 17, 2026)