Harry Styles Streams in 2026
Short Answer
Harry Styles' 2026 streams exceeding 7.75 billion are considered likely, despite recent market adjustments reflecting downward pressure on the highest stream thresholds due to reassessed year-end trajectory and weak charting performance (88.0%).
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
The market's sharp decline from a 72% to 14% probability by November 11 reflects a consensus that Harry Styles' 2026 stream total will be significantly higher than 5.75 billion. This price action suggests the contract is pricing the probability of Styles' streams finishing below the 5.75 billion threshold. The collapse was driven by reports from related prediction markets which, as of the same date, priced the probability of his streams exceeding 7.5 billion at 98%.
This external market data provided a much higher forecast for the year-end total. The high confidence (94-98%) placed on totals well above 7.5 billion effectively invalidated the premise that the final count could land below 5.75 billion. Consequently, traders repriced this contract to reflect the low probability of that outcome. The final price of 14% is consistent with the view that the actual stream count is on track to settle between 7.5 and 7.75 billion.
- Streams above 7 billion and 7.25 billion carry 99% probability.
- Probabilities for streams above 8.0 billion significantly dropped from market reassessment.
- Weak charting performance as of November 2026 reinforces lower stream thresholds.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 8.25B | 14.0% | 1.9% | Significant downward pressure on higher stream thresholds was reported as of November 11, 2026. |
| Above 8.5B | 2.0% | 0.4% | These higher thresholds face significant downward pressure from a reassessment of year-end streaming trajectory. |
| Above 8B | 17.0% | 18.5% | Market reassessment of year-end streaming trajectory and weak charting performance exert downward pressure as of November 10, 2026. |
| Above 9B | 1.0% | 0.4% | Downward pressure on higher stream thresholds is driven by a reassessment of year-end trajectory and weak charting. |
| Above 8.75B | 1.0% | 0.4% | Downward pressure on higher stream thresholds is driven by a reassessment of year-end trajectory and weak charting. |
Current Context
Prediction markets indicate a 2026 stream total between 7.5B and 7.75B. As of November 11, 2026, prediction markets for Harry Styles' 2026 worldwide Luminate streams price Above 7.5 billion at 98%, Above 7.75 billion at 94%, and Above 8 billion at 12-17% [1][2][3][4][5][6]. This suggests a market expectation for a final total in the 7.5-7.75 billion range [1][2][3][4][5][6]. His album, 'Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally,' debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 on March 21, 2026, with 430,000 equivalent album units [7][8][9][10]. The album's first week included 140.31 million on-demand streams, marking the largest weekly unit performance for any album in five months [7][8][9][10]. It also achieved the highest vinyl sales week by a male artist since Luminate began tracking in 1991, with 186,000 copies sold in its first week [8][10].
New singles and album cuts drove significant streaming numbers. The lead single 'Aperture' recorded 2026's biggest streaming debut, with 12.478 million Spotify streams on its first full day, January 24, 2026 [11]. The full album logged 63 million Spotify streams on its first day, March 6, 2026, making it the biggest Spotify debut of the year [12]. 'Coming Up Roses' has accumulated over 200 million Spotify streams since its March 6, 2026 release and was the most added song on Mediabase pop radio in the week of November 10, 2026, with 42 station pickups [13][14][15][16]. Older track 'Sign of the Times' reached 52 weeks on the UK Official Singles chart in September 2026, his third song to achieve this [17]. It garnered 18.2 million official US streams in March 2026 after being featured in the film 'Project Hail Mary' [18]. The Together, Together Tour encompasses 67 shows across seven cities, including a 30-show Madison Square Garden residency from August 26 to October 31, 2026 [19][20][21]. The MSG presale generated 11.5 million artist presale registrations, the highest ever for an NYC market artist presale [19][22]. Netflix premiered 'Harry Styles: One Night in Manchester' on March 8, 2026, his first live concert on a streaming platform, performed March 6, 2026, the album's release day [23][19][24][25]. However, a statistical analysis found no conclusive evidence of a causal streaming boost from the tour, showing a +0.034 percentage point difference in Spotify chart share over five weeks (95% CI: -0.004 to 0.073) in visited countries [26].
The prediction market will resolve based on Luminate data by early January 2027. The prediction market for Harry Styles' 2026 streams resolves via Luminate Data, LLC [1][3][27][5][6]. Data is expected approximately 48 hours after December 31, 2026 [1][3][27][5][6]. The market's listed end date is January 5, 2027 at 15:00 UTC, with potential for earlier closure upon data release [1][3][27][5][6].
Sources (27)
- 1January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 2Music Streams Prediction Markets & Odds | Kalshikalshi.com
- 3Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 4Entertainment Music streams Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
- 5Will Harry Styles have 7750000000 Streams on Luminate d… | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
- 6Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 7Harry Styles Tops No 1 with 430K Units - Business Fortunebizfortune.com
- 8Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200billboard.com
- 9Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time…’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200 - News Usa Todaynews-usa.today
- 10Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200web.archive.org
- 11Harry Styles Scores 2026’s Biggest Streaming Debut With “Aperture”inmusicblog.com
- 12Harry Styles’ New Album Scores Biggest Spotify Debut of 2026inmusicblog.com
- 13Harry Styles' "Coming Up Roses" Ranks As Pop Radio's Most Added Songheadlineplanet.com
- 14Harry Styles - Coming Up Roses - Spotify Chart Historykworb.net
- 15Coming Up Roses by Harry Styles - Spotify Stream Countmystreamcount.com
- 16Coming Up Roses - Song, Lyrics, and Music Video by Harry Styles | Spotifyopen.spotify.com
- 17Harry Styles’ Debut Solo Hit Brings The Singer Back To A Career Milestoneforbes.com
- 18Harry Styles Scores Top Movie Songs Chart Debut Thanks to ‘Project Hail Mary’yahoo.com
- 19Netflix nabs Harry Styles concert exclusive, adding to growing music slate alongside Ed Sheeran and BTS specials - Music Business Worldwidemusicbusinessworldwide.com
- 20Harry Styles Confirms Concerts in Madrid for 2027b-empiremagazine.com
- 21CoStar predicts Styles residency lifts New York City hotels | TravelTradeTodaytraveltrade.today
- 22Harry Styles Breaks Presale Registration Record, Adds More Showsrollingstone.com
- 23Watch: Netflix to stream Harry Styles concert special - UPI.comupi.com
- 24Harry Styles Will Premiere Concert Film Of Upcoming Manchester Show On Netflix On March 8 | CFJC Today Kamloopscfjctoday.com
- 25Harry Styles Netflix Concert: Start Time, How To Watch ‘Harry Styles: One Night in Manchester’ on Netflix | Deciderdecider.com
- 26Did Harry Styles's streams rise where he played? · Barbora Šandovábsandova.com
- 27Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Aguardando resolução | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
Outcome probability
Date
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📉 November 10, 2026: 81.0pp drop
Price decreased from 98.0% to 17.0%
Outcome: Above 8B
What happened: The 81.0 percentage point drop in the "Harry Styles Streams in 2026: Above 8B" market on November 10, 2026, was primarily driven by a market reassessment of Harry Styles' year-end streaming trajectory [1][2][3][4]. This shift was likely prompted by his weak current charting performance as of the week of November 7, 2026, showing limited global presence for his latest songs [5][6]. This recent data, combined with earlier reports of his lead single 'Aperture' losing approximately 70% of its streams rapidly in March [7][8] and Olivia Rodrigo surpassing his cumulative Spotify streams in August (generating social media discussion) [9][10], indicated insufficient momentum to reach 8 billion streams. Social media activity was a contributing accelerant, providing context for the overall assessment of his 2026 performance, but not the direct primary driver of the specific sharp drop on November 10.
📈 November 05, 2026: 66.0pp spike
Price increased from 15.0% to 81.0%
Outcome: Above 8B
What happened: The primary driver of the 66.0 percentage point spike in the "Above 8B" outcome on November 05, 2026, was a significant surge in social media activity coinciding with Harry Styles' 'Harryween' opening night at Madison Square Garden [11]. This event amplified an ongoing viral TikTok trend where fans chanted 5 Seconds of Summer lyrics during his MSG performances, which was already gaining momentum [12]. LunarCrush data from around this time reported a 39.13% week-over-week increase in Harry Styles' social sentiment and millions of engagements across platforms, particularly TikTok and X, indicating a substantial rise in public visibility and perceived future streaming potential [13]. Social media was a primary driver, translating immediate cultural buzz and fan engagement into market confidence for higher year-end stream totals.
Sources (13)
- 1Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 3Harry Styles Streams in 2026 — Entertainment odds compared | OddsBridge — OddsBridgeoddsbridge.app
- 4Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5Harry Styles global chart positions — week of 2026-11-07 · Chart Atlasfoldalpha.com
- 6Harry Styles – Spotify Streams, Monthly Listeners & Chart History · Spotify Topspotify-top.com
- 7Harry Styles, top 1 Global with 'Aperture', then loses 70% of streamsumusic.digital
- 8Harry Styles: The Prince of Potemkin Pop Cultureexiledfan.substack.com
- 9Olivia Rodrigo dethrones Harry Styles with new streaming recordgeo.tv
- 10Olivia Rodrigo surpasses Harry Styles in streaming record - Daily Timesdailytimes.com.pk
- 11Harry Styles Dresses as Elvis Presley During Harryween Opening Night at MSGyahoo.com
- 12Why is everyone screaming 5 Seconds of Summer lyrics during Harry Styles concerts? | CBC Newscbc.ca
- 13Topic harry-styles | LunarCrush for AIlunarcrush.ai
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves YES if Harry Styles' total streams for the calendar year 2026 exceed the specific threshold of the chosen contract (e.g., 8 billion for the 'Above 8B' market). It resolves NO if his streams are less than or equal to that threshold, with a maximum payout date of January 2, 2027. The provided page content does not explicitly state the source of stream data or any other special settlement conditions.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.25B | $1.00 | $0.04 | 99% |
| Above 7.5B | $1.00 | $0.04 | 99% |
| Above 7B | $1.00 | $0.04 | 99% |
| Above 7.75B | $0.98 | $0.10 | 88% |
| Above 8B | $0.15 | $0.91 | 17% |
| Above 8.25B | $0.09 | $0.94 | 14% |
| Above 8.5B | $0.09 | $0.98 | 2% |
| Above 8.75B | $0.07 | $0.98 | 1% |
| Above 9B | $0.07 | $0.98 | 1% |
Market Discussion
Traders are actively discussing Harry Styles' total streams for 2026, specifically focusing on thresholds of 7.75 billion, 8 billion, and 8.25 billion. There is a strong consensus, with an 88% chance, that he will exceed 7.75 billion streams by year-end, given his current 6.89 billion streams and recent daily activity. However, traders are highly skeptical he will reach 8 billion or 8.25 billion, with probabilities for those targets being only 17% and 14% respectively, indicating an expected final count between 7.75 billion and 8 billion.
5. Trust Index
Integrity risk· Resolution quality
How it adds up
Integrity80% of score62Caution
Trade quality20% of score37High Risk
Trust score57Caution
Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index
Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
6. Based on Weekly Data Through Q3, What is Harry Styles' Projected Year-End Stream Total for 2026?
| Projected 2026 Streams | 7.5 billion to 7.75 billion Luminate streams [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Kalshi Market 'Above 7.75B' Price | 94% (as of November 11, 2026) [1][2] |
| Kalshi Market Total Volume | Approximately $26.0K [2] |
Harry Styles' 2026 worldwide stream total is projected between 7.5 and 7.75 billion. Based on prediction market data as of November 11, 2026, Harry Styles' estimated year-end worldwide stream total for 2026 is between 7.5 billion and 7.75 billion Luminate streams [1][2][3][4]. Kalshi prices specifically imply a projected total within this range, while the Robinhood market aligns with a projected total close to 7.75 billion streams for the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period [1][2][3][4]. Kalshi market indicators show 'Above 7.5B' at 98% and 'Above 7.75B' at 94% [1][2]. Similarly, the Robinhood prediction market reflects 'Above 7.75B' at 88 cents and 'Above 8B' at 17 cents [3][4].
Confidence for higher stream totals has increased based on Q3 data. This strengthens the projection near 7.75 billion streams, with increased confidence in the upper bound of the 7.5 billion to 7.75 billion range observed as Q3 weekly data accumulated [2][1]. The prediction market resolution will utilize Luminate Data, LLC, covering the January 01 - December 31, 2026 period [1][3][2]. Data for this period is expected to be published approximately 48 hours after year-end, with an anticipated settlement around January 2-5, 2027 [1][3][2]. The Kalshi market currently shows a total volume of approximately $26.0K, including $10.4K in open interest, indicating relatively low liquidity [2].
Sources (4)
- 1Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2Harry Styles Streams in 2026 — Entertainment odds compared | OddsBridge — OddsBridgeoddsbridge.app
- 3January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 4Entertainment Music streams Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
7. What Catalysts in Q4 2026 Could Push Harry Styles' Streams Above the 8 Billion Mark?
| Primary Catalyst for Q4 2026 Streams | 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden [1] |
|---|---|
| Fourth Studio Album Release Year | 2026 (Kiss All the Time, Disco, Occasionally) [1] |
| Kalshi Prediction Market 'Above 8B' Streams (Nov 11, 2026) | 12% to 40% [2][3][4] |
A major Madison Square Garden residency is Harry Styles' key streaming catalyst. Harry Styles' potential to surpass 8 billion streams in Q4 2026 is primarily driven by a planned 30-night residency at Madison Square Garden in New York City [1]. This significant residency is anticipated to be a major catalyst for increased streaming engagement and fan activity surrounding his music catalog [1]. The residency forms part of his 'Together, Together' world tour, which supports his fourth studio album, 'Kiss All the Time, Disco, Occasionally,' released in 2026 [1]. The tour commenced on May 16, 2026, and is scheduled to conclude on August 28, 2027 [1].
Prediction markets indicate mixed probabilities for Harry Styles' 2026 streaming totals. As of November 11, 2026, prediction markets showed varied probabilities for Harry Styles reaching 8 billion streams in the current year. Kalshi's prediction market priced 'Above 8B' streams in a range from 12% to 40%, with 'Above 7.75B' showing a higher probability at 54.5% to 94% [2][3][4]. The Robinhood prediction market reflected 'Above 8B' at 17 cents [5]. Notably, recent reports indicated downward pressure on higher stream thresholds, with the 'Above 8.25B' outcome decreasing by 64 percentage points to 8% [4]. The prediction market for 2026 streams will resolve based on Luminate Data, LLC, with the full-year data expected approximately 48 hours after December 31, 2026, leading to contract resolution around January 2-5, 2027 [5][2][3][6].
Sources (6)
- 1Who Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency? | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 3Harry Styles Streams in 2026 — Entertainment odds compared | OddsBridge — OddsBridgeoddsbridge.app
- 4预测市场全景日报 | FLASH-FILLINGflash-filling.com
- 5January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 6Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
8. How Does 'Kiss All the Time's' 2026 Streaming Performance Compare to 'Harry's House' in 2022?
| Expected 2026 Worldwide Streams | 7.5 billion to 8 billion worldwide streams [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Kalshi 'Above 7.5B' Price (Nov 11, 2026) | 98% [1][2] |
| Kalshi 'Above 8B' Price (Nov 11, 2026) | 12% [1][2] |
Harry Styles' 2026 streaming performance is projected to reach 7.5-8 billion. Prediction markets imply an expected range of 7.5 billion to 8 billion worldwide streams for Harry Styles in 2026 [1][2][3]. This projection includes streams related to his 2026 album 'Kiss All the Time, Disco, Occasionally' and its supporting tour [3]. As of November 11, 2026, Kalshi priced 'Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Above 7.5B' at 98% and 'Above 8B' at 12%, according to Luminate data [1][2]. His fourth studio album, 'Kiss All the Time, Disco, Occasionally', was released in 2026, and the 'Together, Together' tour commenced on May 16, 2026 [3]. The tour is scheduled to conclude on August 28, 2027, featuring 108 shows and a 30-night Madison Square Garden residency [3].
Album and tour activity significantly accelerated Harry Styles' 2026 streaming pace. The album release and tour activity between May and November 2026 likely caused a significant acceleration in his streaming pace [4][5]. Evidence of this acceleration includes earlier Kalshi prices from May 12, 2026, which priced 'Above 7.75B' at 65% and 'Above 8B' at 45% [4][5]. The 2026 streaming thresholds within the prediction market, ranging from 5 billion to 9 billion, suggest that Harry Styles' 2026 performance is being benchmarked against a range that likely reflects or exceeds his 2022 'Harry's House' year [1][2][4]. However, the provided sources do not explicitly state the exact worldwide stream totals for his 2022 'Harry's House' year, preventing a direct numerical comparison [1][2][4].
Sources (5)
- 1Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2Harry Styles Streams in 2026 — Entertainment odds compared | OddsBridge — OddsBridgeoddsbridge.app
- 3Who Will Perform at Harry Styles’ MSG Residency? | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 4Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 5Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Aguardando resolução | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
9. Which Public Charts Best Approximate the Official Luminate Data Used for Market Resolution?
| Primary Stream Metric | Global On-Demand streams (Audio+Video) [1][2] |
|---|---|
| Contract Resolution Period | January 1–December 31, 2026 [3][4] |
| Luminate Stream Metrics Available | Audio Streams, Video Streams, Audio Ad Supported Streams, Audio Premium Streams, Video Ad Supported Streams, Video Premium Streams [5] |
Luminate's global On-Demand streams offer the most accurate measure. These streams are publicly described as a combination of Audio and Video streams, making them the closest conceptual match for a worldwide artist-stream settlement total [1][2]. Luminate's public API documentation provides details on various stream metrics, including specific categories like Audio Ad Supported Streams and Video Premium Streams [5].
Do not use album-equivalent charts or U.S.-only data. The contract specifically resolves on Harry Styles's worldwide streams occurring between January 1 and December 31, 2026, utilizing data exclusively from Luminate [3][4]. It is crucial not to use album-equivalent charts as the primary proxy, as Luminate calculates these through a weighted formula combining sales, streams, and digital song sales, which is distinct from a raw worldwide stream count [5]. Additionally, while Luminate does publish U.S. On-Demand Audio examples, these U.S.-only figures are not equivalent to the contract's worldwide stream requirement and should only be considered as a lower-bound estimate or for trend analysis [6][1].
Sources (6)
- 1‘Michael’ Sets the King of Pop’s Streaming Growth on a Queen-like Path | Luminateluminatedata.com
- 2Meet Angine de Poitrine, 2026’s First Breakout Band | Luminateluminatedata.com
- 3Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 4January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 5Luminate Music API Updatesdocs.luminatedata.com
- 6How LISA Leveraged ‘White Lotus,’ Oscars and Coachella en Route to Stardom | Luminateluminatedata.com
10. How Much Do Pre-2026 Songs Contribute to Harry Styles' Total Streams This Year?
| Included Catalog | Entire catalog, including pre-2026 songs (Luminate Data, LLC) [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Anticipated 2026 Streams | Between 7.5 billion and 8 billion (as of Nov 11, 2026) [1][4] |
| Measurement Period | January 01 - December 31, 2026 [1][2][3] |
Harry Styles' 2026 streams encompass his entire musical catalog. His total worldwide streams for the year are expected to include contributions from all his releases, not solely new music [1][2][3]. This means that songs from albums such as 'Fine Line' (2019), 'Harry's House' (2022), and 'Music for the People' (2025) are all factored into the overall stream count for 2026 [1][2][3].
Pre-2026 music contributes to Styles' total, though specifics are undisclosed. While prior releases contribute to the total, the exact numerical amount or percentage of this contribution to Harry Styles' total streams for 2026 is not specified in the available data. As of November 11, 2026, the market anticipates Harry Styles' total 2026 streams to be between 7.5 billion and 8 billion [1][4]. These total worldwide streams are measured by Luminate Data, LLC, covering the period from January 01 through December 31, 2026 [1][2][3].
Sources (4)
- 1Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Odds | PredictPediapredictpedia.com
- 2Harry Styles Streams in 2026 — Entertainment odds compared | OddsBridge — OddsBridgeoddsbridge.app
- 3Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 4Entertainment Music streams Predictions - Robinhoodrobinhood.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Harry Styles' fourth studio album, 'Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.', released March 6, 2026, debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 with 430,000 equivalent album units, marking the biggest sales week of 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. This included 291,000 pure sales and 140.31 million on-demand streams [1][2][3][4][5][6]. The album opened with 63 million Spotify streams on day one (March 6, 2026), establishing it as the biggest Spotify debut of 2026 [7][8]. Singles 'Aperture' (Jan 22–23) and 'American Girls' (Mar 6) both debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Global 200, with 51.3M and 50.9M worldwide streams respectively in their first weeks [9][10]. By November 6, 2026, the album had accumulated 1.7B Spotify album streams [7]. It earned 2.8 million equivalent album sales (CSPC) and ranks #13 among all albums released in 2026 by Spotify streams [1][7]. The album set a modern-era record for a male artist on vinyl in the US with 186,000 first-week copies and achieved the biggest UK opening week of Styles' career with 183,000 first-week sales [1][7][2].
The 'Together, Together' tour, announced January 22, 2026, features 50 shows across 7 cities from May 16 to December 13, 2026 [2][11][12][13][14][15][16]. This includes a 30-night Madison Square Garden residency (Aug 26–Oct 31) and 6 Wembley Stadium shows in London [2][11][12][13][14][15][16]. Styles presented Album of the Year at the 2026 Grammy Awards on February 1, 2026 [2][17][18][19][20][21][22]. He hosted Saturday Night Live on March 14, 2026 [2][17]. The 'One Night in Manchester' concert streamed globally on Netflix [2][17][18][19][20][21][22].
The Kalshi prediction market 'Harry Styles Streams in 2026' (kxartiststreamsy-styles26dec31) resolves on Luminate worldwide streams for January 1 – December 31, 2026 [23][24][25][26][27][28]. Current market prices indicate probabilities for Above 7.75B at 88%, Above 8B at 17%, Above 8.25B at 14%, and Above 8.5B at 2%, with a total volume of ~$30,271 [23][24][25][26][27][28]. As of mid-November 2026, the album's Spotify daily stream pace has declined 36.7% compared to 2026's top 10 albums [7][29]. The market's quality score is 17/100, and wide bid-ask spreads, such as 74¢ ask versus 2¢ bid for Above 9B, signal thin liquidity and elevated repricing risk [26][7][29].
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: January 05, 2027
- Closes: January 02, 2027
Sources (29)
- 1Harry Styles ‘Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally.’ No. 1 Debut Billboard 200 | Hypebeasthypebeast.com
- 2HARRY STYLES DELIVERS CAREER-HIGH GLOBAL DEBUT – Sony Music Canadasonymusic.ca
- 3Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time…’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200 - News Usa Todaynews-usa.today
- 4Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200billboard.com
- 5Harry Styles Tops No 1 with 430K Units - Business Fortunebizfortune.com
- 6Harry Styles’ ‘Kiss All the Time’ Debuts at No. 1 on Billboard 200web.archive.org
- 7Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally by Harry Styles - Sales & Streaming Stats | ChartMasterschartmasters.org
- 8Harry Styles’ New Album Scores Biggest Spotify Debut of 2026inmusicblog.com
- 9Harry Style’ ‘American Girls’ Debuts at No. 1 on Global 200billboard.com
- 10Harry Styles’ ‘Aperture’ Debuts Atop Global Charts – GLive24.com | truth alone triumphsglive24.com
- 11Harry Styles says new single is comeback's 'perfect little bow'bbc.com
- 12Harry Styles Returns With A Seven City Global Residency Run – Together, Togethernews.livenationentertainment.com
- 13Harry Styles Is Playing 30 Nights at Madison Square Garden | Pitchforkpitchfork.com
- 14Harry Styles fans 'so disappointed' at glaring issue with newly-announced world tour | Metro Newsmetro.co.uk
- 15Harry Styles torna con “Aperture” e annuncia il tour mondiale: date, città e bigliettirds.it
- 16ハリー・スタイルズ、約3年半ぶりの新曲「Aperture」が本日ついにリリース！さらに今晩ミュージック・ビデオ公開および全7か国50公演を行うグローバル・ツアーも決定！ | ハリー・スタイルズ | ソニーミュージックオフィシャルサイトsonymusic.co.jp
- 17Harry Styles' New Album Is Officially Here: Listenrollingstone.com
- 18Bad Bunny wins album of the year at the 2026 Grammy Awards, a first for a Spanish-language albumyahoo.com
- 19Bad Bunny makes Grammy history with album of the year win – NBC Los Angelesnbclosangeles.com
- 20YOUR DAILY ENTERTAINMENT NEWS UPDATEBulletinbillboard.com
- 21Harry Styles, Doechii to present at 2026 Grammys — The Beat 92.5thebeat925.ca
- 22Harry Styles Shows Up Fashionably Late to the 2026 Grammys, Presents Album of the Year to Bad Bunnyaol.com
- 23January 1, 2026: Harry Styles Streams in 2026 Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
- 24Will Harry Styles have 8250000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?: Above 8.3Bstreetspread.com
- 25Music Streams Prediction Markets & Odds | Kalshikalshi.com
- 26Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Aguardando resolução | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 27Harry Styles Streams this year Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
- 28Harry Styles Streams in 2026 - Kalshi noteringen | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 29Will Harry Styles have 9000000000 Streams on Luminate during January 01 - December 31, 2026?streetspread.com
13. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 20 resolved YES, 0 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXARTISTSTREAMSY-POPKING26DEC31-14.75B: YES (Nov 06, 2026)
- KXARTISTSTREAMSY-POPKING26DEC31-14.5B: YES (Nov 02, 2026)
- KXARTISTSTREAMSY-POPKING26DEC31-14.25B: YES (Oct 25, 2026)
- KXARTISTSTREAMSY-POPKING26DEC31-14.0B: YES (Oct 19, 2026)
- KXARTISTSTREAMSY-POPKING26DEC31-13.75B: YES (Oct 12, 2026)
