What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- WHCA dinner shooting aligned with Maddow's democratic norms theme.
- Fox News discussed political rhetoric following the WHCA dinner.
- Upcoming Rachel Maddow Show guests are not publicly known.
- Todd Blanche faces lawsuit over unreleased Jeffrey Epstein files.
- April 28 features critical international events affecting global markets.
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
Outcome: Manifesto
📉 April 28, 2026: 85.0pp drop
Price decreased from 86.0% to 1.0%
Outcome: Oil / Gas / Gasoline
📈 April 27, 2026: 58.0pp spike
Price increased from 16.0% to 74.0%
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This market resolves to "Yes" if Rachel Maddow says "Corrupt / Corruption," or a plural or possessive form of it, during her next live show occurring after April 27, 2026, 11:30 AM ET; otherwise, it resolves to "No." Resolution is primarily based on video of the live broadcast, with official transcripts as a secondary source, counting promotional content but not advertisements. The market opens on April 27, 2026, 11:30 AM ET, and will close by May 19, 2026, 10:00 AM ET if the event has not occurred.
Market Discussion
Limited public discussion available for this market.
5. What National Story Aligned with Maddow's Democratic Norms Theme?
| Most Relevant National Story | White House correspondents’ dinner shooting [1] |
|---|---|
| The Washington Post Coverage | Front-page, Sunday, April 26, 2026 [1] |
| The New York Times Coverage | Not on Sunday paper, caused backlash [2] |
6. Are Upcoming Rachel Maddow Show Guests Known for Market Impact?
| Upcoming Guest List | Not explicitly listed (web research) [1] |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris Mention | Guest mentioned for "Monday, Sept. 22" but specific year is not provided [2] |
| Rachel Maddow Event | In conversation with Steven J. Ross on "May 5" (year not specified) [3] |
7. How Did Fox News Discuss Political Rhetoric After WHCA Dinner Shooting?
| Key Event Covered | WHCA Dinner shooting (April 27, 2026) [1] |
|---|---|
| Central Discussion Point | Political polarization and toning down rhetoric [1] |
| Specific Concern Highlighted | Threats against President Trump [2] |
Sources (5)
- 1'The Five' debates political polarization following WHCA Dinner shooting | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
- 2Sean Hannity: Threats against President Trump are not going away | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
- 3The Ingraham Angle - Monday, April 27 | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
- 4Brit Hume: Now is a ‘good time’ to tone down rhetoric | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
- 5Laura: Democrats didn't learn a thing here | Fox News Videofoxnews.com
8. Is Todd Blanche Sued Over Missing Jeffrey Epstein Files?
| Missing Epstein Pages Alleged | 3 million pages [1] |
|---|---|
| Illegally Withheld Pages Alleged | 200,000 pages [1] |
| Vanished Files Alleged | 37 files [1] |
Sources (5)
- 1Epstein Files Update: 3 Million Pages Missing. 200,000 Withheld Illegally. 37 Files Vanished. Welcome to the Epstein Cover-Up.mitchthelawyer.substack.com
- 2Todd Blanche Sued Over Epstein Files Cover Up - Above the Lawabovethelaw.com
- 3Journalist accuses DOJ of Epstein files cover up to protect Trump & others - NJTODAY.NETnjtoday.news
- 4Trump’s acting DOJ chief is sued over his alleged failure to release the complete Epstein filesyahoo.com
- 5DOJ inspector general to review compliance with Epstein Files Transparency Actms.now
9. What Major Geopolitical Events Are Expected on April 28, 2026?
| Trump Announcement | Regarding Tehran Proposal ‘Very Soon’ [1] |
|---|---|
| OPEC Membership Shift | UAE to quit OPEC [2] |
| US House Activity | Scheduled activities on April 28, 2026 [3] |
Sources (3)
- 1Iran War: Trump to Address Tehran Proposal ‘Very Soon’ as Oil Rises - Bloombergbloomberg.com
- 2Live updates: UAE to quit OPEC in blow to world’s leading oil exporters, as Iran war roils energy sector | CNNcnn.com
- 3Tuesday, April 28, 2026 | Committee Repository | U.S. House of Representativesdocs.house.gov
11. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 8 resolved YES, 12 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20-SHUT: NO (Apr 21, 2026)
- KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20-RUSS: NO (Apr 21, 2026)
- KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20-PRIS: YES (Apr 21, 2026)
- KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20-ORBA: NO (Apr 21, 2026)
- KXMADDOWMENTION-26APR20-OIL: YES (Apr 21, 2026)