Corrupt / Corruption
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Politicians Markets
Active Markets (7)
Iran / Iranian
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Israel / Israeli
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Gaza / Palestine
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Yes
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Transgender
Market Model 90.0% 88.9%
Healthcare
Market Model 87.0% 85.4%
Moon
Market Model 39.0% 31.0%
Sleepy Joe
Market Model 99.0% 99.3%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: Corrupt / Corruption | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? Top outcome: Iran / Iranian | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will Trump say during his Rally in Oklahoma? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will Netanyahu say during Fox News: Hannity? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | — | Refresh |
| What will Trump say during Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? Yes refers to: Immigrant / Immigration | 1.0% | 0.2% | Med | — | Refresh |
| What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alabama? Top outcome: Transgender | 90.0% | 88.9% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will Trump say this week? Top outcome: Moon | 39.0% | 31.0% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (75)
Yes
Market Model — —
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 6.0% 1.9%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 2.0% 1.0%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Healthcare
Market Model 20.0% 11.0%
Corrupt / Corruption
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
2028 / Campaign
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 4.0%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 2.0% 0.5%
Donald
Market Model 10.0% 4.3%
Trump (3+ times)
Market Model 2.0% 0.1%
Republican
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Trump
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
2028 / Campaign
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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What will Trump say in July? Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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Yes
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| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | Med | 69 | ||
| What will Trump say during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? Top outcome: Crypto / Bitcoin | 6.0% | 1.9% | Med | — | |
| — | — | Med | 37 | ||
| — | — | Med | 66 | ||
| What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? Top outcome: Healthcare | 20.0% | 11.0% | Med | — | |
| What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | — | |
| What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 4.0% | Med | — | |
| What will Melania say during Fox & Friends? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 2.0% | 0.5% | Med | — | |
| What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: Trump (3+ times) | 2.0% | 0.1% | Med | — | |
| What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? Top outcome: Trump | 1.0% | 0.2% | Med | — | |
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