AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
2028 / Campaign
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Politicians Markets
Active Markets (6)
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 1.0% 4.0%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Market Model 2.0% 0.5%
Donald
Market Model 10.0% 4.3%
Trump (3+ times)
Market Model 2.0% 0.1%
Republican
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Trump
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
2028 / Campaign
Market Model 1.0% 0.2%
Qatar / Qatari
Market Model 87.0% 83.0%
UAE / United Arab Emirates
Market Model 76.0% 68.8%
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1.0% | 4.0% | Med | 38 | Refresh |
| What will Melania say during Fox & Friends? Top outcome: AI / Artificial Intelligence | 2.0% | 0.5% | Med | 40 | Refresh |
| What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: Trump (3+ times) | 2.0% | 0.1% | Med | — | Refresh |
| What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? Top outcome: Trump | 1.0% | 0.2% | Med | — | Refresh |
| What countries will Trump say in September? Top outcome: Qatar / Qatari | 87.0% | 83.0% | Med | 69 | Refresh |
Expired Markets (64)
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Transparent / Transparency
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 3.0% 0.0%
Ballroom
Market Model 62.0% 35.7%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Election
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Corrupt / Corruption
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Data Center
Market Model 1.0% 0.1%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 1.0% 0.5%
Drill Baby Drill
Market Model 13.0% 6.0%
Hormuz
Market Model 88.0% 87.1%
Crypto / Bitcoin
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Irish Open
Market Model 98.0% 96.8%
Radical Left
Market Model 7.0% 2.0%
Made in America / American Made
Market Model 1.0% 0.4%
Event does not qualify
Market Model 1.0% 12.3%
Charlie / Kirk
Market Model 99.0% 87.0%
America First
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Israel / Israeli
Market Model 1.0% 0.3%
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
What will Trump say in July? Kalshi
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
Yes
Market Model — —
| Event | Market | Model | Conf | TI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Trump say during his announcement on healthcare? Top outcome: Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1.0% | 0.4% | Med | — | |
| What will Trump say during his Rose Garden dinner? Top outcome: Crypto / Bitcoin | 3.0% | 0.0% | Med | — | |
| What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? Top outcome: Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | — | |
| What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? Top outcome: Corrupt / Corruption | 1.0% | 0.1% | Med | — | |
| What will Trump say during remarks in North Carolina? Top outcome: Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 0.5% | Med | — | |
| 88.0% | 87.1% | Med | — | ||
| What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland? Top outcome: Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | — | |
| What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention? Top outcome: Radical Left | 7.0% | 2.0% | Med | — | |
| Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention? Top outcome: Event does not qualify | 1.0% | 12.3% | Med | — | |
| What will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)? Top outcome: America First | 1.0% | 0.3% | Med | — | |
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | 38 | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | High | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — | ||
| — | — | Med | — |
