Short Answer

Both the model and the market expect Josh Turek to mention Healthcare during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, with no compelling evidence of mispricing.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market experienced a sharp and decisive collapse. Trading opened at 59.0% on August 25, 2026, and briefly rose to a peak of 72.0% on August 26, indicating initial market confidence that Iowa's Democratic Senate nominee Josh Turek would appear on the program, consistent with his frequent past appearances. This sentiment reversed abruptly on August 26, when the price plummeted 71 percentage points from 72.0% to 1.0%. The primary driver for this drop appears to be the lack of a confirmed booking. Public records indicated Turek was not scheduled to appear on the show that day.
Total volume reached 4,633 contracts, with a significant portion traded during the price spike and subsequent crash. Volume of over 550 contracts was traded as the price hit 65.0%, showing active participation before the negative information was priced in. Following the collapse to 1.0%, volume fell to just 10 contracts, suggesting the market reached a firm consensus. The 1.0% price now acts as a definitive floor, reflecting the near-certainty that the event did not occur. The price action shows a market that initially traded on historical patterns before rapidly re-pricing based on schedule-specific information.
  • Corruption and healthcare discussion is likely given Turek's platform and past emphasis.
  • Iowa will be a key topic after Turek won his Senate primary.
  • Economic relief and working families themes may drive mentions of farm issues.

Current Context

Josh Turek has frequently appeared on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell." Turek, the 2026 Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Iowa, has discussed his campaign on the program multiple times in 2026 [1][2][3][4][5][6]. He secured the nomination on June 2, 2026 [7][8][9].
Turek's platform focuses on economic and healthcare improvements for Iowans. During his appearances, he criticized Iowa's economic and healthcare situation, advocating for the middle class and working families [1][2][3][4][5][6]. In more recent broadcasts, Turek stated that Iowans are ready for change, citing economic and healthcare challenges. He referenced Franklin D. Roosevelt's philosophy on societal progress as a guiding political principle [6].
No public record confirms a scheduled appearance for Josh Turek. There is no reliable evidence indicating a future broadcast featuring Josh Turek on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" [7].
Sources (9)
  1. 1Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  2. 2Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a changems.now
  3. 3Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  4. 4Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice system that works - The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell | Podcast on Spotifyopen.spotify.com
  5. 5Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice...podcasts.apple.com
  6. 6Josh Turek: 'Iowans are ready for change and the winds of...youtube.com
  7. 7Josh Turek | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  8. 8Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Josh Turek Gives Victory Speech After Primary Polls Close | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  9. 9AZ Sen. Mark Kelly (D) & Senate Candidate Josh Turek (D-IA) Speak at Iowa Democrats Fundraiser | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Afford / Affordable / Affordability

📉 August 26, 2026: 71.0pp drop

Price decreased from 72.0% to 1.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 71.0 percentage point drop appears to be the lack of confirmation that the underlying event would occur. Public records indicate that Josh Turek was not scheduled to appear on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" on August 26, 2026 [1][2]. There is no evidence of specific social media activity or traditional news announcements confirming such an appearance or providing a catalyst for the price movement [1]. Consequently, market participants likely adjusted their expectations as the date arrived without the event materializing, making any specific outcome highly improbable. Social media was irrelevant, as no related activity or viral narrative was identified for this specific date and event [1].

Outcome: Republican

📈 August 25, 2026: 13.0pp spike

Price increased from 43.0% to 56.0%

What happened: There is no verifiable public information regarding a "13.0pp spike" in a prediction market related to Josh Turek or social media activity on August 25, 2026 [3]. While Josh Turek, a Democratic U.S. Senate candidate, appeared on "The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell" that day, specific transcripts or quotes from his remarks are unavailable [4]. His established campaign platform consistently critiques Republicans [5], making a spike towards the "Republican" outcome for his statements highly unlikely without contradictory evidence. Therefore, social media was not a primary driver, and no specific driver for the reported market movement could be identified from the provided information.
Sources (5)
  1. 1Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  2. 2Josh Turek | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  3. 3The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell - Aug. 25 | Audio Onlyms.now
  4. 4Josh Turek - The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell | TVmazetvmaze.com
  5. 5Turek attacks Hinson on costs, health care at State Fair | Iowa Campaigns and Elections | thegazette.comthegazette.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This Kalshi market resolves YES if Josh Turek says specific words, such as "Afford," "Affordable," "Affordability," "Election," or "Republican," during "The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell" on August 25, 2026. A NO resolution occurs if he does not say any of these words. The maximum payout for this market is September 9, 2026, with no other special settlement conditions detailed.

Market Discussion

Josh Turek, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa for the 2026 election, has previously appeared on The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell to discuss his campaign, economic struggles in Iowa, and his background as a veteran and Paralympian [1][2][3][4]. While prediction markets have actively tracked Turek's candidacy, there is no evidence suggesting he will discuss prediction markets during a future appearance; his past discussions focused on his campaign platform and his efforts to combat the financial advantage of his Republican opponents [1][2][3][5][6][7][8][4].

Sources (8)
  1. 1Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a changems.now
  2. 2Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  3. 3Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice...podcasts.apple.com
  4. 4Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  5. 5Not even <em>Fox News</em> can spin this - Josh Turek’s Substackjoshturek.substack.com
  6. 6We’ve been warned - Josh Turek’s Substackjoshturek.substack.com
  7. 7BREAKING: Inside Elections just shifted their race... - Couch Skycouchsky.app
  8. 8even Fox News can't spin this one - Josh Turek’s Substackjoshturek.substack.com

5. Trader Dashboard

This scorecard was computed Aug 26, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Trust profile
Event quality7
Poor
Liquidity
8

12 contracts · worst first

Event does not qualify1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Election1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

ICE1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Joni / Ernst1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Republican4
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Afford / Affordable / Affordability9
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Trump (3+ times)14
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Healthcare36
Very thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $2,302

Iowa39
Very thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $2,725

Farm / Farmer43
Thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $3,544

Corrupt / Corruption46
Thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $4,123

Cancer46
Thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $4,049

Move quality
—

No reading right now

12 contracts · worst first

Trump (3+ times)80
Confirmed · low confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Republican82
Confirmed · low confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Election82
Confirmed · low confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Afford / Affordable / Affordability85
Confirmed · low confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Corrupt / Corruption—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Healthcare—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Iowa—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Farm / Farmer—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Cancer—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Event does not qualify—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

ICE—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Joni / Ernst—
Only 0 candle closes

Only 0 candle closes

Rule clarity
—Clear

Rules read clean and objective

12 contracts · worst first

Corrupt / Corruption100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Healthcare100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Iowa100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Farm / Farmer100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Cancer100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Event does not qualify100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Trump (3+ times)100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Afford / Affordable / Affordability100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Republican100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Election100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
ICE100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear
Joni / Ernst100
Clear · high confidence

All checks pass

objective outcome · Clearofficial source · Cleartime boundary · Clear

trader_dashboard_lean_v1.13 · computed Aug 26, 2026

6. What campaign developments in the Iowa Senate race could trigger a Josh Turek appearance on 'The Last Word' before the November 2026 election?

Election Year2026 general election [1]
OpponentAshley Hinson (Republican) [1]
Iowa Senate Race StatusConsidered a toss-up by some political analysts [2]
Significant campaign developments could trigger Josh Turek's appearance on 'The Last Word.' Future appearances by Josh Turek on 'The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell' are likely to be prompted by major polling shifts, competitive debates, or breaking news concerning health or economic policy [3][4]. Turek, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa, is set to face Republican Ashley Hinson in the 2026 general election [1]. Although political forecasters generally rate Iowa as 'Leans Republican' [1][5][6], this specific Senate race is currently considered a toss-up by some political analysts, making it a competitive and high-stakes contest for Democrats aiming to flip the seat [2][5][6].
National media exposure hinges on Turek's campaign momentum and specific issues. Turek's campaign could gain national media attention if it achieves significant polling momentum, engages in a high-profile controversy, or if the Iowa Senate race becomes a national focal point for maintaining Senate control [5][6]. Specific policy discussions, such as Turek's focus on healthcare affordability and Iowa's high cancer rates, could also prompt an appearance if they develop into prominent campaign news [2][7][3][4]. Therefore, any developments contributing to a national narrative surrounding Turek's potential to flip this contested seat would drive further appearances on the program [3][4].
Sources (7)
  1. 1United States Senate election in Iowa, 2026ballotpedia.org
  2. 2The Big Question in Iowa’s Senate Race | The New Republicnewrepublic.com
  3. 3Josh Turek: 'Iowans are ready for change and the winds of...youtube.com
  4. 4Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  5. 5Democrat Josh Turek and GOP's Ashley Hinson to compete...ap.org
  6. 6Turek, Hinson running for open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa as Ernst retires - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  7. 7Iowa Senate candidates zero in on cancer crisis as key...thehill.com

7. What recurring themes and topics has Josh Turek emphasized in his previous 2026 media appearances, particularly on MSNBC?

Key ThemesEconomic hardship, political corruption, and representing working families and rural communities [1][2]
Campaign SloganIowans are ready for change [3][4][2]
Notable Media AppearanceThe Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell on July 3, 2026 [5]
Josh Turek consistently emphasizes economic hardship, political corruption, and representing working families. His media appearances in 2026, including on MSNBC, frequently highlight the high costs of groceries, gas, and health care as examples of economic struggles. Turek advocates for campaign finance reform, addressing Citizens United, and implementing term limits to combat political corruption. He aims to counter the influence of billionaires and corporations, championing small family farms and rural communities [1][2].
Turek's campaign messaging frequently criticizes the Trump administration's economic impact. He often uses phrases such as "Iowans are ready for change," "winds of change," and "Iowans are hurting" to characterize his Iowa campaign. His policy specifics include advocating for an end to the war in Iran, putting guardrails on health insurance, and ensuring congressional accountability through annual town halls. On July 3, 2026, Turek appeared on The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, where he discussed his Senate campaign in Iowa to fill the seat vacated by GOP Sen. Joni Ernst [3][4][2][5].
Sources (5)
  1. 13 takeaways from Josh Turek's speech at Des Moines Register Soapboxdesmoinesregister.com
  2. 2Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  3. 3Josh Turek: 'Iowans are ready for change and the winds of...youtube.com
  4. 4How struggling farmers could turn Iowa blue and hand...ms.now
  5. 5Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice...podcasts.apple.com

8. How do Josh Turek's and Joni Ernst's 2026 campaign platforms compare on the key issues listed in the market outcomes, such as healthcare and corruption?

Josh Turek 2026 PlatformHealthcare access, combating corruption, economic issues for working families and rural communities [1][2][3]
Joni Ernst 2026 Re-electionNot seeking re-election [4]
Ashley Hinson Platform (Ernst Endorsement)Pro-growth policies, reduced government spending, increased childcare access [4]
Josh Turek's 2026 platform prioritizes healthcare, anti-corruption, and economic relief. His campaign centers on ensuring healthcare access and actively combating corruption within Washington, D.C. [1][2][3]. Turek also addresses economic challenges faced by working families and rural communities, adopting a "prairie populist" and moderate approach. He frequently discusses rising living costs and expresses opposition to cuts in food assistance and healthcare services [1][2][3][5][6][7], consistently emphasizing a strong call for political change in Iowa [5][6][3].
In contrast, Joni Ernst will not run in 2026; Ashley Hinson advocates pro-growth policies. Ernst is not planning to seek re-election in 2026, which means her specific campaign platform for that election cycle is unavailable for comparison [4]. However, Ernst has endorsed Republican nominee Ashley Hinson. Hinson's platform focuses on advocating for pro-growth policies, reducing government spending, and expanding access to childcare [4].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Meet Josh Turekturek4iowa.com
  2. 2Republicans seem increasingly worried about Iowa's U.S. Senate race - Bleeding Heartlandbleedingheartland.com
  3. 3Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  4. 4Turek, Hinson running for open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa as Ernst retires - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  5. 5Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a changems.now
  6. 6Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  7. 7Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice...podcasts.apple.com

9. What public information is available regarding the booking process and typical guest lead times for 'The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell'?

Booking ProcessProfessional outreach to show producers via email, focusing on specific, timely story pitches [1][2][3]
Pitch EssentialsOne-sheet detailing credentials, topic relevance, and supporting documentation or exclusivity [1][2][3]
Typical Lead TimeNot publicly documented; often requires rapid responses due to news cycles [2][3]
Guest booking requires targeted pitches directly to show producers. The booking process for 'The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell' involves professional outreach, typically via email, to show producers. Pitches should be highly focused on specific, timely story ideas rather than generic interview requests. Essential materials for a compelling pitch include a one-sheet detailing the prospective guest's credentials, the topic's relevance to the program's audience, and any supporting documentation or exclusivity [1][2][3].
Guest lead times are often short, driven by news. While formal lead times for guest appearances are not publicly documented, guest bookings are frequently driven by news cycles and editorial needs, often requiring rapid responses to breaking news or timely pegs. Producers prioritize sources who can demonstrate strong subject matter expertise, communicate professionally, and are available on short notice [2][3].
Sources (3)
  1. 1How to Reach Lawrence O’Donnell on MSNBC: The Definitive Guide to Contacting America’s Sharpest Political Analyst — Networth Spotv.maxthon.com
  2. 2How to Get on MSNBC: 5 Plays Bookers Actually Run | IPinstantpress.co
  3. 3Booking Guests for TV Newsnbcuacademy.com

10. What are the dominant topics and question patterns on 'The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell' during the 2026 election season?

Turek Primary Win DateJune 2, 2026 [1][2][3]
Last Word Dominant TopicDeclining Trumpian influence in GOP [4][5][6][7][8]
Josh Turek Campaign Focus'Kitchen table' issues [9][10][11][12][13]
Program discussions frequently address Trump's declining influence and economic concerns. During the 2026 election season, "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" has consistently featured discussions on declining Trumpian influence within the Republican Party [4][5][6][7][8], widespread economic anxiety, criticism of the Supreme Court [5], and the overall competitiveness of the midterm elections [8]. Other significant topics covered during this period include House redistricting, incumbent primary losses, and the impact of trifecta or triplex status in state elections [14].
Iowa Senate nominee Josh Turek detailed his "kitchen table" issues platform. Josh Turek, the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa, secured his primary victory on June 2, 2026 [1][2][3] and has appeared on "The Last Word" to elaborate on his campaign platform [9][10][11][12][13]. His agenda focuses on "kitchen table" issues, specifically targeting rising costs, rural economic difficulties exacerbated by tariffs, farm foreclosures, and the reduction of health care and food assistance for Iowans [9][10][11][12][13]. Turek frames his campaign as a "generational chance" for Iowa, advocating for lower costs in healthcare, housing, and prescription drugs, and championing the needs of working families, rural communities, and small family farms over corporate interests [9][10][11][12][2][3].
Sources (14)
  1. 1Turek, Hinson running for open U.S. Senate seat in Iowa as Ernst retires - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  2. 2Josh Turek defeated Zach Wahls in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in Iowa on June 2, 2026 - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  3. 3Josh Turek and Zach Wahls are running in the U.S. Senate Democratic primary in Iowa on Jun 2, 2026 - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
  4. 4Lawrence: Trump’s ‘lust for vengeance’ could cost Republicans in the House and Senate — The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnellpodparadise.com
  5. 5Lawrence: SCOTUS, like Natalie Harp, pretends to believe Trump works on ‘election integrity’ms.now
  6. 6Lawrence: Trump-endorsed primary losses show Trump might not pick the next GOP presidential nominee — The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnellpodparadise.com
  7. 7Trump rallies voters for Graham in SC GOP Senate runoff — The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnellpodparadise.com
  8. 8Lawrence O'Donnell: Trump Is No Longer a Republican 'Kingmaker'thewrap.com
  9. 9Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a...youtube.com
  10. 10Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a changems.now
  11. 11Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  12. 12Lawrence: Trump cannot survive a federal criminal justice...podcasts.apple.com
  13. 13MS NOW's Lawrence O'Donnell talks to Josh Turek, Iowa's...facebook.com
  14. 14On the Ballot Episode 194 House Sorting 26 Midtermsballotpedia.org

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

Josh Turek, the 2026 Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa, won his primary on June 2, 2026, a victory successfully forecast by prediction markets where he was heavily favored and ultimately won [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10]. Turek is a recurring guest on 'The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell,' having appeared on the show to discuss his 2026 U.S. Senate campaign following his primary win [11][12][13][14][15]. His messaging on the program has centered on themes of Iowans wanting change, bipartisan appeal, and his background as a Paralympian, rather than specific attack-line focus on political rivals [11][12][16]. Turek’s platform focuses on "prairie populist" themes, disability advocacy, and affordable healthcare [17][16][18].
Polymarket prediction markets currently indicate that Turek's opponent, Republican Ashley Hinson, is the frontrunner in the 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate election with approximately 60% probability compared to roughly 40% for Turek [19][20][21]. Turek has faced recent criticism from Rep. Hinson regarding his attendance record in the Iowa state legislature [17][22]. There is no verifiable evidence or public indication that Turek is scheduled to appear on 'The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell' or that he has made specific public statements on that program [6][7][8][9][10]. This absence of confirmed future high-profile media exposure could influence his visibility and narrative control in the general election campaign.

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: September 09, 2026
  • Closes: September 09, 2026
Sources (22)
  1. 1Iowa Democratic Senate nominee? Odds & Predictions 2026kalshi.com
  2. 2Iowa Democratic Senate nominee Elections Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  3. 3Josh Turek: 2026 Iowa U.S. Senate Polls & Oddspredictionedge.com
  4. 4Josh Turek Wins: Final Prediction Market Odds & Historypredictionhunt.com
  5. 5https://polymarket.com/tl/event/iowa-democratic-senate-primary-winner/will-josh-turek-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-iowapolymarket.com
  6. 6Josh Turek | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  7. 7Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Josh Turek Gives Victory Speech After Primary Polls Close | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  8. 8AZ Sen. Mark Kelly (D) & Senate Candidate Josh Turek (D-IA) Speak at Iowa Democrats Fundraiserc-span.org
  9. 9Iowa Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Josh Turek Gives Victory Speech After Primary Polls Close | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  10. 10Turek Senatorial Campaign | Organization | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
  11. 11Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a changems.now
  12. 12Josh Turek: ‘Iowans are ready for change and the winds of change are here’ms.now
  13. 13MS NOW's Lawrence O'Donnell talks to Josh Turek, Iowa's...facebook.com
  14. 14Josh Turek: Iowans are hurting under Trump and ready for a change - Main Stream Videosmainstream.whatfinger.com
  15. 15Lawrence: White House effectively says NYT reporters must have tapes of Situation Room meeting - The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell | Podcast on Spotifyopen.spotify.com
  16. 16Josh Turek talks Paralympics in his first Iowa Senate...nbcnews.com
  17. 17Josh Tureken.wikipedia.org
  18. 18Iowa Rep. Josh Turek is running for US Senate. What are his goals?desmoinesregister.com
  19. 19Iowa Senate Election Winner Predictions & Odds 2026polymarket.com
  20. 20https://polymarket.com/event/iowa-senate-election-winner?r=predictionhunteventspolymarket.com
  21. 21Iowa Senate and Governor Combo Predictions & Odds 2026polymarket.com
  22. 22Schumer-backed Senate hopeful Josh Turek ripped over missed votes | Fox Newsfoxnews.com

13. Related News

-71.0pp
Last updated: August 26, 2026, 12:30 UTC

Turek's 'Last Word' Appearance Sparks Sell-Off in Keyword Mention Markets

An appearance by Iowa Democratic Senate candidate Josh Turek on MSNBC's "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" on Wednesday, August 26, 2026, triggered a near-total collapse in prediction markets foc...

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 7 resolved YES, 13 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG19-TRUM: YES (Aug 20, 2026)
  • KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG19-REPU: YES (Aug 20, 2026)
  • KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG19-OIL: NO (Aug 20, 2026)
  • KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG19-NQE: NO (Aug 20, 2026)
  • KXLASTWORDMENTION-26AUG19-NATA: YES (Aug 20, 2026)