What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell?
Short Answer
1. Market Behavior & Drivers
- Roy Cooper is reported to have stated North Carolina needs a senator to oppose Trump.
- Cooper's legacy of expanding Medicaid makes 'Healthcare' a probable topic for discussion.
- Cooper's campaign rhetoric often targets opponent Michael Whatley on issues like tariffs.
Who Wins and Why
| Outcome | Market | Model | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1.0% | 0.3% | Specific terms for affordability may be less directly used by Cooper. |
| Election | 1.0% | 0.3% | The specific term 'Election' may not be a primary focus of his remarks. |
| Medicaid / Medicare | 1.0% | 0.2% | Cooper may use broader terms instead of specific programs like Medicaid. |
Current Context
Sources (4)
- 1Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 2Trump slams Democrat Cooper as ‘weak’ on crime as he campaigns in North Carolina – Roll Callrollcall.com
- 3Trump bashes Democrats on crime in campaigning for Michael Whatley in North Carolinanbcnews.com
- 4Roy Cooper | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
2. Price Chart
Historical Price (Probability)
3. Significant Price Movements
Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.
📉 September 17, 2026: 74.0pp drop
Price decreased from 75.0% to 1.0%
Outcome: Election
4. Market Data
Contract Snapshot
This Kalshi prediction market resolves based on whether Roy Cooper says specific words or phrases, such as "Afford," "Affordable," or "Affordability," during "The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell." A "Yes" outcome triggers if the specified word(s) are spoken during the broadcast, otherwise a "No" outcome is triggered. The maximum payout for this market is set for September 30, 2026.
Available Contracts
Market options and current pricing
| Outcome bucket | Yes (price) | No (price) | Last trade probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| Election | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
| Medicaid / Medicare | $0.01 | $1.00 | 1% |
Market Discussion
Prediction markets reflect public interest in what Roy Cooper may say during potential appearances on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" [1][2][3][4]. Although previous reporting notes Cooper stating on September 17, 2026, that North Carolina needs a senator to stand up to Donald Trump [5][6], there is no record of a scheduled appearance for him on the show for that date [7]. Cooper is actively campaigning as a Democratic candidate for a U.S. Senate seat in North Carolina, a campaign marked by criticism from Donald Trump regarding his gubernatorial record [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17].
Sources (17)
- 1What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word With Lawrence O...kalshi.com
- 2What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word With Lawrence O...coinbase.com
- 3What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O...kalshi.com
- 4What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word With Lawrence O...coinbase.com
- 5Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 6Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpmodernghana.com
- 7Roy Cooper | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 8Trump and Whatley double down on the administration’s record in North Carolina Senate contestwbtv.com
- 9Trump Returns to Trail in North Carolina With Senate on the Line - Bloombergbloomberg.com
- 10How the Republican push to change voting rules in a key state could hurt Democrats in the midterms | CNN Politicscnn.com
- 11In North Carolina, Trump Says State 'One of the Worst' on Crime: What Data Shows - Newsweeknewsweek.com
- 12Trump Makes Ugly New Threat About What He'll Do If His Candidate Loses | HuffPost Latest Newshuffpost.com
- 13U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper (D-NC) Holds Campaign Event in Concord, NC | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 14North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Holds Campaign Event | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 15North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Speaks to Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 16U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Holds News Conference | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 17Senate Candidate Roy Cooper (D-NC) Speak to Reporters in Concord, North Carolina | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
5. Trust Index
The market subject can determine its own outcome.
Integrity risk· Outcome control
Trust score capped by Market integrity (20).
Market integrity 20 is below the safety floor of 30, so the score can't exceed 40.
6. How might Donald Trump's campaign activities in North Carolina before September 2026 influence Roy Cooper's choice of topics on 'The Last Word'?
| Trump campaign influence timeframe | Before September 2026 [1][2][3][4] |
|---|---|
| Date of key events | September 16, 2026 [1][2][3][5] |
| Roy Cooper's statement | North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump [6][7][8] |
Sources (8)
- 1Trump bashes Democrats on crime in campaigning for Michael Whatley in North Carolinanbcnews.com
- 2Trump Returns to Trail in North Carolina With Senate on the Line - Bloombergbloomberg.com
- 3Trump stumps for Senate candidate in North Carolina as Republicans fear losing the seat - ABC Newsabcnews.com
- 4Trump and Whatley double down on the administration’s record in North Carolina Senate contestwbtv.com
- 5‘Pretend I’m on the ticket’: Trump hits campaign trail in bid to boost Republican hopes | Donald Trump | The Guardiantheguardian.com
- 6Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 7Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to...caessqeb6zswfqowdlnvqqdqmaodag9u5zjvnlrqi9xc8ghvjjsrkothjinqwcsvl8hzxfjhumuvajnomuztekag1pchfeedzl86y4v_zwhuswkzfbovd0q0tapy5-96z_yy7k15aqcn0ssyywlxfxafa6qf2ohhfwlw-xpsp_yt7q2takdnnf9unlkrrnqmnpqav8vqaz30vshcgzsdqgvngpc1dnjn3cjmf3wl609udvtnvjq
- 8The Last Word - MS NOWcaeswahrozavucvxnvvjd7gas4uz8eb0ga_gpyck3xr7h-2kjebmbfjoxzwuqwrqxzqfmwlgg9xvtkb8vxrx4lfab3p0jrw-kilwxmdu_8sd3tnwgurkiitndqs
7. What is Roy Cooper's public record and messaging history on 'Healthcare' and 'Medicaid' during his tenure as Governor and his 2026 Senate campaign?
| Medicaid Expansion Signed | March 2023 [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| North Carolinians Covered by Medicaid Expansion | Nearly 600,000 [3] |
| Gubernatorial Tenure | 2017-2025 [4] |
Sources (13)
- 1Medicaid expansion solidified Cooper's legacy | NC Health Newsnorthcarolinahealthnews.org
- 2N. Carolina governor signs Medicaid expansion bill into law | AP Newsapnews.com
- 3A Healthier North Carolina: Governor Cooper Celebrates Nearly 600,000 Enrolled in Medicaid Expansion and Other Major Health Care Accomplishments | NC Governorgovernor.nc.gov
- 4Medicaid spending in North Carolina - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 5Roy Cooper - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 6North Carolina gubernatorial election, 2020 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 7United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 8United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary) - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 9Making Health Care Affordable | Roy Cooper for North Carolinaroycooper.com
- 10Senate candidate Cooper focuses on healthcare in affordability plan | The North Carolina Independentncarolinaindependent.com
- 11Make Stuff Cost Less | Roy Cooper for North Carolinaroycooper.com
- 12Roy Cooper campaigns on lowering health care costs as part of his U.S. Senate campaign - WXIIwxii12.com
- 13Roy Cooper (D), Michael Whatley (R), and three other candidates are running in North Carolina's U.S. Senate election on November 3, 2026 - Ballotpedia Newsnews.ballotpedia.org
8. How do Roy Cooper's and Michael Whatley's stated economic policies compare on the issues of 'affordability' and 'tariffs' in the 2026 election cycle?
| Cooper's Tariffs Stance | Advocates for rolling back tariffs to lower costs [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Whatley's Tariffs Stance | Advocates for tariffs as a tool for economic growth and jobs [1] |
| Cooper's Economic Focus | Aims to lower costs by reversing tariffs, blocking anti-competitive mergers, and increasing pricing transparency [1][3] |
Sources (4)
- 1Cooper vs. Whatley: comparing policy agendas for campaign | Raleigh News & Observernewsobserver.com
- 2Roy Cooper outlines plan to lower costs for North Carolina | Raleigh News & Observernewsobserver.com
- 3United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2026 - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
- 4Michael Whatley - Ballotpediaballotpedia.org
9. What strategic objectives is Roy Cooper likely to pursue by appearing on MSNBC's 'The Last Word' versus a local North Carolina outlet in September 2026?
| Purpose of National Appearance | Access broader national donor base and signal candidacy significance [1][2][3] |
|---|---|
| Opponent Critique Strategy | Consistently pivots to criticizing Michael Whatley as a Washington insider [4][1][5][3] |
| Campaign Brand | Pragmatic, moderate 'normal' Democrat focused on local economic issues [1][6][5][3] |
Sources (6)
- 1Roy Cooper’s Radical Strategy: Act Normal - by Lauren Eganthebulwark.com
- 2WFAE 90.7 - Charlotte's NPR News Sourcewfae.org
- 3Enough Democratic Drama. North Carolina Has a Better, Boring Way. – DNYUZdnyuz.com
- 4Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 5Why this popular Dem is running like he is behind</p><p>- Dan Mericajewishworldreview.com
- 6The Secrets of Roy Cooper’s Purple-State Success - The Atlantictheatlantic.com
10. Based on his 2026 campaign rhetoric, how frequently does Roy Cooper mention his opponent, Michael Whatley, by name versus using broader terms like 'Republican'?
| Campaign Naming Strategy | Uses opponent's name and partisan labels ('Republican', 'GOP') [1][2][3][4][5] |
|---|---|
| TV Interview Focus (Sep 16, 2026) | Prioritized attacking national party leadership and opponent's alignment over repetitive name use [6][7][8] |
| Opponent Characterization | Frames Michael Whatley as an oil lobbyist, RNC chair, and beholden to Donald Trump [1][2][3][4][5] |
Sources (8)
- 1US Senate Race: NC's Roy Cooper pushes back on Michael Whatley attacks at GOP midterm convention - ABC11 Raleigh-Durhamabc11.com
- 2Whatley says Cooper was the state’s 'worst' governor; Cooper hits Whatley's connection to Trump | WFAE 90.7 - Charlotte's NPR News Sourcewfae.org
- 3Fmr. NC Governor Roy Cooper Accuses Opponent Michael Whatley of Being "Anointed" by Trump | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 4Ad Attacking N.C. Republican Senate Candidate Uses His Own (Dated) Words Against Him - FactCheck.orgfactcheck.org
- 5Republican U.S. Senate Michael Whatley slams Democratic Roy Cooper on public safety | WFAE 90.7 - Charlotte's NPR News Sourcewfae.org
- 6Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 7The Last Word With Lawrence O’Donnell - Sept. 16 | Audio Onlyms.now
- 8Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpmodernghana.com
11. What Could Change the Odds
Key Catalysts
Key Dates & Catalysts
- Expiration: September 30, 2026
- Closes: September 30, 2026
Sources (13)
- 1Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 2Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpmodernghana.com
- 3North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump - YouTubeyoutube.com
- 4North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump - Yahooyahoo.com
- 5Election 2026: Cooper forecasts race decided by 3% or less | North Carolina | thecentersquare.comthecentersquare.com
- 6What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 7What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O...kalshi.com
- 8U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper (D-NC) Holds Campaign Event in Concord, NC | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 9North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Speaks to Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 10U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Holds News Conference | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 11Roy Cooper Attacks Michael Whatley for His Stake in Duke Energy | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 12Cooper Calls for Local Governments to Have "Significant Input" on Where Data Centers are Built | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 13Roy Cooper Calls for Rollback of Trump Tariffs | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
12. Decision-Flipping Events
- Trigger: North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Roy Cooper was reported to appear on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" on September 16, 2026, where he allegedly stated, "North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump" [1][2][3][4].
- Trigger: Ahead of this reported appearance, Cooper had publicly emphasized his "Make Stuff Cost Less" campaign tour and forecasted his Senate race would be decided by a margin of 3% or less [5].
- Trigger: Prediction markets, such as Kalshi, created a contract regarding what Roy Cooper would say during this specific appearance, with one market tracking whether he would use the words "Afford," "Affordable," or "Affordability" [6][7].
- Trigger: Available records from C-SPAN, which tracks political candidate appearances, show no broadcast segment for Roy Cooper on "The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell" on September 16, 2026 [8][9][10][11][12][13].
Sources (13)
- 1Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpms.now
- 2Roy Cooper: North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trumpmodernghana.com
- 3North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump - YouTubeyoutube.com
- 4North Carolina needs a senator who will stand up to Trump - Yahooyahoo.com
- 5Election 2026: Cooper forecasts race decided by 3% or less | North Carolina | thecentersquare.comthecentersquare.com
- 6What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? - Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
- 7What will Roy Cooper say during The Last Word with Lawrence O...kalshi.com
- 8U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper (D-NC) Holds Campaign Event in Concord, NC | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 9North Carolina Democratic U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Speaks to Reporters | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 10U.S. Senate Candidate Roy Cooper Holds News Conference | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 11Roy Cooper Attacks Michael Whatley for His Stake in Duke Energy | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 12Cooper Calls for Local Governments to Have "Significant Input" on Where Data Centers are Built | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
- 13Roy Cooper Calls for Rollback of Trump Tariffs | Video | C-SPAN.orgc-span.org
14. Related News
15. Historical Resolutions
Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series
Outcomes: 11 resolved YES, 9 resolved NO
Recent resolutions:
- KXLASTWORDMENTION-26SEP14-TRUM: YES (Sep 15, 2026)
- KXLASTWORDMENTION-26SEP14-REPU: YES (Sep 15, 2026)
- KXLASTWORDMENTION-26SEP14-NQE: NO (Sep 15, 2026)
- KXLASTWORDMENTION-26SEP14-IRAN: NO (Sep 15, 2026)
- KXLASTWORDMENTION-26SEP14-HEAL: YES (Sep 15, 2026)