Short Answer

Philadelphia is likely to defeat Indiana, drawing on a rest advantage and a 5-0 record in recent head-to-head matchups, even with Joel Embiid out for the game; the market prices this at 73.0%.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

The market's sharpest move, an 11-point drop to 69% on November 14, was driven by the announcement that Philadelphia center Joel Embiid was ruled out of the game with a right foot plantar fascia injury. This news served as the primary catalyst for repricing the game's odds during the period.
The contract, which resolves on an Indiana win, opened with a high probability of 79% and trended downward overall, despite Philadelphia holding a 1-0 season series lead. After the adjustment for the Embiid news, the price settled at 73% on game day. A surge in trading volume on November 15 indicates significant market activity solidifying this final pre-game assessment. No other specific news events correspond with other price fluctuations in the provided data.
  • Philadelphia wins, leading the season series and winning their last five meetings.
  • Philadelphia benefits from extra rest; Joel Embiid's absence adjusted win probability.

Who Wins and Why

Outcome Market Model Why
Philadelphia 73.0% 75.4% Philadelphia has won its last five meetings against Indiana and benefits from an extra day's rest.
Indiana 28.0% 24.6% Indiana has won its last two games and recently improved defensively.

Current Context

Philadelphia hosts Indiana on November 15, 2026, following a 1-0 season series lead. The game tips off at 1:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena, broadcast on DAZN [1][2]. Probable starters for Philadelphia included Tyrese Maxey, Edgecombe, Jaylen Brown, LeBron James, and Joel Embiid, though Embiid was later ruled out [1][2]. Indiana's probable starters are Nembhard, Nesmith, Kelly Oubre, Siakam, and Zubac [1][2]. Philadelphia acquired All-Star Jaylen Brown from Boston in an offseason trade for Paul George and draft capital, while Oubre joined Indiana after three seasons with Philadelphia [1]. Philadelphia won the first season matchup 114-109 on October 28, 2026, where Tyrese Maxey scored 17 of his 27 points in the fourth quarter [1][3][2]. The 76ers have won five of the last eight meetings and their last five consecutive games against the Pacers [1][3][2]. Indiana holds an 89-116 all-time record against the 76ers [1].
Philadelphia shows strong league form, while Indiana improved defensively. The 76ers, with a 10-3 record, rank 2nd in the Eastern Conference [1][3][2]. They lead the league in fewest games allowing 40+ points (0) and rank 2nd in turnovers per game (12.8) [1][3][2]. Indiana, with a 5-8 record, has improved defensively, holding opponents to 110 or fewer points in 7 of 13 games [1][3][2]. The Pacers hold a 12th-ranked defensive rating and have won their last two games, including a 106-104 victory over the Knicks on November 13 [1][3][2].
Prediction markets favor Philadelphia; expert picks lean 76ers. Kalshi shows Philadelphia win probabilities at 79% and 80%, with Polymarket at 77% (Troxler), and Gemini at 80.4% (bid 79%, ask 81%) [4][3][5][6][2]. Robinhood indicates Indiana at 19-21 cents [4]. Moneylines range from PHI -277 to -326 and IND +227 to +300 across books, with the spread set at PHI -7.5 [4][3][5][6][2]. Game totals are 224.5-225.5 [4][3][5][6][2]. Expert picks are split on the spread but generally favor Philadelphia [7][8][9][10][11][2]. numberFire projects a 76ers win at 78.89%, with a spread of -7.5 and total of 224.5 [10][11]. Pick Dawgz selected the 76ers, citing their rest advantage and Indiana's 0-6 record with a rest disadvantage [2]. Tony Sink picked Indiana [8]. Ron Crawford projected approximately 224 points and favored the under, a stance echoed by DailySports predicting Under 229.5 at odds of 1.91 [7][9].
Sources (11)
  1. 1Game Preview: Pacers at 76ersnba.com
  2. 2Pacers vs 76ers Prediction 11/15/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
  3. 3Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview, Odds & Statsmargus.app
  4. 4November 15, 2026: Indiana vs Philadelphia Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  5. 5Pacers at 76ers Odds and Markets, Nov 15, 2026 | Troxlertroxler.io
  6. 6Indiana vs Philadelphia - Compare Gemini vs Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  7. 7Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, 11/15/2026 Preview and Pickdocsports.com
  8. 8NBA Predictions November 15 | Tony’s Pickstonyspicks.com
  9. 9Can Indiana challenge Philadelphia's star power? Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers prediction – 15.11.2026dailysports.net
  10. 10NBA Predictions, Odds and Betting Lines - November 15 | FanDuel Researchfanduel.com
  11. 1176ers vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 15 | FanDuel Researchfanduel.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

📈 November 14, 2026: 12.0pp spike

Price increased from 20.0% to 32.0%

Outcome: Indiana

What happened: The primary driver of the 12.0 percentage point price spike was the traditional news announcement on November 14, 2026, that Joel Embiid was ruled out of the upcoming game against Indiana due to a right foot plantar fascia injury [1][2]. This crucial information immediately triggered an odds correction, with Indiana's implied win probability rising sharply from +345 to +240 on Fliff [1]. While social media on November 14 included viral postgame content like Kelly Oubre Jr. calling the Pacers' crowd 'gnarly' and T.J. McConnell praising the fanbase [3], this activity likely provided only a minor accelerant to general sentiment. Ultimately, social media was mostly noise compared to the fundamental impact of Embiid's absence.
Sources (3)
  1. 176ers Injury News: Embiid Out, Odds Already Movingbigmike.app
  2. 2Joel Embiid (foot) ruled out vs. Indiana - NBC Sportsnbcsports.com
  3. 3Pacers Beat Knicks 106-104: Oubre Praises Fansbasketballhour.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This contract resolves YES if the Philadelphia 76ers win their NBA game against the Indiana Pacers. Conversely, it resolves NO if the Philadelphia 76ers do not win, meaning the Indiana Pacers win the game. Trading for this market begins on November 15, 1:00 PM EST, with a maximum payout date of November 17, 2026.

Available Contracts

Market options and current pricing

Outcome bucket Yes (price) No (price) Last trade probability
Philadelphia $0.73 $0.28 73%
Indiana $0.28 $0.73 28%

Market Discussion

Prediction markets indicate the Philadelphia 76ers are strong favorites for their November 15, 2026 game against the Indiana Pacers, with Kalshi pricing PHI at 72% (73¢) and Polymarket at 79.5% (79.5¢) [1][2]. This is largely attributed to the 76ers' 10-3 season record, their five-game winning streak against Indiana, and LeBron James's signing with Philadelphia on July 24, 2026, which significantly boosted their odds [2][3][4]. While net sharp money shows a negative flow for the Pacers, their price has rebounded +7.0 percentage points in the last 24 hours from a low of 12% on November 10, 2026, with some top traders holding Pacers shares and on-chain activity revealing active two-sided trading [5][6][7].

Sources (7)
  1. 1Indiana vs Philadelphia: Kalshi odds | PredictionsMarket.compredictionsmarket.com
  2. 2Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Odds & Predictions | Kalshikalshi.com
  3. 376ers vs Pacers Head-to-Head: Record, History & Oddsvantagepredictions.com
  4. 4LeBron James Teases Polymarket Deal Ahead of NFL Seasoncoincentral.com
  5. 5Pacers vs. 76ers · Sharpsidesharpside.fun
  6. 6Pacers vs. 76ers · Market Guymarket-guy.com
  7. 7PHI vs IND · Flipflip.dodep.capital

5. Trust Index

Octagon Trust Index Kalshi 82 Good

Largest single print on KXNBAGAME-26NOV15INDPHI-IND carried 42% of its $973 tape (window is 9% of 24h flow)

Integrity risk· Large trades

How it adds up
Integrity80% of score82Good
Trade quality20% of score82Good

Includes the cost to trade: a $10,000 order loses under 1% of the price to slippage.

Trust score82Good

Weighted blend with hard caps — a critically weak safety pillar, or a severe trading anomaly, caps the total regardless of the rest. Full methodology · About the Trust Index

Trust profile
Integrity4 screens run · 6 don't apply
Market integrity
78Good

Outcome is hard to influence

Large tradesTrade signals · medium confidence

Largest single print on KXNBAGAME-26NOV15INDPHI-IND carried 42% of its $973 tape (window is 9% of 24h flow)

Screened clean
Thin-volume movesMoves carried volume Clear
Size patternsNo distribution read Clear
2 screens not run
Outcome control · doesn't apply to this market type
Thin-leg conviction · doesn't apply to this market type
Info fairness
80Good

Structural prior — no screens apply

No suspicious activity on any screen

Screened clean
Information exposureNo concentrated group can know the outcome materially early. Clear
4 screens not run
Move vs. catalyst · doesn't apply to this market type
Longshot repricing · doesn't apply to this market type
Pre-broadcast certainty · doesn't apply to this market type
Cross-venue timing · doesn't apply to this market type
Resolution quality
92Strong

Resolution mechanism is dependable

No suspicious activity on any screen

Resolution rules read: Clear

Liquidity
87Deep

Size fills near the screen price

2 contracts · worst first

Indiana82
Deep · high confidence

Quoted spread 3.7% of price with size at both touches (bar range 4.3%)

24h traded notional $10,683 · 24h
Philadelphia88
Deep · high confidence

Quoted spread 1.4% of price with size at both touches (bar range 2.5%)

24h traded notional $45,531 · 24h
Move quality
70Stable

No significant moves

2 contracts · worst first

Philadelphia—
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Indiana—
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Rule clarity
95Clear

Counts toward Resolution quality, not here

2 contracts · worst first

Philadelphia95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Indiana95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Trade quality
82Good

Order book supports trading

Deep and tight enough to trade efficiently.

Outcome quality 87 (notional-weighted across 2 scored legs)

$100 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 72.5c contract)

$1,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 72.5c contract)

$10,000 order: 0.5c slippage (<1% of a 72.5c contract)

PhiladelphiaPrimary88Market scoreLiquidity88Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 88
Liquidity
88 · Deep · high confidence

Quoted spread 1.4% of price with size at both touches (bar range 2.5%)

24h traded notional $45,531 · 24h
Move quality
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Indiana82Market scoreLiquidity82Move quality–Rule clarity95
Why 82
Liquidity
82 · Deep · high confidence

Quoted spread 3.7% of price with size at both touches (bar range 4.3%)

24h traded notional $10,683 · 24h
Move quality
No significant move (6h)

Price was stable over the last 6 hours.

Rule clarity
95 · Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

underwriting_v1.4 · computed Nov 15, 2026

6. How do the Indiana Pacers and Philadelphia 76ers compare on key defensive metrics leading into the November 15 game?

76ers Points Allowed Per Game109.4 [1][2][3]
Pacers Points Allowed Per Game113.2 [1][2][3]
76ers Defensive AdvantageRoughly 3.8 points [1][2][4]
The Philadelphia 76ers hold a significant defensive advantage over the Indiana Pacers. Entering their November 15, 2026 game, the 76ers demonstrate superior defensive efficiency, limiting opponents to 109.4 points per game, ranking 8th in the league, with a defensive efficiency of 1.065. In contrast, the Pacers allow an average of 113.2 points per game, placing them 16th, and have a defensive efficiency of 1.093 [1][2][3].
Philadelphia's defense excels at limiting opponent shooting and securing rebounds. The 76ers hold opponents to a 52.3% effective field goal percentage and 33.5% from three-point range. The Pacers, however, permit a 52.9% eFG% and 35.5% from beyond the arc [1][2]. Rebounding defense further favors the 76ers, who maintain a 25.5% opponent offensive rebound rate and a 74.5% defensive rebound rate, outperforming Indiana's 27.1% and 72.9% respectively [2].
The 76ers generate more defensive pressure and force turnovers. They force turnovers on 13.3% of opponent plays, compared to Indiana's 13.0%. Additionally, Philadelphia boasts a 4.9% block rate against Indiana's 4.8% [1][2]. This comprehensive defensive strength translates to an approximate 3.8-point defensive advantage for the 76ers, aligning with market expectations [1][2][4].
Sources (4)
  1. 12026-2027 NBA Games: Pacers 76ers Offense vs. Offense - BetIQbetiq.teamrankings.com
  2. 22026-2027 NBA Games: Pacers 76ers Offense vs. Defense - BetIQbetiq.teamrankings.com
  3. 3Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  4. 4Pacers vs 76ers Odds & Betting Lines For November 15, 2026 - NBAcovers.com

7. How has 'rest disadvantage' historically affected the Indiana Pacers' performance against top Eastern Conference teams?

2026-27 Pacers record with rest disadvantage0-6 straight-up [1]
Pacers '4th in 6 days' record since Nov 202412-14 straight-up, 5-20-1 against the spread [2]
Pacers ATS record with rest disadvantage6-1 in last seven games [1][3]
The Indiana Pacers consistently underperform against top Eastern Conference teams with rest disadvantage. In the current 2026-27 season, Indiana has lost all six of its games when playing with a rest disadvantage [1]. Furthermore, the Pacers have not covered the spread in their last four day games against Eastern Conference opponents when at a rest disadvantage in the 2026-27 season [1].
Historical data reinforces the Pacers' struggles when facing rest disadvantage. This trend extends back to November 2024, showing the Pacers with a 12-14 straight-up and 5-20-1 against the spread record in "4th in 6 days" scenarios, frequently against strong Eastern Conference teams such as Philadelphia, Boston, and Milwaukee [2]. In the 2025-26 season, Indiana lost their last nine road games against winning Eastern Conference opponents and failed to cover in their last four games as road underdogs with a rest disadvantage, which included a 113-104 loss to Philadelphia [4][5].
Despite straight-up losses, the Pacers show a recent spread-covering trend. An interesting counter-trend indicates the Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage, and are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games playing on one day's rest [1][3]. Market pricing for an upcoming November 15 game against Philadelphia, where the 76ers have extra rest, reflects this inherent disadvantage, positioning Philadelphia as a strong favorite [1][6][7][3].
Sources (7)
  1. 1Pacers vs 76ers Prediction 11/15/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
  2. 2NBA Team-by-Team Scheduling Betting Opportunities - VSiNvsin.com
  3. 3Pacers vs 76ers Picks, Prop Bets For November 15, 2026 - NBA Predictionscovers.com
  4. 4Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction 1/19/2026 Today's NBA Picks - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
  5. 5Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  6. 6Indiana vs Philadelphia — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  7. 7Indiana vs Philadelphia: Kalshi odds | PredictionsMarket.compredictionsmarket.com

8. What trends does the head-to-head history, including the October 28 matchup, reveal about tactical advantages between the Pacers and 76ers?

76ers recent head-to-head recordWon last 5 meetings against Pacers [1][2][3]
76ers defensive rank (points allowed)8th (109.4 points allowed) [1][3]
Pacers second-chance points rank30th (10.7 per game) [3]
The 76ers demonstrate a clear tactical edge over the Pacers. Philadelphia has secured victories in their last five head-to-head contests, including a 114-109 win on October 28, 2026 [1][2][3]. This advantage is largely attributable to the 76ers' robust defense, which is ranked 8th in points allowed with an average of 109.4 per game and 2nd in fewest turnovers allowed, averaging 12.8 per game [1][3]. The team has notably prevented any opponent from scoring 40 or more points this season and features five players who each average at least 1.2 steals per game [1][3].
Indiana faces vulnerabilities, but situational trends offer potential advantages. While the Pacers' offense is balanced, it exhibits weaknesses, ranking 30th in second-chance points with an average of 10.7 per game [3]. Furthermore, Indiana struggles when playing with a rest disadvantage, having lost their last six games under such conditions [3]. However, specific situational data points might provide an opportunity for the Pacers, as the 76ers have lost 7 of their last 9 day games and have failed to cover the spread in 9 consecutive day games when facing Eastern Conference opponents [3].
Sources (3)
  1. 1Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  2. 2Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction - AI Betting Tips | BetYouCanWinbetyoucanwin.com
  3. 3Pacers vs 76ers Prediction 11/15/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com

9. What fundamental factors justify the high win probability for the 76ers reflected across prediction markets and sportsbooks?

76ers Win Probability71-73% on Kalshi, 80.4% on Gemini [1][2][3][4][5]
76ers Season Record10-3 (5-2 at home) [6][7]
76ers Defensive Ranking8th in points allowed (109.4 ppg) [8][7][9]
Prediction markets and sportsbooks heavily favor a 76ers victory. Philadelphia is priced at a strong 71-73% likelihood on Kalshi and 80.4% on Gemini prediction markets [1][2][3][4]. Sportsbooks reinforce this sentiment, listing the 76ers at -7.5 (-108) and a -275 moneyline [5]. The 76ers also boast a superior 10-3 overall record, including a 5-2 home record, which ties them with Boston for the most wins in the Eastern Conference. In stark contrast, the Pacers hold a 5-8 record, with only two home wins across six games [6][7]. The 76ers have established dominance over Indiana, having won their last five consecutive games against the Pacers, including a 114-109 victory in their season opener on October 28 [6][7].
The 76ers hold significant statistical and personnel advantages for the matchup. Injury reports notably favor Philadelphia, as the Pacers are missing key players such as Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, and Johnny Furphy, with Nembhard and Nesmith listed as questionable. While the 76ers will be without Joel Embiid, Adem Bona, and Dominick Barlow, LeBron James is expected to return to their lineup [6][7]. Statistically, Philadelphia's defense ranks 8th in the league, allowing just 109.4 points per game, and they are second in the league for fewest turnovers per game at 12.8 [8][7][9]. The 76ers also lead Indiana in both offensive efficiency (1.082 vs 1.073) and defensive efficiency (1.065 vs 1.093), and have not allowed any opponent to score 40+ points in a game, a league-low feat [8][7][9]. Guard Tyrese Maxey is a key offensive contributor, averaging 26.7 points per game [8][7][9].
An additional day of rest and historical trends favor Philadelphia. The 76ers benefit from an extra day of rest, a factor that has seen the Pacers lose their last six games when at a rest disadvantage [6][10]. Furthermore, the home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven matchups between these two teams [6][10].
Sources (10)
  1. 1Indiana vs Philadelphia — Live Odds | Frenzy Capitalfrenzycap.com
  2. 2Indiana vs Philadelphia: Kalshi odds | PredictionsMarket.compredictionsmarket.com
  3. 3Indiana vs Philadelphia - Compare Kalshi vs Gemini Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  4. 4Indiana vs Philadelphia - Compare Gemini vs Kalshi Odds | CoinRithmcoinrithm.com
  5. 5Pacers vs 76ers Odds & Betting Lines For November 15, 2026 - NBAcovers.com
  6. 6Pacers vs 76ers Prediction 11/15/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
  7. 7Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  8. 82026-2027 NBA Games: Pacers 76ers Offense vs. Offense - BetIQbetiq.teamrankings.com
  9. 92026-2027 NBA Games: Pacers 76ers Offense vs. Defense - BetIQbetiq.teamrankings.com
  10. 10Pacers vs 76ers Picks, Prop Bets For November 15, 2026 - NBA Predictionscovers.com

10. How do the recent offensive contributions of Philadelphia's Tyrese Maxey and Indiana's Pascal Siakam compare?

Tyrese Maxey Average Points26.7 points per game (2026-27) [1][2][3]
Pascal Siakam Recent Game Points19 points (vs Knicks) [2][1]
Team Average Points111.2 points per game (both teams) [4]
Tyrese Maxey leads in offensive output and scoring volume. He currently averages a team-leading 26.7 points per game for the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2026-27 season. In a recent 123-112 victory over Toronto, Maxey contributed 27 points and 8 assists, underscoring his primary offensive responsibility. This high volume is further reflected in his game prop line for November 15, set at over/under 26.5 points [1][2][3]. Pascal Siakam, while a key player for Indiana, operates in a more balanced role with lower scoring volume. He led the Pacers with 19 points, 2 assists, and 3 rebounds in a 106-104 win against the Knicks. Siakam previously recorded 26 points in an October 28 loss to Philadelphia, showcasing his ability to score significantly when necessary [1][2].
Philadelphia exhibits greater offensive efficiency despite comparable team scoring. Both the 76ers and Pacers maintain an average of 111.2 points per game. The Indiana Pacers hold a superior effective field goal percentage at 53.5% compared to Philadelphia's 51.6%. However, the Philadelphia 76ers exhibit better overall offensive efficiency with a rating of 1.082 versus Indiana's 1.073. Furthermore, the 76ers commit fewer turnovers per play at 11.3% compared to the Pacers' 13.1%, indicating a more efficient offensive operation for Philadelphia overall [4].
Sources (4)
  1. 1Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  2. 2Pacers vs 76ers Prediction 11/15/2026 NBA Picks Today - Pick Dawgzpickdawgz.com
  3. 3Pacers vs 76ers Odds & Betting Lines For November 15, 2026 - NBAcovers.com
  4. 42026-2027 NBA Games: Pacers 76ers Offense vs. Offense - BetIQbetiq.teamrankings.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The market assigns a high probability to a Philadelphia win, with numberFire projecting a 78.89% PHI win probability and Robinhood's prediction market implying roughly a 20% win probability for Indiana [1][2][3]. Philadelphia, currently 10-3, enters rested after beating Toronto 123-112 on Thursday [2][4][5][6]. Tyrese Maxey contributes significantly, averaging approximately 27 PPG with 3.4 rebounds and 5.5 assists, and scored 17 of his 27 points in the fourth quarter during the October 28 win (114-109) [2][5]. However, Joel Embiid is out for Philadelphia (right foot injury management, November 13) after scoring 20 in Thursday's win [7][5][6]. Adem Bona (neck, at least 1 week) and Dominick Barlow (back, no timetable) are also out for Philadelphia [7][5][6]. The Covers expert consensus shows 71% picking Philadelphia against the spread (16 picks at -7.5 vs 7 at +7.5) [4].
Indiana, despite a 5-8 record, has won two straight games and covered three straight [7]. The team has held opponents to 110 points or less in 7 of 13 games, reflecting their 12th defensive rating [7]. They also won the rebounding battle 50-43 against the Knicks (106-104), with Ivica Zubac contributing 12 points and 13 rebounds [7]. However, the Pacers face multiple significant injuries: Tyrese Haliburton is out (hamstring, November 10; coach stated at least 10 more days) [7][5][6][8]. Ben Sheppard is out following meniscus surgery on October 28, and Johnny Furphy is out for the season due to an ACL injury [7][5][6]. Andrew Nembhard (left hip) and Aaron Nesmith (hand) are both questionable, with Nembhard's status deemed pivotal to Indiana's offense, though T.J. McConnell is probable (hamstring) [7][5][6][8].
The total line currently stands at 224.5, though some books list 222.5 [7][4]. Indiana has gone Under in 8 of its last 10 games, while Philadelphia's last three games have all gone Over [7]. The first meeting on October 28 totaled 223 points, just 1.5 points under today's number [7][4]. The expert consensus on the total is split, with 53% leaning Over and 47% Under [4].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: November 17, 2026
  • Closes: November 17, 2026
Sources (8)
  1. 1November 15, 2026: Indiana vs Philadelphia Prediction Marketrobinhood.com
  2. 2NBA Predictions, Odds and Betting Lines - November 15 | FanDuel Researchfanduel.com
  3. 376ers vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Nov. 15 | FanDuel Researchfanduel.com
  4. 4NBA Picks - Indiana vs Philadelphia Consensus | 11/15/2026contests.covers.com
  5. 5Game Preview: Pacers at 76ersnba.com
  6. 6Pacers vs 76ers Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NBA Game on November 15, 2026covers.com
  7. 7Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview, Betting Odds & Sharp Picks | Nov 15, 2026sharpestbets.com
  8. 8Pacers vs 76ers Nov 15: Odds & Line Movement | LineSmartlinesmart.app

13. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 10 resolved YES, 10 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXNBAGAME-26NOV14CHIMIN-MIN: NO (Nov 15, 2026)
  • KXNBAGAME-26NOV14CHIMIN-CHI: YES (Nov 15, 2026)
  • KXNBAGAME-26NOV14DALCLE-DAL: NO (Nov 15, 2026)
  • KXNBAGAME-26NOV14DALCLE-CLE: YES (Nov 15, 2026)
  • KXNBAGAME-26NOV14DETMIA-MIA: YES (Nov 15, 2026)