Short Answer

Both the model and the market overwhelmingly agree that Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain, with only minor residual uncertainty.

1. Market Behavior & Drivers

This market opened with a high probability of 80.0% and has since trended upward to a current price of 99.0%. The defining price action was a sharp 19.0 percentage point spike on July 13, 2026, which moved the probability from its 80.0% floor to its current 99.0% ceiling. The market has remained stable at this peak since the move. Total volume is modest at 2,520 contracts, with activity appearing to increase only after the price had already settled at its high, suggesting late money followed the established consensus.
The price surge on July 13 corresponds with reports of widespread media consensus regarding Spain's starting lineup for the World Cup semifinal against France. The provided context indicates this consensus was the primary driver for a significant price spike, linking it to predictions that certain players, including Mikel Oyarzabal, would start. This flow of information appears to have resolved any remaining uncertainty in the market, pushing the probability for this contract to near certainty.
The price chart establishes a clear support level at 80.0%, where the market initially priced the contract, and a firm resistance level at 99.0%. Since reaching this peak, 99.0% has functioned as the new support. The overall market sentiment is one of extremely high conviction. The price action indicates traders believe the outcome is all but decided, with the probability moving from a strong likelihood to a near certainty in a single, decisive shift.
  • Analysts predict a stable starting XI for Spain, with no new injuries reported. Unai Simon is the consensus starting goalkeeper, supported by tournament performance data.

Current Context

France and Spain will meet in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal. This match is scheduled for Tuesday, July 14, 2026, at AT&T Stadium in Dallas/Arlington, Texas [1][2][3][4][5]. Kick-off is set for 3:00 p.m. ET (12:00 p.m. PT) [4][5]. Ivan Barton of El Salvador has been designated as the head referee [2][5].
France holds a slight favor in betting markets, with Spain considered a strong challenger. Pre-match prediction market indicators from FOX Sports show France favored with betting odds at +136 for a win, compared to +316 for a Spain win [2]. Both France and Spain are recognized as prominent national teams [6]. Commentary indicates Spain is among the teams deemed capable of defeating France [7][8].
Sources (8)
  1. 1France vs. Spain (Jul 14, 2026) Live Scoreespn.com
  2. 2France vs. Spain - Boxscore - Live Score - July 14, 2026 | FOX Sportsfoxsports.com
  3. 3Liveticker | France - Spain | FIFA World Cupbundesliga.com
  4. 4When is France vs. Spain World Cup semifinal? Time, date, how to watchusatoday.com
  5. 5France vs. Spain—World Cup: Preview, Predictions and Lineupssi.com
  6. 6Heat Wave Threatens Holiday Weekend Festivities; NYC Faces Hottest Day Since 2012 | Bloomberg...youtube.com
  7. 7Bloomberg Money: SK hynix, Federal Reserve Trust, Prenups | Bloomberg Surveillanceyoutube.com
  8. 8Bloomberg Money: SK hynix, Federal Reserve Trust, Prenups | Bloomberg Intelligenceyoutube.com

2. Price Chart

Historical Price (Probability)

Outcome probability
Date

3. Significant Price Movements

Notable price changes detected in the chart, along with research into what caused each movement.

Outcome: Ferran Torres starts for Spain

📈 July 14, 2026: 36.0pp spike

Price increased from 8.0% to 44.0%

What happened: The provided web research does not indicate a specific primary driver for the 36.0 percentage point spike in the "Ferran Torres starts for Spain" market on July 14, 2026. No social media activity from key figures or viral narratives, traditional news announcements, or market structure factors explaining a shift in Ferran Torres's starting probability were found in the available sources. Current projections for the Spain vs. France World Cup semifinal indicate Ferran Torres is not expected to be in the starting lineup, with other players favored for attacking roles [1][2][3][4]. Based on the available information, the cause of this market movement cannot be determined, and social media appears irrelevant as a driver.

Outcome: Mikel Oyarzabal starts for Spain

📈 July 13, 2026: 90.0pp spike

Price increased from 9.0% to 99.0%

What happened: The primary driver of the 90.0 percentage point spike on July 13, 2026, was the widespread consensus from traditional media outlets predicting Mikel Oyarzabal to start for Spain. Leading up to the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal match against France, various sports news sources widely predicted Oyarzabal would be a starter in Spain's attack, often as a striker or focal point [5][4][6][7]. This surge in expert predictions directly coincided with the market movement, strongly indicating it as the cause for the increased probability. Social media activity was not identified as a primary driver.
Sources (7)
  1. 1France vs. Spain—World Cup: Preview, Predictions and Lineupssi.com
  2. 2Spain Predicted Lineup vs. France: World Cup Semifinalsi.com
  3. 3Spain predicted XI v France: Fabián Ruiz to start over Pedri - Yahoo Sportsca.sports.yahoo.com
  4. 4France v Spain: Expected line-ups, stats and where to watch as European champions meet World Cup favourites101greatgoals.com
  5. 5France vs Spain: World Cup semifinal – Mbappe, Yamal, predictions, kickoff | World Cup 2026 News | Al Jazeeraaljazeera.com
  6. 6France vs Spain Best Bets & Odds: 2026 World Cup Semifinal | RotoWirerotowire.com
  7. 7France vs Spain Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jul 2026sportsgambler.com

4. Market Data

Contract Snapshot

This market resolves "Yes" if Fabian Ruiz starts for Spain in the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup game on July 14, 2026, meaning he is in the official starting lineup at kickoff and on the field when the match begins. It resolves "No" if he is named in the starting lineup but replaced or withdrawn before kickoff, or if he only makes a substitute appearance. The market also resolves "No" if the game does not occur before July 15, 2026. Outcomes are verified by ESPN and FIFA, with the market closing after the event or by July 15, 2026, at 3:00 PM EDT.

Market Discussion

Traders on this market largely expect Pedri to start for Spain, with his probability holding at 65%. There is also a slight majority expecting Alex Baena (61%) and Fabian Ruiz (53%) to be in the starting lineup, though with less certainty. While explicit arguments are absent from the discussion, some traders express strong confidence in their positions, such as one asserting Mikel Merino will not be a starter.

5. Trader Dashboard

This scorecard was computed Jul 14, 2026 and may not reflect current market conditions.

Trust profile
Event quality43
Weak
Liquidity
37

26 contracts · worst first

Alex Grimaldo starts for Spain1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Borja Iglesias starts for Spain1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Victor Munoz starts for Spain1
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Martin Zubimendi starts for Spain2
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

David Raya starts for Spain2
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Joan Garcia starts for Spain2
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Yeremy Pino starts for Spain2
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Marc Pubill starts for Spain2
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Nico Williams starts for Spain3
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Eric Garcia starts for Spain6
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Gavi starts for Spain11
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Ferran Torres starts for Spain14
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Marcos Llorente starts for Spain19
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Pedro Porro starts for Spain28
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Marc Cucurella starts for Spain30
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Mikel Merino starts for Spain33
Very thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain37
Very thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $2,493

Fabian Ruiz starts for Spain40
Very thin · high confidence

Typical bar range 9.1% of price over 17 traded bars

Dani Olmo starts for Spain41
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Pedri starts for Spain48
Thin · high confidence

Typical bar range 8.7% of price over 18 traded bars

Unai Simon starts for Spain49
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Pau Cubarsi starts for Spain55
Thin · low confidence

24h traded notional $6,580

Alex Baena starts for Spain57
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Lamine Yamal starts for Spain59
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Mikel Oyarzabal starts for Spain59
Thin · low confidence

Light recent trading — size may not fill near the screen price.

Rodri starts for Spain66
Tradeable · medium confidence

Typical bar range 1.0% of price over 3 traded bars

Move quality
—

No reading right now

26 contracts · worst first

Ferran Torres starts for Spain64
Mostly confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Marc Cucurella starts for Spain67
Mostly confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Fabian Ruiz starts for Spain68
Mostly confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Lamine Yamal starts for Spain71
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Gavi starts for Spain72
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Marcos Llorente starts for Spain72
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Nico Williams starts for Spain75
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Alex Grimaldo starts for Spain75
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Unai Simon starts for Spain77
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Mikel Oyarzabal starts for Spain77
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Rodri starts for Spain82
Confirmed · high confidence

Volume is light/neutral for the move

Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 2,349

Pau Cubarsi starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 4,208

Pedro Porro starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.89 log-odds, 4.0c, vol 1

Dani Olmo starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.59 log-odds, 5.0c, vol 1

Pedri starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 880

Alex Baena starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.10 log-odds, 2.0c, vol 621

Eric Garcia starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 0

Martin Zubimendi starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 0

Mikel Merino starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 2.51 log-odds, 18.0c, vol 2

David Raya starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.70 log-odds, 1.0c, vol 10

Borja Iglesias starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 0

Joan Garcia starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 7

Yeremy Pino starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 10

Marc Pubill starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 10

Victor Munoz starts for Spain—
No significant move

No significant move: |move| 0.00 log-odds, 0.0c, vol 10

Rule clarity
—Clear

Rules read clean and objective

26 contracts · worst first

Aymeric Laporte starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Marc Cucurella starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Unai Simon starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Pau Cubarsi starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Rodri starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Lamine Yamal starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Mikel Oyarzabal starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Pedro Porro starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Dani Olmo starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Nico Williams starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Pedri starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Alex Baena starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Fabian Ruiz starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Ferran Torres starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Gavi starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Eric Garcia starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Alex Grimaldo starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Martin Zubimendi starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Mikel Merino starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Marcos Llorente starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
David Raya starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Borja Iglesias starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Joan Garcia starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Yeremy Pino starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Marc Pubill starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear
Victor Munoz starts for Spain95
Clear · high confidence

Objective result from a trusted source (allowlist)

allowlist · Clear

trader_dashboard_lean_v1.13 · computed Jul 14, 2026

6. What potential injuries or suspensions from Spain's quarter-final match could impact the starting lineup against France on July 14?

Spain Starting Lineup InjuriesNone reported for the 2026 World Cup semifinal match against France on July 14, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5]
Spain Starting Lineup SuspensionsNone reported for the 2026 World Cup semifinal match against France on July 14, 2026 [1][2][3][4][5]
Nico Williams StatusReturned from injury and made a substitute appearance; not expected to start the semifinal [1][2][3]
Spain's lineup for the World Cup semifinal against France is currently clear. Spain's starting lineup for the 2026 World Cup semifinal match against France on July 14, 2026, is presently free from any reported injuries or suspensions [1][2][3][4][5]. Based on available information, no potential issues from Spain's quarter-final match are expected to impact their starting lineup against France [1][2][3].
Nico Williams is back from injury but not expected to start. Nico Williams has returned from injury, having made a substitute appearance in the previous match [1][2][3]. However, he is not projected to start the semifinal, with Alex Baena anticipated to remain on the left wing [1][2][3].
Sources (5)
  1. 1France vs Spain Preview: Lineups, Team News & Odds | RotoWirerotowire.com
  2. 2France vs Spain, World Cup Preview: European giants collide for final berth - VAVEL Internationalvavel.com
  3. 3France vs Spain Best Bets & Odds: 2026 World Cup Semifinal | RotoWirerotowire.com
  4. 4France vs Spain Prediction: World Cup Semi-finals Previewsport-news.ca
  5. 5France vs Spain Team News - World Cup - Striker Reportstrikerreport.com

7. What is the consensus among Spanish sports analysts regarding the predicted starting eleven for the match against France?

Match Event2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal vs. France (July 14, 2026) [1][2][3]
Spain's Predicted Starting XIUnai Simón; Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsí, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella; Rodri, Pedri, Dani Olmo; Lamine Yamal, Alex Baena, Mikel Oyarzabal [1][2][3]
Analyst Consensus ScopeNot specified if specifically among Spanish sports analysts [1]
Analysts have reached a consensus regarding Spain's predicted starting eleven for their 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal match against France on July 14, 2026 [1][2][3]. This agreement among analysts outlines the probable lineup that is expected to take the field for this significant European clash.
The predicted lineup features a strong defensive core. Unai Simón is anticipated to start in goal, supported by a defensive line comprising Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsí, Aymeric Laporte, and Marc Cucurella. The midfield is projected to include Rodri, Pedri, and Dani Olmo, while Lamine Yamal, Alex Baena, and Mikel Oyarzabal are expected to lead the attack [1][2][3].
The consensus's national origin is not explicitly specified. While analysts have broadly agreed on this prospective lineup, the available information does not definitively state whether this consensus is exclusively among Spanish sports analysts.
Sources (3)
  1. 1Spain XI vs France: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup...sports.yahoo.com
  2. 2France vs Spain, World Cup Preview: European giants collide for final berth - VAVEL Internationalvavel.com
  3. 3France vs Spain Lineups: Predicted Starting XI, Team News and Key Players | MEXC Crypto Pulsemexc.com

8. How do Unai Simon and David Raya compare on key goalkeeping metrics during the 2025-2026 season and the World Cup tournament?

David Raya Clean Sheets (2025-2026)19 clean sheets in 37 Premier League appearances (2025-2026) [1]
David Raya Goals Conceded Per Match (2025-2026)0.57 goals per match (2025-2026) [1]
Unai Simon Passing Output (2025-2026)30.4 passes per 90 (2025-2026) [2]
David Raya demonstrated strong performance during the 2025-2026 Premier League season. He recorded 19 clean sheets across 37 appearances and maintained an average of 0.57 goals conceded per match [1]. In terms of passing output for the same season, Unai Simon showed a slightly higher rate, averaging 30.4 passes per 90 minutes compared to Raya's 29.5 passes per 90 minutes [2]. However, the available research does not detail specific comprehensive goalkeeping metrics, such as clean sheets or goals conceded, for Unai Simon during this season [2].
Unai Simon is Spain's confirmed starter for the 2026 World Cup. Under coach Luis de la Fuente, Simon is expected to play throughout the tournament, establishing his role as Spain's primary goalkeeper [3][4][5]. While a semifinal match between France and Spain is scheduled for July 14, 2026, the research does not provide specific goalkeeping performance metrics for either Unai Simon or David Raya for the 2026 World Cup itself [6].
Sources (6)
  1. 1David Raya Stats - Clean Sheets & Saves Datafootystats.org
  2. 2Joan Garcia vs. David Raya vs. Unai Simon per 90 in...threads.com
  3. 3World Cup: Unai Simon repaying faith as Spain's goalkeeperflashscore.com
  4. 4Dani Olmo: Spain face Cabo Verde in World Cup opener with keeper choice unresolved — FilmoGazfilmogaz.com
  5. 5Spain World Cup 2026 squad and previewrutamister.com
  6. 6France vs Spain Best Bets & Odds: 2026 World Cup Semifinal | RotoWirerotowire.com

9. What information is available from Spain's official training camp reports in the 48 hours leading up to the July 14 match?

Injury StatusNo fresh injury concerns reported for Spain 48 hours before the July 14 match [1]
Training LocationCotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, Texas [2][3][4]
Key Starting PlayersUnai Simon, Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Rodri, Pedri, Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, Alex Baena [1][5]
In the 48 hours before their July 14 match, Spain reported no new injuries. The Spanish national team concluded its final training sessions at the Cotton Bowl Stadium in Dallas, Texas, with no new injury concerns for the squad [1][2][3][4].
Spain's projected starting lineup featured a consistent core of players. The expected starting XI included Unai Simon, Pedro Porro, Pau Cubarsi, Aymeric Laporte, Marc Cucurella, Rodri, Pedri, Dani Olmo, Lamine Yamal, Mikel Oyarzabal, and Alex Baena [1][5]. Although Nico Williams returned from injury, he was anticipated to be a substitute, with Alex Baena retaining his starting position on the left wing [1][5].
Sources (5)
  1. 1France vs Spain, World Cup Preview: European giants collide for final berth - VAVEL Internationalvavel.com
  2. 2Spain Holds Intense Training Session Before High-Stakes...youtube.com
  3. 3Spain holds final training session in Texas ahead of France...newsflare.com
  4. 4France vs Spain Head-To-Head Record: Every Meeting Since 2006 Before The World Cup Semifinal | Yardbarkeryardbarker.com
  5. 5France vs. Spain Prediction: 2026 FIFA World Cup Picks - VSiNvsin.com

10. How might Spain's choice of formation against France (e.g., 4-3-3 vs. 4-2-3-1) influence the selection of midfielders like Fabian Ruiz versus Mikel Merino?

Spain's Preferred Formation4-3-3, often shifting to 4-2-3-1 or 3-2-5 in possession (under Luis de la Fuente) [1][2]
Fabián Ruiz's RoleKey versatile midfielder, functions as attacking #8 and defensive asset in 4-3-3 [1][3][2]
Mikel Merino's RoleTactical alternative for direct or structural options [1][3][2]
Spain's tactical flexibility under Luis de la Fuente favors Fabián Ruiz. The national team typically employs a 4-3-3 formation, which dynamically transitions into a 4-2-3-1 or 3-2-5 when the team is in possession [1][2]. Fabián Ruiz is considered a crucial versatile midfielder, instrumental in enabling these structural shifts [1][2]. His prioritization in the 4-3-3 setup stems from his dual capacity to function effectively as an attacking number 8 and contribute defensively during build-up phases [1][3][2].
Mikel Merino offers Spain a different midfield dynamic. Historically, he has been deployed as a more direct or structural option within similar midfield roles, especially when specific tactical adjustments are required [1][3][2]. For a projected World Cup semifinal match against France, Spain was anticipated to employ a 4-3-3 formation, featuring a midfield trio of Rodri, Pedri, and Fabián Ruiz [1].
Sources (3)
  1. 1France vs Spain Preview: Lineups, Team News & Odds | RotoWirerotowire.com
  2. 2Spain vs. France: What the Final Lineups Reveal About Each Coach’s Strategyfootball.dhgate.com
  3. 3How Spain's direct central midfielders unlocked Germanynytimes.com

11. What Could Change the Odds

Key Catalysts

The FIFA World Cup 2026 semifinal between France and Spain is scheduled for July 14, 2026, at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. As of July 14, 2026, official starting lineups have not been released [7]. France's Kylian Mbappe sustained a reported ankle injury in the quarter-final against Morocco, representing a key fitness point of interest [7].
Prediction markets position France as favorites, with betting odds implying a higher win probability [4]. The over/under for total goals in the match is set at 2.5 [4]. The victor of this semifinal will advance to the World Cup final on Sunday, July 19, 2026, to compete against either Argentina or England [7].

Key Dates & Catalysts

  • Expiration: July 15, 2026
  • Closes: July 15, 2026
Sources (7)
  1. 1France vs. Spain (Jul 14, 2026) Live Score - ESPNespn.com
  2. 2France face Spain in 2026 World Cup's first semifinalnytimes.com
  3. 3Watch France vs Spain World Cup Semifinal Live Todayfox.com
  4. 4France vs. Spain - Boxscore - Live Score - July 14, 2026 | FOX Sportsfoxsports.com
  5. 5France vs. Spain at World Cup 2026: TV channel, how to...espn.com
  6. 6When is France vs. Spain World Cup semifinal? Time, date, how to watchusatoday.com
  7. 7France vs Spain FIFA World Cup 2026 Preview: Everything you need to know | Goal.com USgoal.com

13. Related News

+38.0pp
Last updated: July 14, 2026, 12:32 UTC

Spain's World Cup Lineup Odds Solidify on Clean Injury Report

A clean bill of health for Spain's national team and a firming media consensus ahead of the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against France have driven a sharp convergence in prediction markets. In Monda...

14. Historical Resolutions

Historical Resolutions: 20 markets in this series

Outcomes: 9 resolved YES, 11 resolved NO

Recent resolutions:

  • KXWCSTART-26JUL11ARGSUI-SUI-ZAMDOU23: NO (Jul 12, 2026)
  • KXWCSTART-26JUL11ARGSUI-SUI-YMVOGO12: NO (Jul 12, 2026)
  • KXWCSTART-26JUL11ARGSUI-SUI-SWIDME3: NO (Jul 12, 2026)
  • KXWCSTART-26JUL11ARGSUI-SUI-RVARGA17: NO (Jul 12, 2026)
  • KXWCSTART-26JUL11ARGSUI-SUI-RRODRI13: YES (Jul 12, 2026)