Topic tracker · Crypto

Bitcoin monthly one touch

Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (0 live, 4 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new Bitcoin monthly one touch markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.

Last updated May 15, 2026

Series history

Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.

MarketClosedModel vs marketActions
How high will Bitcoin get in May? June 1, 2026 31.6% vs 45.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in April? May 1, 2026 6.6% vs 11.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in March? April 1, 2026 22.0% vs 22.0%
How high will Bitcoin get in February? March 1, 2026 4.0% vs 6.0%