Above 46700
Market Model 25.0% 45.8%
Above 46400
Market Model 81.0% 86.3%
Topic tracker · Financials
McDonald's KPI
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 4 so far (2 live, 2 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new McDonald's KPI markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated July 29, 2026
Live markets
Above 2.5%
Market Model 32.0% 38.3%
Above 2%
Market Model 39.0% 38.4%
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation total systemwide restaurants in Q2 2026 | September 4, 2026 | 90.7% vs 90.0% | Report → |
| McDonald's global comparable sales growth in Q2 | September 4, 2026 | 60.4% vs 85.0% | Report → |
