Topic tracker · Exotics
MVE Cross Category
Every prediction market Kalshi has run in this series — 7 so far (0 live, 7 closed) — with Octagon's independent model probability tracked against the market at each print. This page is updated as new MVE Cross Category markets list, so it always points at the current market and keeps the resolved history below.
Last updated August 25, 2026
Series history
Closed markets in this series, newest first, with the final Octagon model vs market read before close. Each report stays live with its full analysis.
| Market | Closed | Model vs market | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doosan Bears vs KT Wiz | August 27, 2026 | 0.8% vs 0.6% | Report → |
| Atlante vs Leon | September 2, 2026 | 0.1% vs 0.2% | Report → |
| BTC price on Aug 25 | August 25, 2026 | 84.0% vs 64.0% | Report → |
| Boston vs Miami | August 29, 2026 | 0.1% vs 0.1% | Report → |
| Fight Night | September 12, 2026 | 0.5% vs 1.7% | Report → |
| Pittsburgh vs San Diego | August 28, 2026 | 0.0% vs 21.0% | Report → |
| Tampa Bay vs Detroit | August 29, 2026 | 0.5% vs 0.1% | Report → |
